MLB - Tuesday, 8/18/15

mth61 · 08-18-15, 06:52 AM

Nice was waiting for your card to see if we had any similarities. Opposite ends for Mets/O's . I got a high total for that game too. 9.18.... Glad to see you're on the Tigs and Rays with me

Big Bear · 08-18-15, 07:13 AM

whats up with the Rays putting out such a different line-up on a nightly basis...

they seem to doing that platoon shit like the A's used to.

Who is this Richie Schaefer guy and why does he only play once a week but when he does he usually bats in the #2 hole?

and they need to leave Jaso in that leadofff spot even against LHP.

RollinDo · 08-18-15, 07:19 AM

I think Mets - O's Under is the total of the week!
Don't understand why not juiced.

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 07:20 AM

60 %ers:

Yankees 63% (-170)
Toronto 61% (-156)
Pittsburgh 66% (-194)
Washington 60% (-150)
Dodgers 69% (-223)
San Diego 64% (-178)

Toronto actually looks low, Phillies might be good at big odds at home.

mth61 · 08-18-15, 07:23 AM

I took a shot at the Phils, odds are too much on BJ but I made it a small play. If it gets pounded more I might just add a couple more pennies.

Big Bear · 08-18-15, 07:28 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

60 %ers:

Yankees 63% (-170)
Toronto 61% (-156)
Pittsburgh 66% (-194)
Washington 60% (-150)
Dodgers 69% (-223)
San Diego 64% (-178)

Toronto actually looks low, Phillies might be good at big odds at home.

maikel franco was the heart and soul of that philly squad. If they let Utely hit they might as well forfeit.

This Nola dude was a 1st round pick from LSU though... he doesnt throw hard... only 92mph which is below the MLB average heater but he looks like he has decent control. Not much movement and nothing special in his arsenal as far as a deuce. It will be interesting to see what he does against a "real line-up"

lots of Triple-A caliber line-ups in the NL East.

He might need a neck brace after facing Tulo, Donaldson, and Joey Bats. Lets hope Encarnacion plays 1st base.

Nola has a brother who is or was in MLB too right ?

mth61 · 08-18-15, 07:41 AM

Originally posted by Big Bear

Nola has a brother who is or was in MLB too right ?

Austin Nola 2B in Marlins minor league system, AAA I think.

44 Mag · 08-18-15, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

5 MLB Plays Tuesday

Orioles +103 (5 Dimes)
Tigers +151 (Heritage)
Marlins / Brewers UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays +113 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Athletics OVER 6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)

YTD: 429-391-21, +74.79

Surprised you are not on NYY over 8.5 ???? With them at home & that pitching match up, and I see it just move down to 8.5 ???

jets2580 · 08-18-15, 08:59 AM

Hey LT, Orioles at -105 okay?

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 09:49 AM

Originally posted by jets2580

Hey LT, Orioles at -105 okay?

Borderline, I have them 53% (-113). Try and get -103 if possible.

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Surprised you are not on NYY over 8.5 ???? With them at home & that pitching match up, and I see it just move down to 8.5 ???

Nothing wrong with pitching matchup, model has 8.6. Pelfrey is hot right now and CC is good when he is not giving up home runs (I know, not a given that he won't).

Ra77er · 08-18-15, 10:00 AM

LT I like the Rangers tonight, I see the number going Iwakuma's way but I think +130 is a little much. What do you have that one at? My primitive number has Tex +115 here. Iwakuma has a scary HR/FB rate, however he is pitching much better lately, no no the other day but I think he is getting a little too much love here. Anyway what number do you have sir?

cankid · 08-18-15, 10:01 AM

Thanks Gluck today

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 10:10 AM

Originally posted by Ra77er

LT I like the Rangers tonight, I see the number going Iwakuma's way but I think +130 is a little much. What do you have that one at? My primitive number has Tex +115 here. Iwakuma has a scary HR/FB rate, however he is pitching much better lately, no no the other day but I think he is getting a little too much love here. Anyway what number do you have sir?

Seattle 57% (-133)

Looks like needs more rise for Texas to have some value. Looks like M's had the value at opening yesterday but not by time I woke up this morning.

