damnit i missed it
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who yu got todayComment -
Gotta wait till around game time guys. Cmon lolComment -
May 10 Sun
(A) BAL 2.61Comment -
May 11 Mon
(B) MIA 2.90Comment -
May 12 Tue
(C) COL 2.67Comment -
Hey there Skyscrapers, just dropping in real quick to give props, love what you have going on here my man! I just had a quick question with the system - do you happen to have the record for each level, as well as overall record and average odds per play? What I mean is the individual plays themselves, not the chase wins/losses. For example, in 2014 the overall avg. odds were 2.55, A plays were 45-48, B 65-53, etc.
The reason I ask is because I just wanted to see if it might be more profitable using a Kelly staking system (set % of bankroll for every play) rather than play them as chases. I'm sure you may have already looked into this, but what is intriguing is that since the avg. odds will always be + money, the overall winning % doesn't necessarily have to be as high in order for it to be profitable. In fact, even with a 50% win rate it would be profitable; anything 55% or higher an absolute goldmine! Just wondering what the actual stats are.
Thanks again for all your plays and everything you bring to the forum buddy, and BOL on your plays for the night!
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Hey Semper, nice to have you in here. I have the data you wanted on the home computer so if I get a chance tonight I'll post it.
Technically I guess I shouldn't have named this system a chase. Should have named it a doubling-up method (1-2-4-8). With this system yes you don't have to hit 50% to turn a profit. I think we're running somewhere in the low 40% or something. I don't have the exact figures in front of me. Also you don't need a huge bankroll as we're only betting 1 play per day in fact I'm betting with house money since day 1.Comment -
2012 Spring Training & Regular Season combined -
(91-10) +73.76u
(A) 39-62
(B) 32-30
(C) 14-16
(D) 6-10
Total: (91-118) 43.54%
Average odds: 2.55
2013 Spring Training & Regular Season combined -
(80-13) +15.48u
(A) 37-56
(B) 17-39
(C) 18-21
(D) 8-13
Total: (80-129) 38.28%
Average odds: 2.54
2014 Spring Training & Regular Season combined -
(75-12) +35.17u
(A) 27-61
(B) 21-39
(C) 15-24
(D) 12-12
Total: (75-136) 35.55%
Average odds: 2.51
2015 Spring Training & Regular Season combined - completed series only
(32-1) +48.03u
(A) 13-20
(B) 13-7
(C) 2-5
(D) 4-1
Total: (32-33) 49.23%
Average odds: 2.41
2012 - Present
(278-36) +172.44uComment -
May 13 Wed
(D) COL 2.55
What a garbage team the Rocks are but gotta stick with the system...Comment -
(D) COL 2.55 - LOSS -15u
M/L Chase: (16-2) +8.49u
(A) 6-12
(B) 7-5
(C) 1-4
(D) 2-2Comment -
May 14 Fri
(A) COL 2.97Comment -
(A) COL 2.97 - WIN +1.97u
M/L Chase: (17-2) +10.46u
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May 14 Thu
(A) DET 2.33Comment -
(A) DET 2.33 - WIN 1.33u
M/L Chase: (18-2) +11.79u
(A) 8-12
(B) 7-5
(C) 1-4
(D) 2-2Comment -
May 16 Sat
(A) COL 2.76Comment -
(A) COL 2.76 - WIN 1.76u
M/L Chase: (19-2) +13.55u
(A) 9-12
(B) 7-5
(C) 1-4
(D) 2-2Comment -
May 17 Sun
(A) COL 2.90Comment -
May 18 Mon
(B) CLE 2.31Comment -
May 19 Tue
(C) MIN 2.50Comment -
7-1 after 2 innings...woo-hoo!!Comment -
I was all over the twins cuz of this thread. Before I even seen the post lol. AwesomeComment -
The play today was so close to being the Rangers. The Twins are a bigger dog just by 0.01Comment -
Good job!!!Comment -
Hi sky, what is your time zone?Comment -
Winner Winner Chicken Dinner!!!
(C) MIN 2.50 - WIN +3.0u
M/L Chase: (20-2) +16.55u
(A) 9-13
(B) 7-6
(C) 2-4
(D) 2-2Comment -
May 20 Wed
(A) OAK 2.43Comment -
Today is the first time this year that we're not able to play the biggest road dog (TEX) and they won but we took a loss on (OAK). Although rare, this circumstance will happen throughout the course of the season and we just have to move on to the next leg of the chase.Comment -
May 21 Thu
(B) PHI 2.50Comment -
Urgggggg...second day in a row those Rangers ended up being the biggest dog later in the day and won while we lost.Comment -
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May 22 Fri
(C) TEX 2.70
Finally bet on TEX today. They won the last two days but we didn't get it.
I have a feeling the Padres will somehow become the bigger dog later this evening and they will probably win the game too.
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Well, the Padres did become biggest dog tonight but they lost but we won with TEX. What a reversal of fortunes.
(C) TEX 2.70 - WIN +3.8u
M/L Chase: (21-2) +20.35u
(A) 9-14
(B) 7-7
(C) 3-4
(D) 2-2
Season High: +23.49uComment
