man glad to see you on twins.. i just got mine in. i got them and the tigers. going on a chase with both.
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Tuesday 6.2.2015 final card
1* Twins ML (+160) - LOSER
1* Cubs -1 RL (+102) - LOSER
1* Parlay: Cardinals ML + Angels TT under 3' (+162) - WINNER
1* Braves TT over 4 (-130) - WINNER
1* Pirates/Giants under 7 (-110) - LOSER
2-3 -0.48u
84-78-14 +9.31 season to dateComment -
in hindsight, Red Sox TT under was the play. damn my eyes!Originally posted by terrortwylightComment -
when you get a minute would love to see your number on mil/stl.. thinking under and ff under maybe more. also thinking mil ff but dont wanna get in cards way of a series win against this squad.Comment -
i like under a lot in StL, SF and Miami. pondering all three right now and may book momentarily.Originally posted by 2daBank
my model's projected numbers:
MIL/StL: 5.96 - 6.1
PIT/SF: 5.42 - 5.68
CHC/MIA: 5.9 - 6.1Comment -
awesome.. thanx brother.Comment -
anytime! i'm going full game under on all three. the respective FFs offer no chance of a push (all 3') and, with the exception of savings me 3c juice on PIT/SF, i like the full game prices better. BOL whatever you decide. as i was looking at FFs, i did note that Lackey this season is 0-4-1 OU FF at home, 3-6-1 OU FF overall, which is outstanding. the problem is Nelson: 3-1-1 OU FF on road, 6-3-1 OU FF overall. Nelson is pitching better and i expect a decent performance, but if he has a bad inning, the impact on FF under is more than double that on full game.Originally posted by 2daBank
plus, in general, i prefer FF overs to unders simply based upon number of outs - though in the NL, you could argue that pitchers batting first two times through order sort of evens that out. really don't care for FF unders in AL (a tendency completely irrelevant for these three NL games).Comment -
i think nelson will strike out a lot of guys early and then potentially get hit late is my biggest reason for the ff lean.. i did go ahead and book un 7 +110 for 3/4 a unit so i can leave myself some room to potentially split if i decide id like to have some ff as well.... i havnt gotten into the night gms yet but will def check out your numbers on the other 2.. gl brother..Comment -
Wednesday 6.3.2015
1* Brewers/Cardinals under 7 (+110)
1* Pirates/Giants under 7 (-123)
1* Cubs/Marlins under 7 (+105)Comment -
also considering Rangers ML (+119), ML parlay with Tribe + Pads (+190). will look into those more closely later.Comment -
Besides the "never play an under @Coors" theory, why not Under 10.5 in the Rockies game?Comment -
I just looked over it..Originally posted by RenoHightower
I didn't really see any compelling reasons against playing the under. Tumpane behind the plate, seems like a pretty even guy right down the middle. Not too liberal or conservative with his strike zone. 3-4-2 this season on Over/Under plays.
Both pitchers have sub 3.00 ERA's. Bolsinger 1-4-0 on Over/Under plays, Bettis 3-1-0.
Then again I don't really see any super compelling reasons to play the under. Weather shouldn't be a factor one way or the other. This is the 4th game in this series and the lowest runs scored in any 1 game in this series was 9.
If you put a gun to my head I'd play the Under, I'm seeing -120 at 5Dimes. That being said I won't be taking it.
