CK's Daily Baseball Thread Leans for Wednesday 4/8/09

[cocknocker]

Reliever heartburn going on in Philly for Braves backers. Don't you just love it when guys blow their save opportunities?

[cocknocker]

I'm gonna stick to playing most of my games for first halves now. No way should a person who played the Braves have to surrender their money for that collapse by the bullpen.

[Dexter]

zack greinke does not like us cell. last year he gave up 15er in just 9 inn there, and the royals are 0-6 in games he has started at the chw. floyd on the flip side was solid in both home games last year vs the royals giving up 2er in 13ip. greinke is 5.38/1.35 career era/whip vs chw, and floyd is a solid 3.90/1.22 vs kc.

-whitesox pk (big - 2x)

[Dexter]

zack greinke does not like us cell. last year he gave up 15er in just 9 inn there, and the royals are 0-6 in games he has started at the chw. floyd on the flip side was solid in both home games last year vs the royals giving up 2er in 13ip. greinke is 5.38/1.35 career era/whip vs chw, and floyd is a solid 3.90/1.22 vs kc.

-whitesox pk (big - 2x)

kevin slowey is going to be a solid #2/3 guy for the twins all year. off a loss yesterday, i expect the twins to bounce back and once again hammer former teammate carlos silva. silva got blasted last year in the metdrodome giving up 9er in 3ip. slowey in his first 2 seasons has been a much better home pitcher (3.40 vs 5.00) and in night games (3.23 vs 6.01).

-twins RL -1.5 (+6) (big - 2x)

[Dexter]

i was about to make a play on the dodgers RL, but billingsley has been awful in april (5.45 era) the past 3 years. he may need a few weeks to get his arm loose. i'll pass on LA off a loss.

[Dexter]

todd wellemeyer is a very underrated pitcher with good stuff who will make a name for himself this season. last year he easily handled the pirates winning all 3 home starts in 19ip/4er. duke's pirates are 0-4 in games hes started at stl.

-cards RL -1.5 (+6) (big - 2x)

[Vreston]

kevin slowey is going to be a solid #2/3 guy for the twins all year. off a loss yesterday, i expect the twins to bounce back and once again hammer former teammate carlos silva. silva got blasted last year in the metdrodome giving up 9er in 3ip. slowey in his first 2 seasons has been a much better home pitcher (3.40 vs 5.00) and in night games (3.23 vs 6.01).

-twins RL -1.5 (+6) (big - 2x)

Dexter what do you mean by what you have in parenthesis? (+6) (-2x)?
Thanks

[Dexter]

final baseball plays for today:

-whitesox pk (big - 2x)
-twins RL -1.5 (+6) (big - 2x)
-cards RL -1.5 (+6) (big - 2x)

[Dexter]

Dexter what do you mean by what you have in parenthesis? (+6) (-2x)?
Thanks

+6 is the moneline you get when you play the run line. so my plays on the cards have to win by more then 1.5 runs, but i would get back $120 on a standard $100 bet (+6x20 = 120)

2x means i bet the game 2x (times) my normal standard wager size. just like 2units etc

[Vreston]

Since I'm not familiar with the American odds system and I use decimal odds since I'm in Europe I couldn't figure out what you meant. I use the Betting Odds Converter here at SBR betting tools section to help me understand and convert.
I put the +6 in the American odds box and nothing came up. Unless you meant 6 in decimal odds which is +500 American odds.
Thanks

[cocknocker]

6-1 so far on 1st innings! What a good start to the day with the Rockies win!

[Dexter]

6-1 so far on 1st innings! What a good start to the day with the Rockies win!

what did you play in the 1st inn??

[cocknocker]

Make that 7-1

[Dexter]

Since I'm not familiar with the American odds system and I use decimal odds since I'm in Europe I couldn't figure out what you meant. I use the Betting Odds Converter here at SBR betting tools section to help me understand and convert.
I put the +6 in the American odds box and nothing came up. Unless you meant 6 in decimal odds which is +500 American odds.
Thanks

im not sure - bottom line, +6 means +$120 us dollars. whenever you see me say -6, -7, +6 etc....just multiply that number by 20 to get the standard value for a $100 us play.

ie, redsox -7 (same as saying the redsox are -140 (7x20) to win 100)

if enough people keep getting confused, i'll just say the -140 instead of -7...

[cocknocker]

what did you play in the 1st inn??

I played ALL of them today only

[Dexter]

I played ALL of them today only

and on avg, what was the line you had gotten?

[Rellik]

Here we go guys..Main Even Mafia 4 plays for tonight:

LA Dodgers Run Line -120
Brewers/Giants Under 7 1/2
Oakland Athletics +115
Brewers/Giants 1st 5 innings Under 4

Let's see how the cookie crumbles.!!

Record up to now MLB 2009
2-1

Main Event Mafia...Let's Play!!!!

[Dexter]

whats main event mafia? lol

anyway, my redhot start to baseball is about to come to a screeching halt unless my teams can get some magic going. its cool - my style is to always play bigger with house money. back to the drawing board tomorrow, but still plenty of time tonight.

[cocknocker]

I am estimating around +100 to -120 range. I called them in this morning. We're cutting right now and for the next couple of days. I am on twitter so you can also text me up in the morning if you can't get to the computer to see what I'm doing. That's why my statements are brief. My fingers hurt, lol! I plan to be back home on Friday.

[Dexter]

rough night for me - took a shot when up, and now down 3.3 units for the season.

thur-

chris carpenter has been dominant in his career vs the pirates, though he will be making his first real start in a long time. hes been solid this spring, and im simply banking on the cards to once again bounce back off a loss.

-cards (run line)

[The_Kid]

Let's go Reds!! Get a couple of K-Rod now!!

[repski]

Minnesota Twins -150

-Carlos Silva was 2-8 away from home last year with a 6.70 ERA.
-Silva threw just 10 innings this spring. He gave up 22 hits and 13 runs while striking out just 4 batters.
-Slowey 25 innings this spring and gave up just 6 runs and 3 walks while striking out 22.

[Dexter]

if i would have capped my games last night repski, i would have the game with you - as the opening line was -140 and would have gotten down around that this morning when my book opened. when i capped the game tonight, the line was well above my baseline of -150, so i played the RL the books got me good on that one.

[cocknocker]

Kansas City got it done, Cleveland and Texas went over the total, Milwaukee is ahead 4-1, but the Reds got outlasted tonight by he Mets in a slugfest. Overall not a bad day when you factor in 9-6 in 1st inning runs. In basketball I picked up the win with Indiana and the under with Memphis/Orlando. I am getting my hat brought to me with the Jazz though!