2016 SDQL Plays

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 10:51 AM

Play Mets - 170
Play Mets RL + 100

month = 7 and F and season > 2007 and -149 > line > -190 and s:SRA < 6 and ss:SRA < 7 and 2.5 > STDSWHIP > 1.1 and day != Monday and day != Tuesday and conference = o:conference and (p:hits + pp:hits) < 28 and WP < 59 and (starter wins - starter losses + o:starter losses - o:starter wins) > -2

ROI 24% ML 220 game sample
ROI 15% RL

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 10:57 AM

Play Nationals RL - 115

starter= Max Scherzer and H and o:team=Pirates

Scherzer 4-0 SU 3-1 RL in career at home

And

team=Nationals and HF and season =2016 and day= Sunday

Nats 5-0 SU 3-2 RL this season at home

And

team = Nationals and F and p:F and po:hits <= 6 and date >= 20151001

Nats 18-7 SU 16-9 RL in this spot

And

H and 100>=line>-290 and month=7 and 12>total>5.5 and day!=Monday and day!=Tuesday and n:series game!=2 and series games>2 and start time<2210 and rest=0 and conference=o:conference and p:margin>-6 and p:hits>3 and p:errors<2 and op:errors<3

ROI 9% 1400 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 11:00 AM

Play Brewers - 113

team = Reds and LGS and 5 <= p:PU and date >= 20150712

Reds 0-18 SU in this spot

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 11:02 AM

Originally posted by tallwhiterussian

Nice call on the Padres last night.... I didn't think they had it in them to win two nights in a row with sub par pitching... Little did I know... Have any other thoughts besides the under in Astro's game?

Thanks Tallwhiterussian yes I was debating that Pads pick but felt there was some nice value there. Perdomo been a little better lately

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 12:09 PM

Play Royals RL -140
Play Royals + 135

team = Royals and D and p:LOB>=18 and p:AW and date >= 20140426

Royals 13-7 SU 17-2 RL in this spot

And

starter =Yordano Ventura and o:team=Tigers

Ventura 5-2 SU 6-1 RL 6-1 over vs Tigers

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 06:25 PM

Crappy day!!!

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 07:07 PM

Play Red Sox - 120

team=Yankees and HD and NGT and o:team=Red Sox

Yanks 5-7 SU but have lost last 5 straight games to Red Sox in this spot.

And

starter= Masahiro Tanaka and HD

Tanaka 0-2 in career as home dog

And

starter= David Price and AF and o:team=Yankees

Price 6-1 career as AF against Yanks

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 10:13 PM

Originally posted by Alex Vaile

Play Red Sox - 120

team=Yankees and HD and NGT and o:team=Red Sox

Yanks 5-7 SU but have lost last 5 straight games to Red Sox in this spot.

And

starter= Masahiro Tanaka and HD

Tanaka 0-2 in career as home dog

And

starter= David Price and AF and o:team=Yankees

Price 6-1 career as AF against Yanks

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

ROI 11% 220 game sample

Sorry bud looks like not my day.

**Alex Vaile** · 07-17-16, 10:23 PM

Today's results: 4-9 - 6.38 units
Season to date: 357-315-12 + 27.24 units

Winners: Indians ML, Astros and Mets ML and RL

Losers: Red Sox, Pirates over, Nats RL, Giants RL, Mariners Under, Royals ML and RL, Brewers and Twins over.

Weekends had been good lately. Moving on...

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 07:54 AM

Monday:

Play Over 11.5 - 115 Rays vs Rockies

team=Rays and A and p:hits<=6 and date>=20150731

Rays 14/3 o/u in this spot

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 15% 180 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 07:56 AM

