MLB - Thursday, 7/2/15

[LT Profits]

4 MLB Plays Thursday

Pirates -124 (Heritage)
Brewers / Phillies UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Braves +189 (5 Dimes)
Rockies +135 (5 Dimes)


YTD: 281-257-14, +51.13

[Big Bear]

no Jose Fernandez?????

[Fabiodog]

Any 70% teams today,you are 3-0 in that dept so far.

[Big Bear]

[jjgold]

Arizona has no business ever being favored by this much

[Big Bear]

Arizona has no business ever being favored by this much

true.

Although the Snakes hammer lefties and the Rockies bullpen is a disaster.

But the Rockies should be able to take hellboy to pound town.

[PorkChop]

Really want that Phillies line to go 8.5, then im all over the Under.

[Blackballer]

Pirates for the sweep!

[LT Profits]

Any 70% teams today,you are 3-0 in that dept so far.

No, nothing even close today.

[LT Profits]

Really want that Phillies line to go 8.5, then im all over the Under.

There was 8.5 available at the time i bet, but cheapest price was -127 on 5 Dimes Reduced.

[BamaCBass]

LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.

[Big Bear]

LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.

[LT Profits]

LT, in your opinion, do Runlines rarely have value? Obviously it depends on the price, but it appears you don't play them.

It seems to me Run Lines are occasionally undervalued for Money Line favorites in the -131 to -150 range if you can get RL dime lines, but not very often. I have played 2 or 3 RL faves this year. I would also go as far as to say Run Lines almost never have value on 20-cent lines.

[BamaCBass]

It seems to me Run Lines are occasionally undervalued for Money Line favorites in the -131 to -150 range if you can get RL dime lines, but not very often. I have played 2 or 3 RL faves this year. I would also go as far as to say Run Lines almost never have value on 20-cent lines.

You da man. Seems like you may have stated something similar before, as my memory often eludes me, but I had a feeling that was the case. Thanks for your take.

GL today!

[Big Bear]

what is a RL dime line?

and what is a RL 20 cent line?

does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML

[LT Profits]

what is a RL dime line?

and what is a RL 20 cent line?

does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML

Even most shops that have dimeline Money Lines (-105/-105) still deal 20-cent Totals and Run Lines (-110/-110). That's why it is valuable to find shops with dimeline Totals and RLs (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Pinny for non-USA).

[RavensFan2k3]

as a former pitcher myself, this right here is sexy as hell

[El Sol]

what is a RL dime line?

and what is a RL 20 cent line?

does a RL 20 cent line mean -120? b/c i rarely see those. Most of the time -1.5's are offered at + money unless the team is like -250 on the ML

I think I understand your misconception on what a dime or 20c line means. It refers to the amount of Juice charged on any given line. Not the Final line. So a 20c line doesn't mean the line is precisely -120 or -110/-110. Its just the easiest example to give

[tatddy]

LT I have the Nats at roughly 69% to win here. You must rate Banuelos higher than I because the Nats should have no problem putting up a crooked inning in my book.

[LT Profits]

2 MLB Additions

6 MLB Plays Thursday

Pirates -124 (Heritage)
Brewers / Phillies UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
Braves +189 (5 Dimes)
Twins +137 (Heritage)
Rockies +135 (5 Dimes)
Mariners / Athletics OVER 7 +100 (Heritage)

[Ghenghis Kahn]

as a former pitcher myself, this right here is sexy as hell

did you say sexy?

[EVfollower]

https://nitrogensports.eu/betslip/69fcd18b3YwVkY2OVBrYVN0R0pERlFoTWhvZz09/r/170548/

I find the over to be promising. Both pitchers are gas cans and the ump pitching today has a known tight strike zone. What % does your system have the under hitting of the time? Curious to know how big of an edge you personally are predicting. Good luck.

[Big Bear]

[D-raww]

Marines vvs athletics over 7, a good pick? Might slam on it.

[ridindirty]

Boston have any value at around +146?

[PorkChop]

Boston have any value at around +146?

Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

This line to me is mind boggling

Win would put Sox 6-4 on AL East Trip, 9-5(4-1)

Saying all that, Miley against the Jays right handers is potential again.

[Blackballer]

Even most shops that have dimeline Money Lines (-105/-105) still deal 20-cent Totals and Run Lines (-110/-110). That's why it is valuable to find shops with dimeline Totals and RLs (Heritage, 5 Dimes, Pinny for non-USA).

Is Heritage accepting non-USA, for instances from Europe?

[Big Bear]

my model has the Nationals with a 74% chance to win

[Blackballer]

How good is accuscore when it comes to percentages??

http://accuscore.com/expert-picks/baseball?ref=rec

For example they have Nationals at 78%:

http://accuscore.com/game-forecast-previews/mlb/7-2-2015/washington-nationals-atlanta-braves-1176

[Big Bear]

Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

This line to me is mind boggling

Win would put Sox 6-4 on AL East Trip, 9-5(4-1)

Saying all that, Miley against the Jays right handers is potential again.

some serious RLM in that one

public on Red Soc yet line is sky rocketing the other way

The Jays crush lefties

[ridindirty]

Boston ML
Boston+0.5FF
Jays under 4.5 TT

[PorkChop]

Excellent value, Blue Jay's second top prospect on his second start. (Rangers beat him first start 4-0.). VERY important game for Sox to get series win here.

This line to me is mind boggling


.

Line is still mind-boggling to me.

[No coincidences]

Line is still mind-boggling to me.

Not sure if it was set that high to spook some bettors or what. Worked for me. I had it Boston +110. Figured oddsmakers knew what they were doing. Guess not.

[RavensFan2k3]

Not sure if it was set that high to spook some bettors or what. Worked for me. I had it Boston +110. Figured oddsmakers knew what they were doing. Guess not.

Yes that's exactly what they were doing and it worked for you and many others

[UPCOMINGPLAYER]

its just the first inning and this is toronto fir christ sake. it is looking bleak but its not impossible for them to still win. So chill out we've seen crazier things in baseball