Both Road Teams are Favored in the Wild Card Games

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #1
    Both Road Teams are Favored in the Wild Card Games
    Not surprising really given the pitching matchups.

    Houston Astros at New York Yankees - American League Wild Card
    Tue 10/6 931 Houston Astros D Keuchel - L -110 o7 -120
    8:05PM 932 New York Yankees M Tanaka - R +100 u7 +100
    Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh Pirates - National League Wild Card
    Wed 10/7 933 Chicago Cubs J Arrieta - R -117 o6 +105
    8:05PM 934 Pittsburgh Pirates G Cole - R +107 u6 -125
  • High3rEl3m3nt
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-28-10
    • 8022

    #2
    I can't wait!!

    Yankees at even money
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82862

      #3
      Home field advantage means nothing in baseball. Getting great value with the home dogs.
      Comment
      • walkbalkerror
        SBR High Roller
        • 09-02-15
        • 113

        #4
        Originally posted by pavyracer
        Home field advantage means nothing in baseball. Getting great value with the home dogs.
        If its a tie game and road team scores in 9th inning, home team has a chance to come back, if home team scores, the game is over, isnt it?
        Comment
        • High3rEl3m3nt
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 09-28-10
          • 8022

          #5
          If the road team is leading in the 9th, the home team bats.
          Comment
          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82862

            #6
            Originally posted by walkbalkerror
            If its a tie game and road team scores in 9th inning, home team has a chance to come back, if home team scores, the game is over, isnt it?
            Well they play 9 innings. Whoever scores more runs in 9 innings wins.
            Comment
            • walkbalkerror
              SBR High Roller
              • 09-02-15
              • 113

              #7
              Originally posted by pavyracer
              Well they play 9 innings. Whoever scores more runs in 9 innings wins.
              Cant argue with that.
              Comment
              • gregmav1
                Restricted User
                • 01-09-14
                • 1830

                #8
                Home field advantage is 100% a thing. Last year in that AL Wild Card game, if that's in Oakland, Oakland 99 times out of 100 wins that game once they were up late, but in KC the fans were huge in the momentum that Royals eventually got going. Not saying it's a huge factor, but it is undoubtedly a factor.

                David Freese triple and HR in that insane 2011 world series game with cardinals vs. texas is another example of home field advnatage where i think cards lose that game if it's in texas and they're down late like that.
                Comment
                • Mr KLC
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 12-19-07
                  • 31097

                  #9
                  Yankees are in deep trouble if the books think the Astros should be a favorite in a road game, let alone a road playoff game.
                  Comment
                  • Plaza23
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-29-13
                    • 7392

                    #10
                    Home team has an advantage in baseball because often times in tie games during the 9th or extra innings the road manager will not put in their closer until they have a lead to protect. That in turn will make them pitch worse relievers in tie games on the road before the closer even gets a chance at pitching and puts them at a disadvantage.
                    Comment
                    • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 05-08-14
                      • 14988

                      #11
                      Hard not to like Arrieta at -117

                      Seems like a gift.
                      Comment
                      • badgerguy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-21-13
                        • 2281

                        #12
                        Originally posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn
                        Hard not to like Arrieta at -117

                        Seems like a gift.
                        I was thinking the same thing, and over 6
                        Comment
                        • MoMoneyMoVaughn
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 05-08-14
                          • 14988

                          #13
                          Originally posted by badgerguy
                          I was thinking the same thing, and over 6
                          Probably some other things to look into but how do you not take a guy who is 22-6, ERA under 2, whip under 0.9

                          Unreal value.

                          Am I missing something?
                          Comment
                          • Ratzz
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 07-07-10
                            • 8965

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Mr KLC
                            Yankees are in deep trouble if the books think the Astros should be a favorite in a road game, let alone a road playoff game.

                            Mr. Ewing is correct.

                            For the Yankees to be HOME DOGS is Vegas telling you they have 5% chance of winning that game.



                            YANKEES =

                            Comment
                            • ki dice
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-31-14
                              • 1182

                              #15
                              Don't ever underestimate the yankees in these situations,also girardi is one of if not the best manager in baseball
                              Comment
                              • jjgold
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 07-20-05
                                • 388179

                                #16
                                One game anything can happen throw out all your statistics
                                Comment
                                • CanuckG
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-23-10
                                  • 21978

                                  #17
                                  Cubs -125 now at pinnacle. Getting hit early.
                                  Comment
                                  • JameisBrady
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-15-15
                                    • 1023

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Ratzz
                                    Mr. Ewing is correct.

                                    For the Yankees to be HOME DOGS is Vegas telling you they have 5% chance of winning that game.