Play Under 8 - 110 Royals vs Indians

team = Indians and SG = 1 and A and 6 <= p:runs and date >= 20150602

Indians 2/14 o/u in this spot

And

WP>50 and o:WP>50 and month=7 and H and season>2008

ROI 9% 700 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 07:57 AM

Play Over 8.5 -105 Astros vs Athletics

p:HR = 2 and op:HR < 3 and SG < 5 and SG != 3 and 1 < SGS < 5 and s:SRA < 6 and os:SRA < 6 and (s:SHA + ss:SHA) < 17 and (os:SHA + oss:SHA) < 17 and 2.6 < tA(runs, N=10) < 6.8 and oA(runs, N=10) < 6.6 and total < 10.5 and 84 < os:SPT < 119 and starter rest < 20 and o:starter rest < 25 and (rest = 1 or rest = 0) and p:hits < 17 and 3 < op:hits < 18 and .8 < tA(doubles, N=10) < 2.5 and .8 < oA(doubles, N=10) < 3.1 and day != Wednesday and -2 < ou streak < 5 and -2 < ou streak < 3 and month < 10 and (game number < 107 or game number > 116) and tA(walks, N=10) > 1.9 and 1.9 < oA(walks, N=10) < 4.7 and tA(BPRA, N=10) > .4 and p:hits > 5 and (start time - p:start time < -306 or start time - p:start time > -102) and (p:SO + op:SO) > 7

ROI 18% 900 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 07:59 AM

Play Tigers - 146

F and SG = 1 and season > 2006 and H and SGS = 3 and (day = Monday or day = Tuesday) and -3 < streak < 2 and -7 < o:streak < 5 and p:hits > 6 and 11 > p:runs > 3 and 0 < op:runs < 10 and total > 7.5

ROI 15% ML
ROI 37% RL

And

team=Tigers and H and SG=1 and streak<3 and C and date>=20120704

ROI 14% 55-26 SU

**thekoreanmang** · 07-18-16, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by Alex Vaile

Today's results: 4-9 - 6.38 units
Season to date: 357-315-12 + 27.24 units

Winners: Indians ML, Astros and Mets ML and RL

Losers: Red Sox, Pirates over, Nats RL, Giants RL, Mariners Under, Royals ML and RL, Brewers and Twins over.

Weekends had been good lately. Moving on...

Maybe it's a post-ASB thing? Trends and any momentum built going into ASB is now reset post-ASB? Thoughts?

**thekoreanmang** · 07-18-16, 09:05 AM

Originally posted by Alex Vaile

Play Over 11.5 - 115 Rays vs Rockies

team=Rays and A and p:hits<=6 and date>=20150731

Rays 14/3 o/u in this spot

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 15% 180 game sample

Interesting that this total opened at 12. Not that these things matter a lot of the time anyway.

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 12:31 PM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

Maybe it's a post-ASB thing? Trends and any momentum built going into ASB is now reset post-ASB? Thoughts?

Yes u could b on to something. Really a few bad bounces last few days made it rougher. But that's baseball. Mostly favs after AsG but just a rough patch. Juiced out last 2 days before that 1. Rested teams but it'll turn back around.

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 12:34 PM

Play Marlins RL - 120 ( caution Fernandez terrible as road favorite 2-8 SU)

line<=-186 and A and division=o:division and league=NL and NGT and rest=0 and 2007<=season

45-5 SU 39-11 RL

And

team=Marlins and line -120 <= line <=120 and p:BL>=2 and date>=20150901

32-18 SU

And

F and p:A and p:W and date>=20150724

11% 450 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 12:39 PM

Play Braves + 116

A and A(starter whip@starter and season, N=3)<2.50 and A(o:starter whip@o:starter and o:season, N=3)>=2.25 and 2012<=season and line<=160 and rest=0 and 9.5>=total>=8 and month!=8

ROI 25%

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 12:44 PM

Play Athletics + 122
Play Athletics RL - 135

team = Astros and AF and po:SO >= 10 and date >= 20150619

Astros 5-12 SU and 3-14 RL

And

team=Athletics and H and o:team=Astros

As 20-12 SU in this spot including 7-2 last 9 against Astros

And

team=Athletics and HD and o:team=Astros

As 5-2 SU and 6-1 RL

**FlyinAir** · 07-18-16, 12:48 PM

I like the plays today

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 04:42 PM

Originally posted by FlyinAir

I like the plays today

Thanks Flyin!