Ra77er · 08-18-15, 10:16 AM

Ya I would assume you need +146 and up to consider the Rangers with your number. Hmm I am missing something here with my number compared to yours. Thanks LT, will do some more research before I bet them for money or perhaps wait until a little later to see if I can snag a better number.

bet-clever · 08-18-15, 10:39 AM

@LT

Marlins - Brewers under ????
Are you kidding me?

It is not serious, the match up between both pitchers is terrific, 2 guys who can take 5 run each.

Same as Yesterday, I will play the opposite cause trusting those pitchers is not a good idea.
6 run scored Yersterday by the Marlins with Garza on the mound, I let you imagine the match-up today... 2 digits minimum.

Those pitchers have not a good ERA but it is morora.

8 run Yesterday, 2 digits today.

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 11:23 AM

2 MLB Additions

7 MLB Plays Tuesday

Orioles +103 (5 Dimes)
Reds +106 (5 Dimes)
Tigers +151 (Heritage)
Marlins +129 (5 Dimes)
Marlins / Brewers UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays +113 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Athletics OVER 6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)

SBRMAN23 · 08-18-15, 11:53 AM

Lt what about Giants ML?

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 11:58 AM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

Lt what about Giants ML?

Model agrees at St. Louis only 57% (-133). I don't like the change to Vogelsong though.

SBRMAN23 · 08-18-15, 12:24 PM

I like Det Ml and Sf esp with Jason prob being out with Hamstring Vog can work thru that lineup min damage

Bbfromgpt · 08-18-15, 12:29 PM

Originally posted by 44 Mag

Surprised you are not on NYY over 8.5 ???? With them at home & that pitching match up, and I see it just move down to 8.5 ???

Yanks bullpen is SPENT too

innovation · 08-18-15, 01:50 PM

I really feel CC fatbathia gets lit up tonight....took Min ML, -1, -1.5, -2

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 02:03 PM

Another MLB Addition

8 MLB Plays Tuesday

Orioles +103 (5 Dimes)
Mets / Orioles OVER 7.5 +107 (5 Dimes)
Reds +106 (5 Dimes)
Tigers +151 (Heritage)
Marlins +129 (5 Dimes)
Marlins / Brewers UNDER 8 +100 (Heritage)
Rays +113 (5 Dimes)
Dodgers / Athletics OVER 6.5 -103 (5 Dimes)

SBRMAN23 · 08-18-15, 03:10 PM

Lt you think Lad get 7 themselves cause Kersh not giving up much to this JV squad idk

thebettingman15 · 08-18-15, 04:00 PM

thoughts on rockies ML at home?

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 04:20 PM

Originally posted by SBRMAN23

Lt you think Lad get 7 themselves cause Kersh not giving up much to this JV squad idk

They should get a lot.

I would never lay that much juice with Kershaw but the Over is a nice alternative at the price.

DavidHessSBC · 08-18-15, 04:21 PM

GL tonight LT

LT Profits · 08-18-15, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by thebettingman15

thoughts on rockies ML at home?

I listed Washington with the 60%ers in Post #4, too close to the real line.

thebettingman15 · 08-18-15, 04:28 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

I listed Washington with the 60%ers in Post #4, too close to the real line.

can you explain to me why you don't take anything close to the real line?

RavensFan2k3 · 08-18-15, 04:30 PM

Originally posted by thebettingman15

can you explain to me why you don't take anything close to the real line?

Because that's where value comes from

44 Mag · 08-18-15, 04:33 PM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Because that's where value comes from

From a guy who just took Kershaw -200 + .

riffraff24 · 08-18-15, 04:33 PM

Liking the over in Toronto/Philly game. Any thoughts there?

44 Mag · 08-18-15, 04:37 PM

Originally posted by riffraff24

Liking the over in Toronto/Philly game. Any thoughts there?

Mt $ 0.02. Since the break, Toronto has played 9 away games, and gone over 8 a total of 2X. BOL. I know you didn't ask me.

USCPHILLYGUY · 08-18-15, 04:38 PM

Originally posted by riffraff24

Liking the over in Toronto/Philly game. Any thoughts there?

Hot as hell here in philly tnite. Balls will be flying all over the place