2016 mlb

[No coincidences]

........I pushed both my fvckin bets. Roark is in auto-fade next start!

At least you got the TT to push.

And yes, you are right. WTF is going on with this dude? Major regression coming.

[No coincidences]

Thanks for philli

Absolutely.

And Johnny Danks pitching BP so far in Balty.

[No coincidences]

ARI +117 (2U to win 2.34)

[WalkingLuckCharm]

Absolutely.

And Johnny Danks pitching BP so far in Balty.

Tailed that too

[mlb]

excellent call on snakes - liked em but didnt pull the trigger

[No coincidences]

excellent call on snakes - liked em but didnt pull the trigger

Thanks. Finally got back on track with a 3-0 day.

[Louisvillekid1]

great work per usual

[No coincidences]

52-39, +26.00U thread

[No coincidences]

great work per usual

Thanks brother.

[bodyman]

Everyone strapped in for another big night in the No Coin room?

[No coincidences]

MIL -113 (3.39U to win 3)
TB -124 (3.72U to win 3)
CIN +143 (2U to win 2.86)
BAL -112 (2.24U to win 2)

I realize it's very risky to take three short home faves.

[No coincidences]

MIL -113 (3.39U to win 3)
TB -124 (3.72U to win 3)
CIN +143 (2U to win 2.86)
BAL -112 (2.24U to win 2)

I realize it's very risky to take three short home faves.

Don't like the line movement on Tampa.

[BigDofBA]

Riding with Philly +1.5 and ML.

The Phillies are much improved and have some good young players.

Meanwhile, Kulber is overpriced. This isn't the same Philly and it's not the same Kluber.

I'm going to ride Philly until they fail me. I'm on a nice little streak with them.

Also on Balty and Brewers.

[No coincidences]

KC +144 (2U to win 2.88)
COL +130 (2U to win 2.6)

[jameski999]

Rays are a sad team.

[No coincidences]

Rays are a sad team.

Short home faves will bury you every time in every sport.

[italianbandit]

52-39, +26.00U thread

Boss.

[No coincidences]

Boss.

Good to see you my man. Hope all is well.

MIN +113 (3U to win 3.39)
MIN FF +115 (2U to win 2.3)

[No coincidences]

Good to see you my man. Hope all is well.

MIN +113 (3U to win 3.39)
MIN FF +115 (2U to win 2.3)

Nice line, Vegas.

4-0 Zimmermann closes at -116 against the Twins and Duffey. OK.

[pocketrockets42]

Vegas doesn't care about one single game losing. You overthink certain games like a retard and think everything is a trap.

[No coincidences]

Vegas doesn't care about one single game losing. You overthink certain games like a retard and think everything is a trap.

My results speak for themselves, moron. Look them up.

Can you say the same?

[BigDofBA]

Nice line, Vegas.

4-0 Zimmermann closes at -116 against the Twins and Duffey. OK.

It's 3-1 in the fifth inning. A lot game left. I'm on the twins as well.

[Smutbucket]

I think Odd lines are merely a reflection of odd markets so I dont try to read too much into them, because we never know what a market is truly doing. (despite the public % numbers)

For example, for all we know as of lately a lot more money has been on the twins and a lot more money has been betting against the Tigers therefore the line is out of whack then it should really be and not really a "trap"

I have found odd lines before that I thought were a trap but I dont think all odd lines are necessarily traps but reflections of betting patterns in the market. If I were a bookie I would seek even money on all games which would turn the most profit in the long run rather than looking to trap the public on one side that you can not definitively say will win or not.

[No coincidences]

If I were a bookie I would seek even money on all games which would turn the most profit in the long run rather than looking to trap the public on one side that you can not definitively say will win or not.

Exactly. So why would the Tigers be -116 with a 4-0 pitcher/sub 1.00 ERA vs. the 7-17 Twins?

For the most part, no one is going to be interested in making a play on the Twins at +105 here. To even out the money, they'd be in the +120-125 range (which is where I had them). I make a lot of $$$ betting games where the line looks like speaks for itself. Thought this was one of them. Instead, it was literally free money on the Tigers.

[No coincidences]

LAA +105 (4U to win 4.2)
SEA -102 (2.04U to win 2)
NYY +116 (2U to win 2.32)

[No coincidences]

Might add Tribe and/or Reds. Also lean O's, but the number to bet them is long gone.

[Smutbucket]

Exactly. So why would the Tigers be -116 with a 4-0 pitcher/sub 1.00 ERA vs. the 7-17 Twins?

For the most part, no one is going to be interested in making a play on the Twins at +105 here. To even out the money, they'd be in the +120-125 range (which is where I had them). I make a lot of $$$ betting games where the line looks like speaks for itself. Thought this was one of them. Instead, it was literally free money on the Tigers.

You cant say that for certain unless you know where the majority of the money has been placed on each team over the course of the season (and of recent trends)

[No coincidences]

You cant say that for certain unless you know where the majority of the money has been placed on each team over the course of the season (and of recent trends)

I would say it's a pretty safe assumption, if you look at both the pitching matchup and the records of the teams on paper. Total mismatch. No real reason for the Tigers to be anything less than -135 or -140 at minimum.

[SlickRick1382]

I would say it's a pretty safe assumption, if you look at both the pitching matchup and the records of the teams on paper. Total mismatch. No real reason for the Tigers to be anything less than -135 or -140 at minimum.

Twins line opened at +119 or something. It was bet down to +105 range.

With that said, I agree with Smut. I think being overly sharp can work against people sometimes. They over-analyze and overthink simple plays. I prefer to cap the games, pitchers, etc and not focus so heavily on what we think the market is saying.

I get into this same debate with YoungBuck all the time ....


I won't argue your results since I do follow you and you've done well ... just my opinion ....

[No coincidences]

Twins line opened at +119 or something. It was bet down to +105 range.

With that said, I agree with Smut. I think being overly sharp can work against people sometimes. They over-analyze and overthink simple plays. I prefer to cap the games, pitchers, etc and not focus so heavily on what we think the market is saying.

I get into this same debate with YoungBuck all the time ....


I won't argue your results since I do follow you and you've done well ... just my opinion ....

I've never subscribed to the free money theory, but I know others can pick their spots and do well with it.

Sometimes, Vegas really does put a gift in your lap like this.

[BigDofBA]

Exactly. So why would the Tigers be -116 with a 4-0 pitcher/sub 1.00 ERA vs. the 7-17 Twins?

For the most part, no one is going to be interested in making a play on the Twins at +105 here. To even out the money, they'd be in the +120-125 range (which is where I had them). I make a lot of $$$ betting games where the line looks like speaks for itself. Thought this was one of them. Instead, it was literally free money on the Tigers.

I've tracked all my baseball plays this year...pending updata for today, and I'm doing very well making plays just like I did in the Twins today.

Sometimes it just doesn't work out and the other side is free money. I'm sure people that constantly take the short road favorite are losing more than they are winning.

[BigDofBA]

Houston sucks.

A's walk bases loaded and then Gattis promptly grounds into a DP after the pitcher went 1-0 on him.

Way to let Oakland off the hook by having no plate disclipine.

[No coincidences]

Houston sucks.

A's walk bases loaded and then Gattis promptly grounds into a DP after the pitcher went 1-0 on him.

Way to let Oakland off the hook by having no plate disclipine.

The clock struck midnight on that bum. He has no business being in baseball.

[No coincidences]

LAA +105 (4U to win 4.2)
SEA -102 (2.04U to win 2)
NYY +116 (2U to win 2.32)

MIL +111 (2U to win 2.22)

[No coincidences]

Got fukking buried again today. Cold streak continues.