Week of 4-12 MLB plays

[Justin7]

So thats how the "pro's" do it.

Betplom, I'm disappointed! I thought more of you.

I lose almost half my bets, as do most pros.

[onthewhat]

LOL at this nit wit

[G's pks]

This is great material... You care if I plagiarize your idea, and do a video on this?

Do a video on you and Pat betting the nationals and your heartbreaking loss...

[j0hnnyv]

lol @ g's trying to take it to justin. g's just stop what youre ahead pal. you could learn alot from Justin.

[dwest718]

I was about to say the same thing johnny. You have to be kidding me G. You must've been huge on the Marlins today to talk this much smack on one missed value bet.

[G's pks]

Defending a supposed five thousand dollar bet on a 1-10 team against a 11-1 team... Then talks about value on a +120 team that is 0-6 at home...against a team that is as hot as they get...6-0 on road..

Ok guys whatever....Like stopping a running freight train....with a pop can...

[G's pks]

I was about to say the same thing johnny. You have to be kidding me G. You must've been huge on the Marlins today to talk this much smack on one missed value bet.

I had zero bets today...all my bets are listed in my thread... The point is>>>> how do the Nationals deserve a $5000 bet...and how did this bet justify value at +120???

[G's pks]

Value?

Here are a few stats that may interest you who still think nats were a good bet... Here is your lack of value>>>

Nationals...
record 1-10
record as a dog 1-10
home record 0-6
0-5 last 5 SU vs florida
1-9 last 10 vs florida SU
allowing over 6 runs a game
second worst in hits allowed per game...over 10..
Cabrera era over 4

Marlins
11-1 best record in league
todays starter Volstad era under 3
6-0 on road
9-1 last 10m Su vs Nats
second best in league in hits vs nats second worst


Guys this list can go on and on...there was no value here.... Also for the few who dropped responses do you look at stats? Well explain the value in the nats after looking at above stats...Go ahead jusity a $5,000 bet!

[rjt721]

Quit while you're behind.

[G's pks]

I was about to say the same thing johnny. You have to be kidding me G. You must've been huge on the Marlins today to talk this much smack on one missed value bet.

actually huge on actually researching games...

[G's pks]

Quit while you're behind.

yeah ok...sure...the stats are there for you go bet $5,000 on the nats

[Matt Rain]

yeah ok...sure...the stats are there for you go bet $5,000 on the nats

You're a grating idiot.

[G's pks]

ok guys great job on the National today! Done here.... No wonder why so many are losing, keep up the great work and the books will continue to love you!

[Justin7]

Guys, please keep it on topic. Feel free to disagree as G's pks has, as long as you give reasons.

If you don't like his reasoning, address it - don't knock him (or others).

[G's pks]

Guys, please keep it on topic. Feel free to disagree as G's pks has, as long as you give reasons.

If you don't like his reasoning, address it - don't knock him (or others).

Its ok Justin....Most of these people are losing daily and angry..that is fine. If two or three get together they think they know something...that is fine too.

I will keep capping using stats and hopefully winning as I have been all year.... They do not bother me at all...winning is all that matters for me in gambling...the frustrated ones i can handle...

I am done on this for now....hopefully a few saw the light with the stats I posted...and if not that is fine too!... G.

[dwest718]

I bet the Marlins today because I felt like Volstad was the far superior pitcher and the Marlins were the better team. I don't see how betting Cabrera as a <+150 dog can be value, but in general Justin does a good job with his picks. For 8 full innings, the Nationals looked like a good bet , but the Nats proved their bullpen is bottom 5 in the league yet again.

Either way, harping on 1 pick out of 50 is a little ridiculous.

Keep the picks coming Justin.

[suicidekings]

The thing about the Marlins is that, yes, their pitching has been awful, but they're ranked 15th out of 30 MLB teams (8th in the NL) in offense (runs per game) so far this year. You know they're not going to go through the season as a .091 team, and will almost always be set as the dog in matchups, so they're a team to pay close attention to. Maybe it didn't work out today, but being aware of their situation means that you might be able to capitalize on some big opportunities in future games, as long as you don't just decide to dismiss them outright as a losing team.

I've only bet on the Nats one time this year, and that happened to be in their win vs PHI because the situation looked strong to me, playing against an overvalued Phillies team with the very overvalued Blanton on the mound... I'm just saying, the term "value pick" has merit.

[reno cool]

I'm planning on it. While I'm betting chump-change (as I can get filled on overnight lines), I still have bets on every play I put out. My hope is that at the end of the year, it will show that you can crush overnights, even if you can't win versus closing lines.

I love betting overnights. My problem is besides 5dimes other books I use don't offer good lines overnight. And it seems I'm getting screwed on line movement the next day. Washington was a good example. If you can tell me of any good books offering 10c overnights that would be helpful.thx

[donjuan]

There is only value in winning bets! There is absolutely zero value in a losing bet....

Can I borrow your crystal ball?

I am done on this for now....hopefully a few saw the light with the stats I posted...and if not that is fine too!... G.

The stats you posted were essentially meaningless.

[jayc88]

What amazes me is how some of you feel you are playing "value".
There is only value in winning bets! There is absolutely zero value in a losing bet.... Try explaining Pat going all in on the Nationals! Come on there was no value, just a long pitiful losing record up to now.... You were talking about the hottest team in the league against the very coldest....