2015 SDQL Baseball Thread

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  • bking79
    SBR Sharp
    • 04-17-15
    • 341

    #421
    i like the royals play
    Comment
    • bking79
      SBR Sharp
      • 04-17-15
      • 341

      #422
      Comment
      • bking79
        SBR Sharp
        • 04-17-15
        • 341

        #423
        Alex i was thinkin if we should fade this query because its been doin bad its good for runlines but not moneylines
        Comment
        • bking79
          SBR Sharp
          • 04-17-15
          • 341

          #424
          We would be 10-4 since may 12 faden this one
          Comment
          • bking79
            SBR Sharp
            • 04-17-15
            • 341

            #425
            Today we would take blue jays braves giants and nationals
            Comment
            • bking79
              SBR Sharp
              • 04-17-15
              • 341

              #426
              May 1st till now if we faded we would be 26 wins 15 losses
              Comment
              • posey
                SBR MVP
                • 05-23-14
                • 1112

                #427
                5/18

                Brewers @ Tigers, Tigers ML -137, L, -1.00 u
                0-1, -1.00 u.

                Record: 32-23, +11.87 u.
                Comment
                • Alex Vaile
                  SBR MVP
                  • 04-19-14
                  • 3724

                  #428
                  Originally posted by bking79
                  Alex i was thinkin if we should fade this query because its been doin bad its good for runlines but not moneylines
                  I agree. May hasn't been kind to this query.
                  Comment
                  • birdsfan
                    SBR Rookie
                    • 11-19-14
                    • 47

                    #429
                    starter = Ricky Nolasco and s:AW and A
                    SU: 18-12 (0.57, 60.0%) avg line: 122.5 / -133.9 on / against: +$966 / -$1,176 ROI: +30.5% / -28.7%
                    OU: 21-8-0 (1.33, 72.4%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$1,235 / -$1,595 ROI: +40.0% / -48.5%
                    Comment
                    • Alex Vaile
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-19-14
                      • 3724

                      #430
                      Originally posted by birdsfan
                      starter = Ricky Nolasco and s:AW and A
                      SU: 18-12 (0.57, 60.0%) avg line: 122.5 / -133.9 on / against: +$966 / -$1,176 ROI: +30.5% / -28.7%
                      OU: 21-8-0 (1.33, 72.4%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$1,235 / -$1,595 ROI: +40.0% / -48.5%
                      Nice find Birds
                      Comment
                      • Alex Vaile
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-19-14
                        • 3724

                        #431
                        Originally posted by bking79
                        May 1st till now if we faded we would be 26 wins 15 losses
                        The higher odds make the losses hurt more but that's a solid record
                        Comment
                        • Alex Vaile
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-19-14
                          • 3724

                          #432
                          Originally posted by birdsfan
                          starter = Ricky Nolasco and s:AW and A
                          SU: 18-12 (0.57, 60.0%) avg line: 122.5 / -133.9 on / against: +$966 / -$1,176 ROI: +30.5% / -28.7%
                          OU: 21-8-0 (1.33, 72.4%) avg total: 8.4 over / under: +$1,235 / -$1,595 ROI: +40.0% / -48.5%
                          Wow 7 to 0 in the 2nd.
                          Comment
                          • leetreaper
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 10-23-10
                            • 34841

                            #433
                            bird
                            Comment
                            • Alex Vaile
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-19-14
                              • 3724

                              #434
                              Season to date : 64-59 + 5.12 units
                              Today's plays : 3-1 for + 2 units

                              Royals, Giants and Giants under winners and Tigers RL loser.
                              Comment
                              • FlyinAir
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-14-14
                                • 1612

                                #435
                                Hey boys!

                                Have a dog play today 5/20 and the record is 10-2 on the season.

