CK's Daily MLB Thread Leans for Tuesday 4/28/09

[cocknocker]

Almost done with the tedious work. For today's games I like:

Marlins+112
Marlins-1.5+180 Reverse runline Crumbs Play of the Day
Cleveland-107
Cleveland-1.5+190 Reverse runline
Minnesota-108
Nats/Phillies under 5 1st half

[i.spinal]

How you feelin bout the Chicago/Seattle Over 8.5 in the 2nd game tomorrow cocknocker? I think its going to cover easily.

[Famou$ $wag]

spinal...the 1st game is the match up you described (colon v. jukababdfkl) you still think itll go over

[ragiche]

Not good for me yesterday.Hope that i can rebound for todays' games.Plays that i like not yet booked but hoping to give some opinions about it.

Phi -175

Sdg ML

Mil RL

Cin RL

Nyy ML

[DaProfessor23]

i like marlins ML . but bookmaker has not put it up yet. kinda weird but whatever i will book it tommorow .

[The_Kid]

Washington Nationals +165

As hard as it was to stomach Washington giving up 6 runs in the 8th inning, I'm going to take another shot with them. The Nationals have hit lefties at a .300 clip this year and Lannan is definitely the ace of this staff. After two rough starts to begin the season, it looks like he has settled down a bit. Meanwhile, I don't think Hamels is 100% yet (his elbow injury in spring training is still bothering him) and in his last start, he did get hit by a line drive so I don't know how he'll respond to that. I think this is pretty good value for someone like Lannan and I don't think Hamels should be almost -200 the way he has performed this season.

[Snookered]

Washington Nationals +165

As hard as it was to stomach Washington giving up 6 runs in the 8th inning, I'm going to take another shot with them. The Nationals have hit lefties at a .300 clip this year and Lannan is definitely the ace of this staff. After two rough starts to begin the season, it looks like he has settled down a bit. Meanwhile, I don't think Hamels is 100% yet (his elbow injury in spring training is still bothering him) and in his last start, he did get hit by a line drive so I don't know how he'll respond to that. I think this is pretty good value for someone like Lannan and I don't think Hamels should be almost -200 the way he has performed this season.

I know I am a Noobie but have you checked Hamels record against the Nats? I agree Hamels has not been very good lately and the line drive may affect him tomorrow but he has had 48 strikeouts in the last 42 innings against the Nats! Plus the Phils are hot right now! Anyways Good Luck with the bet!

[i.spinal]

spinal...the 1st game is the match up you described (colon v. jukababdfkl) you still think itll go over

Yea i found that out after i posted. Fortunatly I hadn't put anything on it. I did bet on the over for the first game however.

[peterpan19]

really bad day:
plays for today:
CLE 2x
FLO 2x
SD 10x
Pit 5x
SEA 3x game 1

going for the kill today

GL

[i.spinal]

really bad day:
plays for today:
CLE 2x
FLO 2x
SD 10x
Pit 5x
SEA 3x game 1

going for the kill today

GL

Not liking that SD play...

[suicidekings]

I'm liking the road dogs today. No time for details, but I'm on:

WAS (+174) @ PHI
HOU (+109) @ CIN
PIT (+135) @ MIL
TOR (+121) @ KC

[j0hnnyv]

im opposite cleveland and minnesota. gl to u sir

[ChArRiT]

Any HEAVY plays CK?? You are due to hit Heavy plays, I ride Cleveland with ya yesterday, that stupid Kerry Wood F*CKED IT ALL....
Thanks!

[CUAIrish]

Another roughed up Monday... but starts out bad ends up good... i always say...

Leans for Tuesday:

Despite Adam Eaton's 1-2 record with a .7 something ERA; his K and BB ratios are sharp. And the runs he has given up haven't been coming from the long ball either. With some luck the hits he's been giving up will start landing in gloves rather than on grass and Eaton will be in business. I'll take Eaton at + money over Saunders off a bad start.

Baltimore +104 - HEAVY
Baltimore 1H -105

Phil Hughes making his MLB comeback tonight against a lineup that will make it tough to convince his fans he's the phenom they think he is... again.... I don't think he's MLB ready, and I don't think the yankees do either, but Wang hasn't left them with much choice. I think Hughes gets rocked tonight.

Detroit -109 2x

I can't give up on the Bucs, I like them with the + money and see a revenge factor after having given up 5 runs in the 8th after having taken the lead they will want redemption. They will be without Doumit and McLouth so this will only be a half play.

Pittsburgh +138 - 1/2 play

Riding with CK on the Twinsies. I like Liriano at the + money.

Minnesota +107

Danks has an ERA of 0.95

CWS G#2 -124
CWS G#2 1H (no line posted yet)

Lastly, until Billingsley gives me reason not to, I will be riding him. I don't like that he's crept up into CRUMBS territory, but I have to ride him this season until he tells me otherwise. I'll be taking some of the juice off by playing 1H RL

LAD 1H RL -.5 -115

[Ringo]

Does anyone like texas tonight? Theyre at home with milwood on the hill facing oak with Brett Anderson. Im thinking of making a small play on tex rl. Any thoughts?

