Ali & Hayduke's Base Pickers

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  • mitch51
    SBR MVP
    • 05-15-12
    • 4587

    #386
    Originally posted by mitch51
    Good morning everyone


    Well, with more stats coming in the filters are working and The Dog Machine@ is spitting fewer games out.


    04.11.15 ALI DOGS

    NONE




    04.11.15 HAYDUKES

    7pm ET
    955 NYM +108 .50/.54

    8pm ET
    959 CUBS +100 .50/.50



    Enjoy your day!

    GLTA


    Ali & Hayduke

    A couple evening games.
    Comment
    • buddha
      SBR Sharp
      • 09-03-10
      • 480

      #387
      Originally posted by grey area
      Aww man that's too long of a wait for some action
      Action Junkie splattered on a hillside broken guardrail above is not Ali's destiny though. All you can do is try to live with it.
      Comment
      • mitch51
        SBR MVP
        • 05-15-12
        • 4587

        #388
        Originally posted by buddha
        Action Junkie splattered on a hillside broken guardrail above is not Ali's destiny though. All you can do is try to live with it.
        Buddha, you are very wise. There is only action here if we deem it to be profitable. We cannot create action. The Dog Machine© creates bets, but he cannot invent bets.
        Comment
        • buddha
          SBR Sharp
          • 09-03-10
          • 480

          #389
          Its been a long road. Similar distance as you've traveled. Only way to acquire true wisdom. But as you I have so much left yet to learn. Perfection is unattainable within this Physical Dimension...(after this?....you'll "like" whats coming lol)....but its good that it is there so that I....we....can have a thing to shoot for.

          Restraint, discipline...makes the foundation of true wisdom. When I found the Ali thread last year....when I stumbled in here cuz football was starting lol...I went back thru and read a lot of the pages. It was really loooooooooooooooooooong that thread. As this one is shaping up to be. When done reading I knew you were among the few that had truly acquired the wisdom that you now accuse me of having...so scandously lol. The very best thing about this thread won't be the winners or the +EV suggestions or even the positive season-end balance but the many nuggets here that will make other's journey to what you describe less long and treacherous than ours has been. Nugget #13 = Betting stuff just to have action = eventual despair. What I love MOST about Ali is that she will sometimes bet nothing at all.

          In a perfectly Square World betting nothing at all gets you a winner 62.3% of the time*.

          To clarify..."winner" = avoided losing bet just so you could have action on a game

          which only resulted in you being less happy

          (*Aggregate over LY NFL & NCCAF, NCAAB, this year thus far NBA and a few days of MLB...individual Action Junkie's result's might vary + or - 6.6%)
          Last edited by buddha; 04-11-15, 09:49 PM.
          Comment
          • mitch51
            SBR MVP
            • 05-15-12
            • 4587

            #390
            Originally posted by mitch51


            Well, with more stats coming in the filters are working and The Dog Machine@ is spitting fewer games out.


            04.11.15 ALI DOGS

            NONE




            04.11.15 HAYDUKES

            7pm ET
            955 NYM +108 .50/.54

            8pm ET
            959 CUBS +100 .50/.50



            Enjoy your day!

            GLTA


            Ali & Hayduke

            Update ALI DOGS

            9-8 +2.47u 52.94%


            HAYDUKES

            1-1 +0.0u
            6-4 +1.21u 60.0%


            Good night back deck soon!

            Ali & Hayduke
            Comment
            • mitch51
              SBR MVP
              • 05-15-12
              • 4587

              #391
              Originally posted by buddha
              Its been a long road. Similar distance as you've traveled. Only way to acquire true wisdom. But as you I have so much left yet to learn. Perfection is unattainable within this Physical Dimension...(after this?....you'll "like" whats coming lol)....but its good that it is there so that I....we....can have a thing to shoot for.

              Restraint, discipline...makes the foundation of true wisdom. When I found the Ali thread last year....when I stumbled in here cuz football was starting lol...I went back thru and read a lot of the pages. It was really loooooooooooooooooooong that thread. As this one is shaping up to be. When done reading I knew you were among the few that had truly acquired the wisdom that you now accuse me of having...so scandously lol. The very best thing about this thread won't be the winners or the +EV suggestions or even the positive season-end balance but the many nuggets here that will make other's journey to what you describe less long and treacherous than ours has been. Nugget #13 = Betting stuff just to have action = eventual despair. What I love MOST about Ali is that she will sometimes bet nothing at all.

              In a perfectly Square World betting nothing at all gets you a winner 62.3% of the time*.

              To clarify..."winner" = avoided losing bet just so you could have action on a game

              which only resulted in you being less happy

              (*Aggregate over LY NFL & NCCAF, NCAAB, this year thus far NBA and a few days of MLB...individual Action Junkie's result's might vary + or - 6.6%)

              Thanks very much for this comment. We loved the fact that your comment had to do with more than just betting. There's more to life than watching the Cubbies drub the Rockies, although that was pretty nice too.