                                    YANKEES =
                                    lol. math is hard.
                                    Comment
                                    • Jayvegas420
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-09-11
                                      • 28213

                                      #19
                                      Poor Pirates. All that work to face the hottest pitcher on earth
                                      ....easily the bet of the week.
                                      Comment
                                      • MoneyLineDawg
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-01-09
                                        • 13253

                                        #20
                                        Keuchel on 3 days rest.....Yankees pretty good value here
                                        Comment
                                        • Ratzz
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 07-07-10
                                          • 8965

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by ki dice
                                          Don't ever underestimate the yankees in these situations,also girardi is one of if not the best manager in baseball
                                          Girardeau little notebook.. taking hit guys out.. putting cold guys in..

                                          is NOT a good manager.

                                          Yanks NEEDED to WIN a SINGLE fukn game to clinch home field, and lost ALL THREE.

                                          Astros lost one. So they got it anyways..

                                          but in three MUST-WINS, they came up with ZERO wins

                                          Comment
                                          • jt315
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-12-11
                                            • 22070

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Ratzz
                                            Girardeau little notebook.. taking hit guys out.. putting cold guys in..

                                            is NOT a good manager.

                                            Yanks NEEDED to WIN a SINGLE fukn game to clinch home field, and lost ALL THREE.

                                            Astros lost one. So they got it anyways..

                                            but in three MUST-WINS, they came up with ZERO wins

                                            And are back in the playoffs despite the epic swing and miss thread you started in April.
                                            Comment
                                            • MoneyLineDawg
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 01-01-09
                                              • 13253

                                              #23
                                              No one picked the Yankees to do anything this season, many had them last in the AL East...They lost their best hitter and still won the first wildcard

                                              People hate the Yankees but that's the truth
                                              Comment
                                              • LT Profits
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 10-27-06
                                                • 90963

                                                #24
                                                Only play so far: Yankees +105 (Heritage)
                                                Comment
                                                • CTOWNsCAPPIN
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-11-11
                                                  • 3079

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                  Home field advantage means nothing in baseball. Getting great value with the home dogs.
                                                  WOW. Home field means a lot in any sport including baseball.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • SportsGEEEEK
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-26-15
                                                    • 197

                                                    #26
                                                    Take both home teams.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • d2bets
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 08-10-05
                                                      • 39995

                                                      #27
                                                      Home field isn't 0, but it's not a whole lot either. Cubs up to -130. Being at home doesn't make it any easier to hit Arrieta, who actually has been more dominant on the road.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JMon
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 12-11-09
                                                        • 9800

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                        Only play so far: Yankees +105 (Heritage)

                                                        Will be on the Yankees as well and probably Cubs over GL
                                                        Comment
                                                        • LT Profits
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 10-27-06
                                                          • 90963

                                                          #29
                                                          Pirates total is now 5.5
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Jayvegas420
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 03-09-11
                                                            • 28213

                                                            #30
                                                            Looks like you should wait to make you bet JMon. Line looks like it has Nowhere to go but down.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LT Profits
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-27-06
                                                              • 90963

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Jayvegas420
                                                              Looks like you should wait to make you bet JMon. Line looks like it has Nowhere to go but down.
                                                              Which seems funny to say about a total that opened at 6.

                                                              But you may be right, can we see a 5 during post-season? Would be lowest playoff total ever and would tie all time regular season lowest total.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • d2bets
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 08-10-05
                                                                • 39995

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                Which seems funny to say about a total that opened at 6.

                                                                But you may be right, can we see a 5 during post-season? Would be lowest playoff total ever and would tie all time regular season lowest total.
                                                                Wait until Arrieta faces Greinke at Wrigley in 40's temps and wind blowing in. 5 might be high?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • ooohDavis
                                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                                  • 02-26-13
                                                                  • 17

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Rarely post but does anyone here actually follow baseball? Keuchel is a pedestrian 5-8 on the road with a 3.77 ERA. He's never in his career started a game on 3 days rest, and tossed 99 pitches in his last start. Tanaka and the more experienced NYY at home get it done. Plus money is a gift from baby jesus.

                                                                  I'll gladly take all Houston action on this game if you are in the San Diego area.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • JMon
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-11-09
                                                                    • 9800

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                                    Which seems funny to say about a total that opened at 6.

                                                                    But you may be right, can we see a 5 during post-season? Would be lowest playoff total ever and would tie all time regular season lowest total.
                                                                    I'm only counting 4 post season total<=5.5, dating back to 2010 and all four went over. LT you seeing anymore?

                                                                    10.21.10 Lincecum vs Halladay (2-4)
                                                                    10.27.10 Lincecum vs Lee (11-7)
                                                                    10.18.13 Wacha vs Kershaw (9-0)
                                                                    10.3.14 Kershaw vs Wainwright (9-10)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Jayvegas420
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 03-09-11
                                                                      • 28213

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lincicum vs. Lee would have got you a ton of action points!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      Search
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...