[JohnMorr08]

I am definitely smelling an under in Philadelphia

[TAPDATBOOK]

really bad day:
plays for today:
CLE 2x
FLO 2x
SD 10x
Pit 5x
SEA 3x game 1

going for the kill today

GL

F......U......C.....KING .......FISHY AGAIN , Fishy has been burning my bank, man, should it worth another try??????? F..U..C THAT

[ragiche]

My final plays for tonight's game as follows:

Laa RL (10x) Saunders 4-0 against the orioles,and bal bullpen are all used up by their last series against the rangers.And eaton can't last also 5 inn against the angels.

Min ML (10x) Liriano 2-0 with a 0.57 ERA against the rays.And tb are also not a very good hitting team against a left handed pithcher.I think you know what i mean.Liriano is a leftie right?

Stl RL (10x) Going with the hot bats here.And seeing reyes his last game his pithching is wat out of control and you cannot do that against one of the top 3 teams in baseball with a high batting avg. And Lohse is having a great start 3-0 with a 2.42 ERA and what a great timing also combining with his team hot bats.

Phi RL (2x) Hammels having his worst first 2 start this year.But i cannot fade a pitcher with a caliber like hammels to lose 3 in a row.And also own the nationals who are not doing well this week which is a right timing for hammels to get the W.(Maybe/probably i'm going to play was next week and for sure not this week).

CK.What do you think about my little research?Do i have some improvement? And also what are you're insights about my picks.Hope that you can add something that i don't know or that i miss.And do you have plays in the NBA also?

[alukk]

tuesday:
Cardinals -1.5 BIG
cardinals tt over 4.5
LAD -1.5 BIG

[TAPDATBOOK]

CK, Why do like fishy today??? they have been burning my bank. .......F...U...C ....that




Livan Hernandez is 3-0 with a 3.05 ERA in his last three starts against the Fishy.

Florida will start Ricky Nolasco, 1-2 with a 6.86 ERA so far this year. he has been struggling against the Mets in his career, going 2-6 with a 6.36 ERA in 12 games against the METS.

Jose Reyes and David Wright are hitting 25-for-57 (.439) against Nolasco, and three homeruns apiece.


MAN, I CAN'T GO AGAINST YOU & PETERPAN......

[ragiche]

Tapdatbook,

I know what you feel.The only advice i can tell you is NO PLAY if you're in a sitiuation that you don't want to go against the maestro.

[laxdjock]

While I'm not a Livan fan.....I think he'll grind out a good start against the Fish. Nolasco has not looked good thus far, and his career numbers are bad. I'm on the fence about playing this game, but if I did I'd take the -1.5 +155 RL.

[t-bone]

Marlins ML +115 is a gift.......Livan is as hittable as a men's softball league pitcher!

[t-bone]

Add Angels -125 as another goodie........Eaton threw the game of his life last start and the O's bullpen is horrid

[laxdjock]

Marlins ML +115 is a gift.......Livan is as hittable as a men's softball league pitcher!

He'll give up 3-4.....but how many will Ricky give up? I like the Mets BP compared to FL.

1 unit on Mets -1.5 RL.

[Pick'nParlays]

LA/SF Under 8½ -138(5dimes) 12 units. (big)

[TAPDATBOOK]

TEXAS & OAKLAND series - who will win this series? anyone has any thoughts?


The Rangers are averaging 7.9 runs/game at home this season.
The Rangers are averaging 10.2 runs/game against left-handed starters

Oakland is 6-25 against the ML in road games vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.00 the last 2 seasons.
Oakland will starting with Anderson LP tonight, and Cahill RH - 4/29, and Braden LH 4/30.


I like the Rangers WIN this series & Tonight game behind Millwood.

what do you guys thinks??? thanks for any helps & comments.

[Dexter]

lets win some green tonight boys

my plays are in my contest thread - not much time for writeups this week.

[showtime2000]

3 plays in pucks,

Carolina +140
Carolina/New Jersey over 5
NY Rangers/Washington over 5

Good luck all

[Dexter]

Josh Hamilton (ribs) is not in the starting lineup again on Tuesday and appears to be headed for the disabled list.

Hanley Ramirez (wrist) is not in the lineup for the Marlins on Tuesday.

*lets see how teams do without their star players - we already learned in the nba that it doesnt matter. amazing, all my years of betting and i never paid attention to the little things like this that we all analyze here each day.

i still played the rangers -1.5.

[alukk]

Add Angels -125 as another goodie........Eaton threw the game of his life last start and the O's bullpen is horrid

mets win this 1

[Dexter]

i'll continue posting my nba plays here since we have no thread in the nba section. all these overtimes catch up to the celts/bulls tonight:

under celtics 199 (3x)

[t-bone]

Went with Marlins First 5 +108.....good luck gents

[CUAIrish]

Josh Hamilton (ribs) is not in the starting lineup again on Tuesday and appears to be headed for the disabled list.

Hanley Ramirez (wrist) is not in the lineup for the Marlins on Tuesday.

*lets see how teams do without their star players - we already learned in the nba that it doesnt matter. amazing, all my years of betting and i never paid attention to the little things like this that we all analyze here each day.

i still played the rangers -1.5.

I've always been a better MLB handicapper than any other sport and I've seen drastic improvements since coming aboard with you guys... its the little things that you miss when you cap alone.

And as im speaking Os up 1-0. nice.

[Wilforth]

Went with Marlins First 5 +108.....good luck gents

This Marlins will keep eating away everyone's money. I also played them today after losing with them yesterday. They'll lose this one as well. Fvk them.