              Have a good night.

              Ali & Hayduke
              Comment
              • IrishLuck777
                SBR Sharp
                • 01-25-14
                • 332

                #392
                If anyone is interested, I have tracked all of their dog bets on the run line at 1 flat unit even if they play it as half. currently 17-8 and +3.40 units.
                I will keep tracking this for a bit longer, but feel that long term this might not be very profitable compared to playing the money line. the juice on these are usually between -160 and -200 and assuming the dogs hit at exactly 50% this season (meaning dropping slightly from where they are now) the run line might not be profitable.
                Comment
                • mitch51
                  SBR MVP
                  • 05-15-12
                  • 4587

                  #393
                  Originally posted by IrishLuck777
                  If anyone is interested, I have tracked all of their dog bets on the run line at 1 flat unit even if they play it as half. currently 17-8 and +3.40 units.
                  I will keep tracking this for a bit longer, but feel that long term this might not be very profitable compared to playing the money line. the juice on these are usually between -160 and -200 and assuming the dogs hit at exactly 50% this season (meaning dropping slightly from where they are now) the run line might not be profitable.
                  I think we'll hit our 50% this year. I'm glad you tracked this. We are afraid to mess with the Dog Machine© too much. Every time we try to tune it up or get more speed out of it, it freezes up. But whatever anyone can do to improve it's picks we are all for it.
                  Comment
                  • 44 Mag
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 10-14-13
                    • 34490

                    #394
                    Mitch old buddy, join us in the "dog of the day" thread.
                    Comment
                    • Farough
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 06-04-11
                      • 48

                      #395
                      Definately think the royals will be a good play as a slight dog with Ventura on the mound. KC has had the angels number
                      Comment
                      • mitch51
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-15-12
                        • 4587

                        #396
                        Originally posted by Farough
                        Definately think the royals will be a good play as a slight dog with Ventura on the mound. KC has had the angels number

                        I think so too but the Dog Machine@ won't spit it out for a play.

                        Ali
                        Comment
                        • mitch51
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-15-12
                          • 4587

                          #397
                          The Dog Machine© did not spit out a game again today. What you have to keep in mind however is that the Dog Machine© will probably spit out around 400 dogs by the Series. Ali never fudges the rules so when the Dog Machine© doesn't have a game, oh well.

                          Hayduke doesn't go by any rules, though. So he's got two dogs coming up. It's slim pickins' today. But hey, get ready. When the Dog Machine© gets running, you'll have a ton of games here. Enjoy the respite and put money in your bankroll. You'll be needing it pretty quick.

                          Hayduke
                          Comment
                          • Farough
                            SBR Rookie
                            • 06-04-11
                            • 48

                            #398
                            It's better to have enough filters and no plays then not enough filters and a ton of plays. Looking forward to the Hayduke plays
                            Comment
                            • mitch51
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-15-12
                              • 4587

                              #399
                              Good morning everyone on this beautiful morning


                              04.12.15 ALI DOGS

                              None




                              04.12.15 HAYDUKES

                              All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca

                              2pm ET
                              919 MIN +150 .50/.75


                              3:30pm ET
                              923 KC +105 .50/.52


                              4pm ET
                              909 CUBS +102 .50/.51



                              GLTA Have fun today!


                              Ali & Hayduke
                              Comment
                              • mitch51
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-15-12
                                • 4587

                                #400
                                Originally posted by mitch51
                                Good morning everyone on this beautiful morning


                                04.12.15 ALI DOGS

                                None




                                04.12.15 HAYDUKES

                                All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca

                                2pm ET
                                919 MIN +150 .50/.75


                                3:30pm ET
                                923 KC +105 .50/.52


                                4pm ET
                                909 CUBS +102 .50/.51



                                GLTA Have fun today!


                                Ali & Hayduke

                                Repost for any late arrivals to the thread.
                                Comment
                                • KingHawkins
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-18-13
                                  • 1311

                                  #401
                                  I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
                                  Comment
                                  • mitch51
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 05-15-12
                                    • 4587

                                    #402
                                    Originally posted by KingHawkins
                                    I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
                                    Lol, King! Thank LaTroy for us, would like to buy him a beer.
                                    Comment
                                    • mitch51
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-15-12
                                      • 4587

                                      #403
                                      Cash Kansas City and the Cubbies too. Those Twins, though. They were a good dog that bit the neighbor kid and crapped on the floor. Another good day with the dogs, though. We'll take it.
                                      Comment
                                      • mitch51
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-15-12
                                        • 4587

                                        #404
                                        <iframe width="560" height="315" src="https://www.youtube.com/embed/I8jkz0pdHk8" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe>
                                        Last edited by mitch51; 04-12-15, 06:42 PM. Reason: corrected to one song
                                        Comment
                                        • mitch51
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-15-12
                                          • 4587

                                          #405
                                          Originally posted by mitch51


                                          04.12.15 ALI DOGS

                                          None




                                          04.12.15 HAYDUKES

                                          All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca

                                          2pm ET
                                          919 MIN +150 .50/.75


                                          3:30pm ET
                                          923 KC +105 .50/.52


                                          4pm ET
                                          909 CUBS +102 .50/.51



                                          GLTA Have fun today!


