2016 mlb

[No coincidences]

3-1, +3.86U today
23-14, +14.68U thread

[iloseagain]

Nice work.

[Sixla]

Keep it rolling NC

[No coincidences]

Nothing catching my eye so far from the afternoon slate.

[mlb]

Nothing catching my eye so far from the afternoon slate.

same here

[No coincidences]

NYY +140 (2U to win 2.8)

Will also likely take Arizona and Baltimore.

[KRIT]

Yeah garbage card. I like Dbacks later. Wanted to pull trigger on Yanks but I've been burned too many times betting against Stroman at home. Gl.

[No coincidences]

Yeah garbage card. I like Dbacks later. Wanted to pull trigger on Yanks but I've been burned too many times betting against Stroman at home. Gl.

Have a bad feeling the line was high for a reason. We'll see.

[No coincidences]

CIN +149 (2U to win 2.98)

[1Time!]

Any leans/thoughts on the Royals as a dog today NC?

[JamesBrown]

3-1, +3.86U today
23-14, +14.68U thread

Solid work NC!

[No coincidences]

Solid work NC!

Thanks, buddy.

Yankees rolled over and died.

[BayArea888]

So according to your theory of fading huge line movement, the Dodgers should be a play tonight, right?

The price is right IMO, I just might bite.

[BayArea888]

The damn Reds need some quality at bats with RISP!

[No coincidences]

The damn Reds need some quality at bats with RISP!

Yeah, it's been a pathetic series for them at the plate.

[No coincidences]

So according to your theory of fading huge line movement, the Dodgers should be a play tonight, right?

The price is right IMO, I just might bite.

In theory yes. I'm not touching it, though. I don't know anything about this cat pitching for LA.

[twestacott]

In theory yes. I'm not touching it, though. I don't know anything about this cat pitching for LA.

I am confused.... Wouldnt the play be Arizona? Dodgers opened as huge favorites and now just -125. That would mean line is moving in favor of Dodgers so if you are fading the line move wouldn't you be playing Arizona?

[No coincidences]

I am confused.... Wouldnt the play be Arizona? Dodgers opened as huge favorites and now just -125. That would mean line is moving in favor of Dodgers so if you are fading the line move wouldn't you be playing Arizona?

20+ cent line movement has been a killer in baseball for a while now.

Fade the huge line move.

[twestacott]

20+ cent line movement has been a killer in baseball for a while now.

Fade the huge line move.

So by fade the huge line move are you saying the theory would be to bet bet on the side that the line move in favor of or to bet the opposite of the way the line moved. For example the play on this game would be LAD because the traditonal thinking would be that Vegas must be trying to get people on the Dodgers and you are fading that line of thought? Or would the play be Arizona because the line moved in favor of the Dodgers and you are fading that?

Curious on how this works.

[Conqueror]

20+ cent line movement has been a killer in baseball for a while now.

Fade the huge line move.

Even smaller line movements aren't helping either. Yankees ML, for instance, went from +140 to +135, they lost and didn't even cover the RL.

[No coincidences]

0-2, -4U last night
23-16, +10.68U thread

[No coincidences]

So by fade the huge line move are you saying the theory would be to bet bet on the side that the line move in favor of or to bet the opposite of the way the line moved. For example the play on this game would be LAD because the traditonal thinking would be that Vegas must be trying to get people on the Dodgers and you are fading that line of thought? Or would the play be Arizona because the line moved in favor of the Dodgers and you are fading that?

Curious on how this works.

If a line has moved at least 20 cents in one direction (i.e., Dodgers game last night), either take the team opposite the line move or pass.

Rockies today -- another example (opened at +174, closed at +210).

[No coincidences]

TB +102 (4U to win 4.08)
SEA +128 (3U to win 3.84)
MIL +129 (2U to win 2.58)

Will likely be on Oakland later.

[No coincidences]

ATL +1.5 (-115) (2.3U to win 2)
ATL +190 (1U to win 1.9)

[BigDofBA]

Braves went from +150 to +190.

I am taking Atlanta.

[No coincidences]

Also lean Philly and the Mets.

[No coincidences]

Braves went from +150 to +190.

I am taking Atlanta.

Worth a shot.

[BigDofBA]

Worth a shot.

Saw you were on them right after I posted. I'm not a fan of backing teams as bad as Atlanta but at those odds WTH. Hardly ever should a MLB team should be more than -200 let alone Miami.



I'm also on Philly and Hellickson is already getting roughed up.

[BigDofBA]

Atlanta can't score.

[No coincidences]

TB +102 (4U to win 4.08)
SEA +128 (3U to win 3.84)
MIL +129 (2U to win 2.58)

Will likely be on Oakland later.

Fukking Rays -- are you kidding me?

[No coincidences]

Shit -- I completely missed that Worley was pitching for Balty in Texas tonight. Totally missed that one.

[No coincidences]

And there it is: Atlanta breaks through and another huge line move bites the dust.

[iloseagain]

Shit -- I completely missed that Worley was pitching for Balty in Texas tonight. Totally missed that one.

balt up 6-5

10-5

[No coincidences]

balt up 6-5

10-5

WTF happened?

[No coincidences]

More of the same tonight....

Rockies win despite huge line movement against them.
Braves? Same.
Twins? Same.
Royals? Looking like the same.
Padres? Looking like the same.

If you're beating the closer by an absurd amount, you're getting crushed. Period.