                                p:L and p:hits>7.5 and op:SO>5 and D and season>=2015 and o:STDSERA>4.05 and total>7.5

                                Also, we should smack the under in this game since it's so high.
                                Comment
                                • Alex Vaile
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-19-14
                                  • 3724

                                  #436
                                  Today's plays :

                                  Play D-Backs + 120
                                  Play Orioles - 135

                                  p:errors = 0 and op:errors = 1 and (H or SG > 1) and SG < 5 and SGS > 2 and SGS - SG < 3 and (H or day != Saturday) and ((H and -215 < line < 142) or (A and -200 < line < 175)) and (conference = AL or o:conference = NL) and op:HR < 3 and p:runs > 2 and p:margin > -2 and 12 > pp:margin > -9 and streak < 5 and -7 < o:streak < 3 and p:SO < 14 and game number > 13 and -21 < tS(margin, N=10) < 29 and -30 < oS(margin, N=10) < 26 and s:SHA > 1 and s:SWA < 6 and s:SSO < 11 and s:SIP > 1.9 and s:SHF > 21 and s:SPT < 121 and 4 < starter rest < 17 and os:SRA < 7 and os:SWA < 6 and 20 < os:SHF < 33 and os:SIP < 8.1 and o:starter rest < 10 and op:runs < 9 and opp:runs < 13 and oppp:runs < 11 and oS(runs, N=10) > 21 and tS(HR, N=10) < 19 and tS(walks, N=10) > 16 and 42 < tS(SO, N=10) < 86 and site streak > -10 and o:site streak > -8 and op:SII < 5 and p:RMAX > 1 and oss:SHF > 13 and oss:SPT > 73 and -5 < tS(W, N=10) - oS(W, N=10) < 6 and -8 < tS(errors, N=10) - oS(errors, N=10) < 6 and opp:RMAX < 5 ( Bases )

                                  ROI 27 %
                                  Comment
                                  • Alex Vaile
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-19-14
                                    • 3724

                                    #437
                                    Play Under 7.5 even D-Backs vs Marlins

                                    A(doubles, N=10) < 1.9 and 8.9 < tA(hits, N=10) < 10.4 and .5 < tA(HR, N=10) < 1.3 and 1 < oA(doubles, N=10) < 1.7 and oA(hits, N=10) < 9.9 and oA(HR, N=10) < 1.1 and SG < 4 and 5 > SGS > 2 and p:HR < 3 and p:hits < 15 and 18 > pp:hits > 4 and 3 < ppp:hits < 16 and 3 < pppp:hits < 13 and ppppp:hits < 15 and pppppp:hits < 15 and ppppppp:hits > 6 and op:hits < 13 and s:SRA < 7 and s:SHRA < 2 and os:SRA < 8 and os:SPT < 122 ( Bases )

                                    ROI 40%
                                    Comment
                                    • Alex Vaile
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-19-14
                                      • 3724

                                      #438
                                      Play Under 7 + 105 Dodgers vs Giants

                                      total<=7 and Sum(hits@team and season)/Sum(at bats@team and season)<=245 and conference=NL and (p:runs+po:runs)<=2 and 2011<=season (JMon)

                                      ROI 21 %
                                      Comment
                                      • Alex Vaile
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-19-14
                                        • 3724

                                        #439
                                        Originally posted by FlyinAir
                                        Hey boys!

                                        Have a dog play today 5/20 and the record is 10-2 on the season.

                                        p:L and p:hits>7.5 and op:SO>5 and D and season>=2015 and o:STDSERA>4.05 and total>7.5

                                        Also, we should smack the under in this game since it's so high.
                                        I'll give it a go. Thanks for posting!
                                        Comment
                                        • bking79
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 04-17-15
                                          • 341

                                          #440
                                          Fellas di yu guys find anything on yankees today?
                                          Comment
                                          • Alex Vaile
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 04-19-14
                                            • 3724

                                            #441
                                            Originally posted by bking79
                                            Fellas di yu guys find anything on yankees today?
                                            Yes the query that we're fading in May would b to go against Yankees and Angels, taking Nats and Jays.

                                            AD and tS(o:hits-starter hits + o:walks - starter walks) / tS(9-starter innings pitched) <= 1.15 and line <= 150 and month < 9 and rest < 2

                                            I've got these others going with high ROI so I'm sitting out on these today. Best of luck.
                                            Comment
                                            • posey
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-23-14
                                              • 1112

                                              #442
                                              Alex there's some danger for the Dbacks it seems.