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 06:20 PM

Play Rangers - 105

DIV and D and p:W and 40<=o:WP<48

ROI 9% 1200 game sample

And

tA(runs, N=10) - oA(runs, N=10) > 0.5 and tA(BPRA, N=10) - oA(BPRA, N=10) < -0.5 and STDSERA - o:STDSERA < -0.5 and playoffs = 0 and H and line > -145 and month > 4

ROI 9% 200 gamer

**Alex Vaile** · 07-18-16, 06:42 PM

Play Padres + 175
Play Padres RL - 125

starter= Mike Leake and H and line<-170

SU 3-4 and 1-6 RL (Friedrich's road numbers are terrible but I'm taking momentum)

And

team=Cardinals and HF and o:STL and season=2016

Cards only 4-9 SU and 3-10 RL this season facing left handed pitching including losers of 6 straight against lefties at home when favored

And

team=Cardinals and HF and season= 2016

Cards only 18-22 at home favored SU 15-25 RL And 20-28 overall at home

And

team=Cardinals and SG=1 and o:STDSERA>4 and date>=20151002

Cards 0-9 SU in this spot against a pitcher with higher ERA. I'll play the hot team.

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 05:11 AM

Yesterday's results: 4-7 - 3.53 units
Season to date: 361-322-12 + 23.71 units

Winners: As ML and RL and As over and Tigers

Losers: Pads ML and RL, Royals under, Rockies over, Marlins RL, Braves and Rangers

**thekoreanmang** · 07-19-16, 09:30 AM

Rough patch right now.

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

Rough patch right now.

Yup. Marathon not sprint. I've been up and down all year. As long as we come out ahead in the end I'm happy. But ya not a great 4 day stretch. Here's to today!!

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 11:38 AM

Tuesday:

Play Under 9 -110 Orioles vs Yankees

STR and o:STR and s:margin = -1 and s:streak = 2 and s:biggest lead < 3 and s:errors < 2 and -9 < p:M8 < 3 and p:M8 != -2 and -4 < p:M1 < 3

ROI 26% 220 game sample

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 11:40 AM

Play Under 10 + 100 Rangers vs Angels

team=Angels and po:BL>0 and p:margin>=2 and HF and NGT and 20100731<=date

Angels 7/28 o/u in this spot

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 05:20 PM

Play Diamondbacks + 162
Play Under 9 - 110 Blue Jays vs Diamondbacks

starter=Zack Godley

Godley 7-1 SU in his career And all but 2 dogs

And

starter=Aaron Sanchez

16-13 SU and 9/19 o/u in this spot

And

starter=Aaron Sanchez and A

7-8 SU 5/9 o/u in this spot

**thekoreanmang** · 07-19-16, 05:28 PM

Do you think the understand will keep hitting? Other sbr posters have noticed too how since asb the understand have been hitting like woah. Wonder if books adjust now since totals do seem a bit high today across the board.

**thekoreanmang** · 07-19-16, 05:29 PM

Understand = unders

Stupid autocorrect

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 05:41 PM

Play Brewers + 142

WP < 53 and A(SWHIP@starter and season) < 1.2 and A(SOPW@starter and season) >= .333 and A(SSPB@starter and season) >= .50 and D and conference = NL and SG < 4 and line > 100 and month!= 9 and season =2016

ROI 10%

And

starter=Junior Guerra

10-3 SU career. Everytime I go against the guy he burns me

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 05:55 PM

Originally posted by thekoreanmang

Do you think the understand will keep hitting? Other sbr posters have noticed too how since asb the understand have been hitting like woah. Wonder if books adjust now since totals do seem a bit high today across the board.

It's really day to day on totals

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 06:26 PM

Play Over 8.5 - 105 Astros vs Athletics

team=Athletics and s:L and s:BL>0 and SG>1 and date>=20150719

As 22/8 o/u in this spot

**Alex Vaile** · 07-19-16, 07:26 PM

Play Rays vs Rockies Over 11.5 - 110

team=Rockies and o:team=Rays

9/4 o/u in this series

And

team=Rays and A and p:hits<=6 and date>=20150731

Rays 14/4 o/u in this spot

And

175>=line>=125 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=.250 and os:starter era<=3.7 and o:conference=NL and Average(starter hits@starter and season)<=5.5 and season>2014

ROI 11% 75 game sample

And

H and not C and season>=2016

ROI 15% 180 game sample