terrortwylight - 2015 MLB Season Thread

[terrortwylight]

adding:
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u


updated:
WED 4/29
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u



YTD:
34-51-5 (-14.46u)


I banged the Astros the last 2 nights but tonight is not the night to get cute. I know Keuchel is a beast, but upon further investigation, I firmly believe SD is the play on this one. I hope I am wrong because that would make handicapping so much easier moving forward.

But I've seen this type of scenario over and over and over again.

[terrortwylight]

adding:
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u


updated:
WED 4/29
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u



YTD:
34-51-5 (-14.46u)

[terrortwylight]

adding:
Seattle Mariners ML, -160, 1u
Seattle Mariners -1.5, +105, 1u


updated:
WED 4/29
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u
Seattle Mariners ML, -160, 1u
Seattle Mariners -1.5, +105, 1u


YTD:
34-51-5 (-14.46u)

[terrortwylight]

adding:
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 4, +100, 1u
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7, +108, .5u
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9, +105, .5u


updated:
WED 4/29
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u
Seattle Mariners ML, -160, 1u
Seattle Mariners -1.5, +105, 1u
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 4, +100, 1u
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7, +108, .5u
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9, +105, .5u


YTD:
34-51-5 (-14.46u)




Straight up tailing Biff on a lot of these plays today. But once I looked into them I gotta admit they made a lot of sense. Very interested to see how these totals play out.

[terrortwylight]

WED 4/29
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u (W)
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u
Seattle Mariners ML, -160, 1u
Seattle Mariners -1.5, +105, 1u
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 4, +100, 1u
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7, +108, .5u
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9, +105, .5u


DAILY:
1-0-0 (+2.0u)


Nice start. I'll be away most of the night though. Probably just watching the Wings game.

Good luck to everyone!

I'll update my records tomorrow.

[Tommy Karate]

Good luck man

[terrortwylight]

WED 4/29
Detroit Tigers ML, -105, 2u (W)
NY Mets ML, -102, 2u (L)
San Diego Padres ML, -110, 2u (L)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +125, 2u (W)
Seattle Mariners ML, -160, 1u (W)
Seattle Mariners -1.5, +105, 1u (W)
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 4, +100, 1u (L)
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals UNDER 7, +108, .5u (PUSH)
Colorado Rockies @ Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 9, +105, .5u (W)


DAILY:
5-3-1 (+1.84u)


YTD:
39-54-6 (-12.62u)


Not an amazing day yesterday, but it was a + unit day overall so I have no right to complain.

Going back to the basics. Just trying to get back into the +$$$ zone by grinding it out slowly.. the same way I have been successful in MLB in years past.

[terrortwylight]

THURS 4/30
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5, -108. 25u


YTD:
39-54-6 (-12.62u)


This is a pure degenerate early play early here. I think Cards win easily, but with the uncertainty behind the STL starter today and the outrageous juice (Cards ML is -240 as of this moment), I'll take what I perceive as a value play.

[terrortwylight]

Good luck man

Thanks brother.

[ex50warrior]

You did intend to use a decimal point in front of the units played, right?

Good luck.

[terrortwylight]

I did.

My unit size right now in MLB is $50 based on my bankroll. For the NHL and NBA postseason, I cut it in half, because really I'm more or less just a degenerate putting in plays on those games.

So for this Phillies +1.5, for example, I put $12.50 to win. $12.50 on a game at -108 for me is .25u.

[terrortwylight]

THURS 4/30
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5, -108, .25u (L)
Minnesota Twins +1.5, -125, .5u
Detroit Tigers ML, +112, 1u
Houston Astros ML, +102, 1u


DAILY
0-1-0 (-0.27u)


YTD:
39-54-6 (-12.62u)

[terrortwylight]

THURS 4/30
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5, -108, .25u (L)
Minnesota Twins +1.5, -125, .5u (W)
Detroit Tigers ML, +112, 1u (L)
Houston Astros ML, +102, 1u (W)


DAILY
2-2-0 (+0.43u)


YTD:
41-56-6 (-12.19u)



Babysteps.

[Buckandadime]

We may not be able to win the battle but we can sure as hell win the war! Keep on keepin on.

