Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

[mitch51]

Reposting for games after all added.
Ali

Good morning

06.28.15 ALI DOGS

1:30pm ET
gm#1 971 CLE/Bauer +120 1.00/1.20




HAYDUKE

1pm ET
968 DET/PRICE -1.5RL +130 1.00/1.30

1:30pm ET
957 WAS/PHI OVER 8 -110 1.10/1.00

2pm ET
979 MIN/Milone +150 1.00/1.50

8pm ET
960 STL/Martinez -132 1.32/1.00





UMPIRES STREAKING

8pm ET
959 CUBS/STL UN 7 -115 1.15/1.00
ump-Miller 13gm L10 4ov/6un 60% Under


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

Took off today...come back fresh on Monday.

[mitch51]

Took off today...come back fresh on Monday.

Wish we would have taken the day off. Man, is this getting old.

[mitch51]

06.28.15 ALI DOGS

1:30pm ET
gm#1 971 CLE/Bauer +120 1.00/1.20




HAYDUKE

1pm ET
968 DET/PRICE -1.5RL +130 1.00/1.30 1:30pm ET
957 WAS/PHI OVER 8 -110 1.10/1.00
2pm ET
979 MIN/Milone +150 1.00/1.50

8pm ET
960 STL/Martinez -132 1.32/1.00





UMPIRES STREAKING

8pm ET
959 CUBS/STL UN 7 -115 1.15/1.00
ump-Miller 13gm L10 4ov/6un 60% Under


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
0-1 -1.00u
67-89 -10.35u 42.95%


HAYDUKE
1-3 -2.10u
60-71 -9.54u 45.80%


UMPIRES STREAKING
1-0 1.00u
26-22 -.74u 54.17%


Good night


Ali & Hayduke

[Kubala]

Good Morning Mitch and Ali! I was thinking... Why don't you consider going back to (like last year's thread) betting unders only for the umpire streakers? They are doing better than the overs which always seem to be more volatile.

[mitch51]

Good morning and more games to follow

The Dog Machine spit this out last night and still is the
game for today.

06.29.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 BOS/Buchholz +112 1.00/1.12



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
902 PHI/O'Sullivan +135 1.00/1.35

8pm ET
911 KC/Blanton +120 1.00/1.20




UMPIRES STREAKING

None


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[mitch51]

Posting Hayduke games in post 1406 in bold.

Ali

[buddha]

I'm gonna advise caution on the Dodgers tonite. They've dominated the DBacks historically but they come in from Miami, 3 Time Zone travel which in the past was easy $, fading teams making 3 Time Zone journey without a day off.

Might be a false alarm borne of my own over-analysis & paranoia...line has moved 10 pts. in support of LADodgers so majority of bettors are backing them so I felt it might be good to get it out there....the travel consideration. DBacks home from just San Diego...a simple hop.

I'm scared of the Dodgers tonite.

[mitch51]

Good Morning Mitch and Ali! I was thinking... Why don't you consider going back to (like last year's thread) betting unders only for the umpire streakers? They are doing better than the overs which always seem to be more volatile.

Overs = 15-14. +.84 U, 51.72%

Unders = 12-8-5. -1.26 U, 60.00%

So, the overs have turned a very small profit and the unders are getting hammered because of the prices. The unders are way more juiced so if you bet to win a unit on them Vegas rapes you. So, flip a coin on these.

[mitch51]

I'm gonna advise caution on the Dodgers tonite. They've dominated the DBacks historically but they come in from Miami, 3 Time Zone travel which in the past was easy $, fading teams making 3 Time Zone journey without a day off.

Might be a false alarm borne of my own over-analysis & paranoia...line has moved 10 pts. in support of LADodgers so majority of bettors are backing them so I felt it might be good to get it out there....the travel consideration. DBacks home from just San Diego...a simple hop.

I'm scared of the Dodgers tonite.

Yup. Roger that.

[buddha]

I just have this feeling Mitch that the 2nd half of the Season is gonna return to "more to form" for ya.

Call it unfounded optimism, childish glass half full speculation or whatever you choose but its how I feel.

[mitch51]

I just have this feeling Mitch that the 2nd half of the Season is gonna return to "more to form" for ya.

Call it unfounded optimism, childish glass half full speculation or whatever you choose but its how I feel.

That's what we think. I'd be surprised if Ali didn't hit 50% with the dogs. If you took every single dog The Dog Machine© has spit out (not all go into the thread) she's down maybe 12 games total. She'll make those up. I've seen it happen more than once.