                                              HF and SG > 1 and streak <= 4 and C and tS(W, N=10) <= 2 and month = 5
                                              SU: 63-29 (1.32, 68.5%) avg line: -142.6 / 130.5 on / against: +$2,140 / -$2,488 ROI: +16.3% / -27.0%
                                              Comment
                                              • azsportswin
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-03-13
                                                • 625

                                                #443
                                                Originally posted by FlyinAir
                                                Hey boys!

                                                Have a dog play today 5/20 and the record is 10-2 on the season.

                                                p:L and p:hits>7.5 and op:SO>5 and D and season>=2015 and o:STDSERA>4.05 and total>7.5

                                                Also, we should smack the under in this game since it's so high.
                                                I like to follow this thread, but don't run the actual queries.....I leave that to you professionals....can you tell us what game this is? Thanks!
                                                Comment
                                                • posey
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-23-14
                                                  • 1112

                                                  #444
                                                  Originally posted by azsportswin
                                                  I like to follow this thread, but don't run the actual queries.....I leave that to you professionals....can you tell us what game this is? Thanks!
                                                  Phillies

                                                  ML 10-2
                                                  RL 11-1
                                                  OU 3-8-1
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Alex Vaile
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-19-14
                                                    • 3724

                                                    #445
                                                    Originally posted by posey
                                                    Phillies

                                                    ML 10-2
                                                    RL 11-1
                                                    OU 3-8-1
                                                    Ya sample pretty small. I figured id play it for half a unit. Results of this season pretty solid.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • azsportswin
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 10-03-13
                                                      • 625

                                                      #446
                                                      Thanks Posey, appreciate it!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Alex Vaile
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-19-14
                                                        • 3724

                                                        #447
                                                        Play Blue Jays - 125

                                                        starter rest - o:starter rest = 1 and (A or day != Monday) and (H or day != Friday) and 4 < starter rest < 11 and -2 < p:margin < 9 and -11 < op:margin < 8 and -10 < streak < 3 and -10 < o:streak < 6 and site streak < 8 and o:site streak < 8 and -29 < tS(margin, N=10) < 24 and -13 < oS(margin, N=10) < 15 and 15 < tS(hits, N=3) < 36 and tS(HR, N=10) < 14 and 18 < oS(hits, N=3) < 36 and 4 < oS(HR, N=10) < 17 and os:SSO < 10 and os:SWA < 5 and oS(margin, N=10) - tS(margin, N=10) > -15 and tS(hits, N=10) - oS(hits, N=10) > -23 and (game number > 139 or game number < 122) ( Bases )
                                                        This query also lists Twins but I can't back Pelfrey again. With the fade of other query and this one too I'll go with the Jays. Lot of plays today. Good luck to us all.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bking79
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 04-17-15
                                                          • 341

                                                          #448
                                                          So we cancel d backs and take marlins ?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Alex Vaile
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 04-19-14
                                                            • 3724

                                                            #449
                                                            Originally posted by posey
                                                            Alex there's some danger for the Dbacks it seems.

                                                            HF and SG > 1 and streak <= 4 and C and tS(W, N=10) <= 2 and month = 5
                                                            SU: 63-29 (1.32, 68.5%) avg line: -142.6 / 130.5 on / against: +$2,140 / -$2,488 ROI: +16.3% / -27.0%
                                                            We ll see I'm hoping that this won't continue and this more recent season will hold true.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • posey
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-23-14
                                                              • 1112

                                                              #450
                                                              Originally posted by Alex Vaile
                                                              We ll see I'm hoping that this won't continue and this more recent season will hold true.
                                                              I am playing Dbacks nonetheless. Have found two other queries supporting Zona.

                                                              Let's start it.



                                                              Record: 32-23, +11.87 u.


                                                              5/20


                                                              Diamondbacks @ Marlins, Diamondbacks +126


                                                              A - month = 5 and HF and streak <= -4 and HWP < 50 and WP < 50 and o:streak > 0 and WP < 50
                                                              SU: 33-44 (-0.31, 42.9%) avg line: -126.4 / 116.4 on / against: -$2,303 / +$1,863 ROI: -23.7% / +24.2%


                                                              B - HF and SG > 1 and streak <= 4 and C and tA(runs, N=5) < 3 and p:L and line > -140 and total < 9 and STDSERA + o:STDSERA < 8 and game number > 20 and month < 7 and season > 2007
                                                              SU: 15-20 (-0.23, 42.9%) avg line: -122.3 / 112.3 on / against: -$896 / +$699 ROI: -21.0% / +20.0%
                                                              Last edited by posey; 05-20-15, 11:16 AM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Alex Vaile
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-19-14
                                                                • 3724

                                                                #451
                                                                Originally posted by posey
                                                                Alex there's some danger for the Dbacks it seems.