[terrortwylight]

We may not be able to win the battle but we can sure as hell win the war! Keep on keepin on.

lyin in my plastic bed thinkin bout how things weren't soo coooooooool for me...

[terrortwylight]

We may not be able to win the battle but we can sure as hell win the war! Keep on keepin on.

Sorry I saw your Sublime avatar and got excited

[Buckandadime]

NICE!! Glad to know you have a sense of music appreciation

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, +110, 2.5u
NY Yankees ML, +106, 1u
Washington Nationals ML, +101, 1u
St. Louis Cardinals ML, -136, .5u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +160, .5u



YTD:
41-56-6 (-12.19u)


Still looking at the last few games here..

[terrortwylight]

adding:
Seattle Mariners ML, -111, 1u
Chicago White Sox ML , -107, 1u
Toronto Blue Jays ML, +128, .5u
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 3.5, .5u
Cincinnati Reds ML, -118, .5u
Cincinnati Reds -1.5, +140, .5u


updated:
FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, +110, 2.5u
NY Yankees ML, +106, 1u
Washington Nationals ML, +101, 1u
Seattle Mariners ML, -111, 1u
Chicago White Sox ML, -107, 1u
Cincinnati Reds ML, -118, .5u
Cincinnati Reds -1.5, +140, .5u
St. Louis Cardinals ML, -136, .5u
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +160, .5u
Toronto Blue Jays ML, +128, .5u
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 3.5, .5u
Detroit Tigers @ KC Royals OVER 8.5, -103, .25u



YTD:
41-56-6 (-12.19u)

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, +110, 2.5u (L)
NY Yankees ML, +106, 1u (W)
Washington Nationals ML, +101, 1u (L)
Seattle Mariners ML, -111, 1u (L)
Chicago White Sox ML, -107, 1u (L)
Cincinnati Reds ML, -118, .5u (L)
Cincinnati Reds -1.5, +140, .5u (L)
Toronto Blue Jays ML, +128, .5u (L)
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 3.5, -120, .5u (W)
Detroit Tigers @ KC Royals OVER 8.5, -103, .25u (L)
++St. Louis Cardinals ML, -136, .5u
++St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +160, .5u


++ = 2 games need to grade


DAILY:
2-8-0 (-5.97u)

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, +110, 2.5u (L)
NY Yankees ML, +106, 1u (W)
Washington Nationals ML, +101, 1u (L)
Seattle Mariners ML, -111, 1u (L)
Chicago White Sox ML, -107, 1u (L)
Cincinnati Reds ML, -118, .5u (L)
Cincinnati Reds -1.5, +140, .5u (L)
Toronto Blue Jays ML, +128, .5u (L)
Toronto Blue Jays TT OVER 3.5, -120, .5u (W)
Detroit Tigers @ KC Royals OVER 8.5, -103, .25u (L)
St. Louis Cardinals ML, -136, .5u (W)
St. Louis Cardinals -1.5, +160, .5u (L)


DAILY:
3-8-0 (-5.97u)



YTD:
44-64-6 (-18.16u)


Did not envision being in the hole like $900 by the late evening of May 1st.

Eh well. Could be way worse. I could be a casino guy pawning my belongings to play slots.

I just remind myself that I have a budget. The bankroll is the money that I can afford to lose. When it gets to the point where there's no more bankroll, then there's no more terrortwylight.

But we're a ways from that. I've dug myself from much shallower graves.

[bhoor]

Why you play one-too-many games? You just pick the spots increasing the units instead of picking many games.

Cheers!

[terrortwylight]

Yeah in years past I bet no more than 2-5 games per day.

I've been booking way too much right now.

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, -127, 1u
Tampa Bay Rays ML, -130, 1u
Washington Nationals ML, -118, 1u


YTD:
44-64-6 (-18.16u)


Won't be around today. Good luck everyone.

[RavensFan2k3]

What do you like about Washington here? This line makes no aense, on the verge on unloading on Mets

[terrortwylight]

What do you like about Washington here? This line makes no aense, on the verge on unloading on Mets

my bad that was supposed to say Washington Wizards, not Washington Nationals. Thank you for pointing that out!

[2daBank]

you enjoy your weekend? lot of good looking dogs 2marro. fish, phils, tb, oak, and most of all scrubbies i think, all seem to have some decent value at 1st glance.