[buddha]

Plus on the Dodgers this is a GOLDEN opportunity for AZ to make up needed ground in this division.

History doesn't suggest their capable of that vs. Dodgers, to a degree that LAD near "auto-play" vs AZ if there is (or ever should be) such a thing lol.

AZ 6 back of LAD with 3 vs. Dodgers then 4 vs. Rockies. Vitally important Divisional games for a Dbacks team who now 36-39 keep getting within 1 game of a .500 record and LOSING that game lol. Important 7 game stretch for the DBacks.

National League West
Team	W	L	Pct.	GB	RS	RA	Diff	Home	Road	East	Cent	West	L10	Strk
L.A. Dodgers	43	34	.558	-	324	258	66	27-13	16-21	6-3	6-9	27-19	5-5	W 1
San Francisco	42	35	.545	1	329	305	24	21-20	21-15	8-6	6-4	22-22	7-3	W 2
Arizona	36	39	.480	6	334	344	-10	18-18	18-21	9-8	4-8	20-20	4-6	W 1
San Diego	37	41	.474	6½	327	359	-32	18-20	19-21	5-6	7-6	21-21	5-5	L 1
Colorado	33	42	.440	9	344	384	-40	17-22	16-20	7-7	10-5	16-24	5-5	L 2

[buddha]

That's what we think. I'd be surprised if Ali didn't hit 50% with the dogs. If you took every single dog The Dog Machine© has spit out (not all go into the thread) she's down maybe 12 games total. She'll make those up. I've seen it happen more than once.

I appreciate that you are among the most "glass half full" people I've come across so its not that I feel my input is needed, thats not where I am coming from with my prognostication of better days lying ahead 2nd Half but rather just a strong intuition that 2nd Half will be different, more similar to whats been in years past for your system.

[RollinDo]

Like O's and the Under tonight.
Playing Under 7.5 in Astros game too.
Here's to a good start to a new week!

[Lefty123]

Mitch this the week you do your magic.Hector great his last 5 starts

[mitch51]

Reposting for any late comers to the thread.

Ali

Good morning and more games to follow

The Dog Machine spit this out last night and still is the
game for today.

06.29.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 BOS/Buchholz +112 1.00/1.12



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
902 PHI/O'Sullivan +135 1.00/1.35

8pm ET
911 KC/Blanton +120 1.00/1.20




UMPIRES STREAKING

None


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

Made a major blunder...worst ever.
Put in No Score 1st in Cleveland game for 5 units...not .5
Holy moly...huge loss.
How did I do that???
I just lost 5% of my BR!!

Biggest loss of my betting career.
Not a good way to start week.

[buddha]

Made a major blunder...worst ever.
Put in No Score 1st in Cleveland game for 5 units...not .5
Holy moly...huge loss.

And of course Cleveland somehow scores a run immediately. Something they failed to do in 18 innings yesterday vs. BLT.

Literally the ONLY thing you can do now is not let it bother you, its done, many of us have made similar errors do whatever you can to forget it. Theres nothing else you can do. Anything different than not allowing it to bother you is gonna be completely pointless and counter-productive.

[mitch51]

Made a major blunder...worst ever.
Put in No Score 1st in Cleveland game for 5 units...not .5
Holy moly...huge loss.
How did I do that???
I just lost 5% of my BR!!

Biggest loss of my betting career.
Not a good way to start week.

We've done that more than once. It's just part of betting. There's just no way of getting around it.
Not that it doesn't piss you off.

[mitch51]

The Dog Machine spit this out last night and still is the
game for today.

06.29.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
905 BOS/Buchholz +112 1.00/1.12



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
902 PHI/O'Sullivan +135 1.00/1.35

8pm ET
911 KC/Blanton +120 1.00/1.20




UMPIRES STREAKING

None


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
1-0 +1.12u
68-89 -9.23u 43.31%


HAYDUKE
0-2 -2.00u
60-73 -11.54u 45.11%


UMPIRES STREAKING
26-22 -.74u 54.17%


Good night

Ali & Hayduke

[RollinDo]

We've done that more than once. It's just part of betting. There's just no way of getting around it.
Not that it doesn't piss you off.

Yeah...down 5.5 units to start the week because of that.
Oh well...gotta shake it off.
I think I've made 7 or 8 blunders like that in my career....and EVERY TIME it goes against me!
You'd think at least 1 time I could say, "Whew...I screwed up but it actually was a good thing."

I'm going to bump up my thread I started at beginning of season to track my plays...wonder how many weeks (or days) I'll stay with it.