If anything I'd take LAD @ -122 or Rockies TT Under 5 @ -125.Comment -
Wednesday 6.3.2015 final card
1* Brewers/Cardinals under 7 (+110) - LOSER
1* Pirates/Giants under 7 (-123) - PUSH
1* Cubs/Marlins under 7 (+105) - LOSER
0-2-1 -2u
84-80-15 +7.31u season to dateComment -
Friday 6.5.2015
1* Tribe ML (-117)Comment -
adding
1* Cubs ML (+116)
Friday 6.5.2015 updated card
1* Cubs ML (+116)
1* Tribe ML (-117)Comment -
Surprised to no total plays with so many good umps on the board!Comment -
Yeah, had a bunch of total leans but something kept me off of each. still may add unders in Seattle or LA late.Originally posted by EXhoosier10Comment -
Friday 6.5.2015 final card
1* Cubs ML (+116) - LOSER
1* Tribe ML (-117) - LOSER
0-2 -2.17u
84-82-15 +5.14u season to date
severe fade alertComment -
i like your tribe today buddy. ff rl and gm ml parlayed with something else.Comment -
What you guys think about this Jays total? 8.5 ev? I'm thinking bout pounding the over. I just can't believe Hutch has figured it out he was getting blasted early in the year. This could possibly be in the double digits by the 7th or 8th inning.Comment -
Biff, should have gone with your leans on the last two games under!Comment -
even if hutch is good i doubt he goes longer than 7 which leaves plenty of time for stros to score off the pen. i played it ov 9 with nice plus money. so yea i like v 8.5, i think both teams scoring 4 the low side..Originally posted by jameski999Comment -
i know! i even gave out StL/LA under as capped and validated lean to guy on twitter who wanted to play best angle on game. once i lose a couple, i lose the will to proceed, at least when i'm cold. today is a new day and i'm back from little league and ready to hit it hard. loving O's/Tribe under (ump plus big-time shadows for 4 pm game; very sunny today) and Rays/M's under. time to work.Originally posted by Rick22Comment -
gonna cap that one right now. ump plus shadows gonna make hitting tough, but then again, Tribe hit Ubaldo well twice last year if i recall correctly and may have the book on him.Originally posted by 2daBankComment -
Agree. love Tribe today. also FG RL rarely an issue for Salazar or Ubaldo (1 of 5 Ls for Ubaldo, none of Danny's 7 Ws). Shadows will be a major issue. difficult to decide. options, in order of prefenceOriginally posted by 2daBank
Tribe ML (in parlay with Giants +162 and/or under +216)
Tribe -1 RL (+106)
game under 7' (-115)Comment -
also eying under on the H+R+E on O's/Tribe. 5D has 24' -115, betus 25 -120. both Ubaldo and Salazar, when they get into trouble, it's because of walks that lead to big multi-run homers and doubles, seems like. in Ubaldo's 2 bad starts vs Tribe since he left, he's given up 15 runs, but on only 9 hits! and yes, Tribe defense sucks for E portion, but Orioles defense is good.Comment -
Saturday 6.6.2015
1* ML parlay: Giants + Tribe (+160)
1* Tribe -1 RL (+106)
1* Orioles/Tribe runs+hits+errors under 25 (-120)Comment -
yes, that's a lot of action on a single game, but it's also a game with two SPs i've watched a lot in a situation that i know well: 4 pm start on a really sunny day leads to major shadows in Cleveland in the second half of the game. because of the trademark toothbrush lights that sit atop the third base line of the stands, Progressive Field has some of the worst shadows around on the right kind of day. today, it's very clear and sunny, and the few clouds that there are a very thin. no weather fronts are close. doesn't hurt that there's a wind roughly 15 mph coming in from RF/CF.Comment -
Bank, whatcha think about Cards FF RL +105? Garcia usually good FF and Cards have hit Kershaw in the past.Comment -
Hey Biff, nice grinding so far. It was a lean for me but I'm passing. He’s shown strong whiff and low walk rates in past seasons but swinging strikes have been absent through three starts which makes me worry, plus the Dodgers have some good RH hitters.Comment -
thank you, IB. great to see you, pal! i just ran through box scores quickly, but think Kershaw 4-7 FF RL this season. he's giving up runs in most starts and 1-1 or 2-2 after FF is a winner.Originally posted by italianbanditComment -
Interesting, GL if you play it.Comment -
adding
1* Angels first five ML (-115)
1* Cardinals first five RL (+105)
Saturday 6.6.2015
1* ML parlay: Giants + Tribe (+160)
1* Tribe -1 RL (+106)
1* O's/Tribe R+H+E under 25 (-120)
1* Halos FF ML (-115)
1* Cards FF RL (+105)
BOL to all tonight.Comment -
thanks, man. the way it's going lately, i may well need it. but it's a beautiful day and Salazar is creating breeze. have a great rest of the weekend, thanks for stopping by.Originally posted by italianbanditComment -
Saturday 6.6.2015 final card
1* ML parlay: Giants + Tribe (+160) - WINNER
1* Tribe -1 RL (+106) - PUSH
1* O's/Tribe R+H+E under 25 (-120) - WINNER
1* Halos FF ML (-115) - LOSER
1* Cards FF RL (+105) - WINNER
3-1-1 +2.5u
87-83-16 +7.64u season to dateComment