[terrortwylight]

Now, I'm beginning to turn profitable days again. As of tomorrow and moving forward, I will be flat betting. And given my "bankroll" on any given day, my unit is typically $50 a play. Here's my game plan:
1: If I really really like I play, I may slam it. But no more than 1 per week if it's a multi unit bed.
2. No more prop bets.
3. Go super light on totals.

One thing I was wondering early

As I said before, MLB is my "moneymaker" (I usually hold the money I won from MLB to fund my NFL or NCAAF handicapping, and since I decided to keep a season long thread, I wanted to make a few big plays right out of the gate to establish a presence early. I wanted to show everyone on this forum I am the real deal when it comes to bases. I've been registered since 2009 and specifically capping bases since I was 15 or so. Of course, I wasn't actually gambling money, but I would simulate having a bankroll and keeping a record. I am so glad I did that.

I see tons of people who joined SBR years and years after I did with 3 times, 4 times, maybe even 10 times as many posts that I have. So while I find it awesome that the community @ SBR is growing, it also means misinformation will spread like wildfire. When I first started posting here, it was way different.. People would legitimately help each other because there was an understanding amongst all of the posters. We had our strong points and our weak points, and together we kicked bookie ass.

I'll say this as well, last thing. I would love to talk to (most of) you guys about a game you're wondering about. Or if you see one of my picks and can't understand why in the world I would take the bet. LET ME KNOW WHY! JUST ASK ME ABOUT IT!

Lastly, feel free to post picks your own picks here as well. All I ask is that you make it clear that as long as it's made clear it's YOUR pick and not mine. If it hits, I don't deserve the accolades. And if it loses, I don't deserve the dent on my record. my YTD has been shitty enough with just me behind the wheel. Just keep your own YTD if you do decide you want to post some picks from time to time over here.

[terrortwylight]

FRI 5/1
Detroit Tigers ML, -127, 1u (L)
Tampa Bay Rays ML, -130, 1u (W)
Washington Nationals ML, -118, 1u (L)


DAILY:
1-2-0 (-1.45u)


YTD:
45-66-6 (-19.61u)


Yikes didn't realize I even had a losing day Friday til just now. Was super busy this weekend.

[terrortwylight]

MON 5/4
Oakland A's ML, +100, 1u
NY Yankees ML, +108, 1u
SF Giants ML, -137, 1u
Chicago Cubs ML, +140, 1u
Seattle Mariners First 5, -132, .5u
Seattle Mariners ML, -130, .5u
LA Dodgers ML, -184, .5u
LA Dodgers -1.5, -108, .5u





YTD:
45-66-6 (-19.61u)

[Buckandadime]

Hit em' today son!!!

[terrortwylight]

MON 5/4
Oakland A's ML, +100, 1u (L)
NY Yankees ML, +108, 1u (L)
SF Giants ML, -137, 1u (W)
Chicago Cubs ML, +140, 1u (L)
Seattle Mariners First 5, -132, .5u (PUSH)
Seattle Mariners ML, -130, .5u (W)
LA Dodgers ML, -184, .5u (L)
LA Dodgers -1.5, -108, .5u (L)



DAILY:
2-5-1 (-2.96u)



YTD:
47-71-7 (-22.57u)

[terrortwylight]

TUES 5/5
LA Dodgers ML, -140, 1u
Detroit Tigers ML, +100, 1u
NY Yankees ML, -119, 1u
Chicago Cubs ML +130, 1u
SF Giants ML, +107, 1u
Cleveland Indians ML, +110, 1u
Seattle Mariners ML, +126, 1u



YTD:
47-71-7 (-22.57u)

[2daBank]

man, i dont think i like det at all. cant convince myself i like chisox either tho..

[terrortwylight]

TUES 5/5
LA Dodgers ML, -140, 1u (W)
Detroit Tigers ML, +100, 1u (L)
NY Yankees ML, -119, 1u (W)
Chicago Cubs ML +130, 1u (L)
SF Giants ML, +107, 1u (W)
Cleveland Indians ML, +110, 1u (L)
Seattle Mariners ML, +126, 1u (L)


DAILY:
3-4-0 (-0.93u)


YTD:
50-75-7 (-23.5u)