                                                                HF and SG > 1 and streak <= 4 and C and tS(W, N=10) <= 2 and month = 5
                                                                SU: 63-29 (1.32, 68.5%) avg line: -142.6 / 130.5 on / against: +$2,140 / -$2,488 ROI: +16.3% / -27.0%
                                                                Oh damn ya I see ur talking about Dbacks. Thanks for the heads up but I already made my plays.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • posey
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-23-14
                                                                  • 1112

                                                                  #452
                                                                  Found some support for the Snakes.

                                                                  streak < 0 and month = 5 and STDSERA < 3.5 and C and HF and tA(hits, N=6) / tA(at bats, N=6) < .23 and tS(home runs, N=6) + tS(doubles, N=6) + tS(triples, N=6) <= 15 and game number > 15 and line > -155 and 6.5 < total < 9.5 and season != 2008
                                                                  SU: 18-30 (-0.38, 37.5%) avg line: -129.3 / 119.3 on / against: -$2,055 / +$1,755 ROI: -33.1% / +36.6%

                                                                  And some support for the Marlins...damn.

                                                                  month = 5 and H and -125 > line > -150 and SG > 1 and streak < o:streak and WP < o:WP and tA(hits, N=7) / tA(at bats, N=7) < .235 and oA(hits, N=7) / oA(at bats, N=7) > .24
                                                                  SU: 23-7 (1.70, 76.7%) avg line: -136.3 / 126.3 on / against: +$1,342 / -$1,412 ROI: +32.8% / -47.1%
                                                                  Last edited by posey; 05-20-15, 11:43 AM.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • posey
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-23-14
                                                                    • 1112

                                                                    #453
                                                                    Reds @ Royals, Over 8 +110


                                                                    A - starter = Jason Marquis and AD and 7 < total < 10 and o:WP > 50 and 110 < line < 300
                                                                    OU: 23-6-2 (1.66, 79.3%) avg total: 8.5 over / under: +$1,650 / -$1,935 ROI: +48.6% / -56.5%


                                                                    B - team = Royals and p:runs allowed < 1 and HF and SG > 1 and season > 2010
                                                                    OU: 9-5-0 (1.32, 64.3%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$345 / -$540 ROI: +23.1% / -34.1%


                                                                    C - team = Reds and p:runs < 1 and D and SG > 1 and season > 2010 and total > 6.5
                                                                    OU: 8-3-0 (0.59, 72.7%) avg total: 8.1 over / under: +$480 / -$565 ROI: +39.5% / -46.7%


                                                                    D - team = Royals and os:L and p:W and op:L and o:STDSERA > 5 and season > 2010 and 7 < total < 9
                                                                    OU: 12-7-0 (-0.08, 63.2%) avg total: 8.2 over / under: +$410 / -$625 ROI: +19.4% / -30.1%


                                                                    E - game number > 20 and month < 6 and league = AL and o:league = NL and SG > 1 and p:runs + op:runs <= 3 and season > 2009 and 6.5 < total < 10
                                                                    OU: 14-6-3 (1.30, 70.0%) avg total: 8.0 over / under: +$748 / -$965 ROI: +29.8% / -37.7%
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Alex Vaile
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 04-19-14
                                                                      • 3724

                                                                      #454
                                                                      Marlins are a tough team to back right now. I've been burned a few times. Their pitching is suspect and bullpen has been giving up runs late in games. I'm hoping that continues....
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • birdsfan
                                                                        SBR Rookie
                                                                        • 11-19-14
                                                                        • 47

                                                                        #455
                                                                        starter = Wei Yin Chen and s:L and H
                                                                        SU: 16-4 (1.35, 80.0%) avg line: -127.3 / 115.9 on / against: +$1,116 / -$1,201 ROI: +43.0% / -56.9%
                                                                        Comment
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