[bossman71]

Only 2 winning weeks in the past 8 or 9, with 1 week over 11 units, which hurt (Give or take with different lines). We are way over due.I have a feeling it is going to come around for us. Rough last 2 months but lot of season left. We got this. Keep grinding, thanks as always.

[mitch51]

Only 2 winning weeks in the past 8 or 9, with 1 week over 11 units, which hurt (Give or take with different lines). We are way over due.I have a feeling it is going to come around for us. Rough last 2 months but lot of season left. We got this. Keep grinding, thanks as always.

The dogs keep trying to turn around and then just crap on the floor again. We can't really complain because this has been our first losing year (so far), but we're sure not use to this. Still plenty of time, though. Like you say, if this is just some weird regression which we think it is, pretty soon we should see some type of run in this thread. You just gotta grind, grind, grind until something good happens.

[mitch51]

Good morning

06.30.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
953 SFG/Vogelsong +100 1.00/1.00
956 ATL/Miller +106 1.00/1.06

930pm ET
960 AZ/DeLaRosa +108 1.00/1.08

10pm ET
979 SEA/Montgomery +104 1.00/1.04



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
966 TB/Ramirez +105 1.00/1.05
964 TOR/Estrada -1.5 RL +130 1.00/1.30




UMPIRES STREAKING

7pm ET
951 MIL/PHI UN 7 -105 1.05/1.00
ump-DiMuro 15bhp L10 4ov/6un 60% Under

973 MIN/CIN UN 8.5 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Rackley 13bhp L10 3ov/7un 70% Under

Lean
961 TX/BAL OV 8.5 -120
ump-BWelke 14bhp L10 7ov/3un 70% Over

GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

[mitch51]

06.30.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
953 SFG/Vogelsong +100 1.00/1.00
956 ATL/Miller +106 1.00/1.06

930pm ET
960 AZ/DeLaRosa +108 1.00/1.08

10pm ET
979 SEA/Montgomery +104 1.00/1.04



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
966 TB/Ramirez +105 1.00/1.05
964 TOR/Estrada -1.5 RL +130 1.00/1.30




UMPIRES STREAKING

7pm ET
951 MIL/PHI UN 7 -105 1.05/1.00 PUSH
ump-DiMuro 15bhp L10 4ov/6un 60% Under

973 MIN/CIN UN 8.5 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Rackley 13bhp L10 3ov/7un 70% Under




Lean
961 TX/BAL OV 8.5 -120 WON
ump-BWelke 14bhp L10 7ov/3un 70% Over

GLTA


Ali & Hayduke

UPDATE:

ALI DOGS
1-3 -1.96u
69-92 -11.19u 42.86%


HAYDUKE
0-2 -2.00u
60-75 -13.54u 44.44%


UMPIRES STREAKING
0-1-1 -1.10u
26-23-1 -1.57u 53.06%


Good night


Ali & Hayduke

[bossman71]

[upscope]

unreal

[mitch51]

You people in here should be absolutely drowning in cash by now fading us. I suggested this quite some time ago. Fading is just part of the game when someone this cold.

Fade away.

[44 Mag]

You people in here should be absolutely drowning in cash by now fading us. I suggested this quite some time ago. Fading is just part of the game when someone this cold.

Fade away.

Second half coming up Mitch !!! You guys will right the ship.

[bossman71]

Seems like the small days with less plays does well and big days with a lot of plays always does horrible... Weird trend

ran a test today small dogs from the range +100 to +130 this year are 337-359 +22.67 Units... Just unlucky, Hopefully we get better 2nd half

[MikeyD323]

Pick your heads up and keep on trucking. Let's go only 1/2 way done.

[mitch51]

Just heads up, no early games.

Ali

[mitch51]

Good morning


07.01.15 ALI DOGS

7pm ET
904 MIA/Haren +118 1.00/1.18
908 NYM/Colon +105 1.00/1.05
927 PITS/Burnett +102 1.00/1.02



HAYDUKE

7pm ET
918 TB/Colome +125 1.00/1.25




UMPIRES STREAKING

7pm ET
901 MIL/PHI OV 8 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Hamari 16bhp L10 7ov/3un 70% Over

913 NYY/LAA UN 8 -115 1.15/1.00
ump-Culbreth 12bhp L10 4ov/6un 60% Under

914 TX/BAL UN 8.5 -110 1.10/1.00
ump-Tumpane 13bhp L10 3ov/7un 70% Under


GLTA

Ali & Hayduke

[hopeslayerdt]

There's a profitable day for u guys, get it Rollin u got it