                                          Ali & Hayduke


                                          Update ALI DOGS

                                          9-8 +2.47u 52.94%


                                          HAYDUKES

                                          2-1 +.53u
                                          8-5 +1.74u 61.54%


                                          YTD Update: (preseason through tonight)

                                          95-86 +15.66u 52.49%



                                          Have a super evening. Sox/Yankees game coming up to watch, pizza and back deck later!

                                          Ali & Hayduke
                                          Comment
                                          • loodachris99
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-04-11
                                            • 414

                                            #406
                                            It's amazing the discipline U guys have to just take the day off when ur system doesn't give U any plays ... Really enjoying tailing U guys and excited for s profitable season... Keep up the good work
                                            Comment
                                            • mitch51
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 05-15-12
                                              • 4587

                                              #407
                                              Originally posted by loodachris99
                                              It's amazing the discipline U guys have to just take the day off when ur system doesn't give U any plays ... Really enjoying tailing U guys and excited for s profitable season... Keep up the good work
                                              We're glad to have you here. Discipline and patience are mandatory with the dogs. It'll be a profitable season for sure. Hope to be at 50% at the end of the year, if we can do that everything will take care of itself.
                                              Comment
                                              • VeggieDog
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-21-09
                                                • 7214

                                                #408
                                                Originally posted by KingHawkins
                                                I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
                                                LOL Oh, if it were only that easy.
                                                Comment
                                                • mitch51
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-15-12
                                                  • 4587

                                                  #409
                                                  Originally posted by bookiebuster247
                                                  Such a good feeling being up units at the end of the week instead of down!! Thanks so much to you guys keeping this an honest and productive thread. please keep it up!
                                                  This was a good week. But you have to be ready eventually to have a losing week because that'll happen. But a losing year? Never have had one with the dogs. Glad you are up, though.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • hopeslayerdt
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 06-09-14
                                                    • 664

                                                    #410
                                                    Going very well, keep it up guys
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mitch51
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 05-15-12
                                                      • 4587

                                                      #411
                                                      Ali says that no faves go into this thread. But Oakland -115 and Atlanta -112 look real good. Just sayin'.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • RollinDo
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 09-04-13
                                                        • 13322

                                                        #412
                                                        Any love for Tigers or M's today?
                                                        My top 2 dogs...mild dogs
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mitch51
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-15-12
                                                          • 4587

                                                          #413
                                                          I hear the Dog Machine© getting cranked up. Ali's gonna have some dogs I think.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mitch51
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 05-15-12
                                                            • 4587

                                                            #414
                                                            Originally posted by RollinDo
                                                            Any love for Tigers or M's today?
                                                            My top 2 dogs...mild dogs
                                                            Tigers have one scary streak going. I like them, though. Like Mariners too. Lots of dogs today.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mitch51
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-15-12
                                                              • 4587

                                                              #415
                                                              Just heads up-No games for 1pm ET PHI/METS or 1:30pm ET DET/PITS

                                                              Be back shortly for other games for the day, Hayduke betting locally.

                                                              Ali
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mitch51
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 05-15-12
                                                                • 4587

                                                                #416
                                                                A beautiful sunn morning to all


                                                                04.13.15 ALI DOGS

                                                                3pm ET
                                                                975 WAS +127 1.00/1.27

                                                                7pm ET
                                                                965 TB +130 1.00/1.30




                                                                04.13.15 HAYDUKES

                                                                7pm ET
                                                                967 NYY +105 .50/.52

                                                                8pm ET
                                                                970 TX +128 .50/.64


                                                                GLTA


                                                                Ali & Hayduke
                                                                Last edited by mitch51; 04-13-15, 06:19 PM. Reason: time
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mitch51
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-15-12
                                                                  • 4587

                                                                  #417
                                                                  Originally posted by mitch51
                                                                  A beautiful sunn morning to all


                                                                  04.13.15 ALI DOGS

                                                                  3pm ET
                                                                  975 WAS +127 1.00/1.27

                                                                  7pm ET
                                                                  965 TB +130 1.00/1.30




                                                                  04.13.15 HAYDUKES

                                                                  7pm ET
                                                                  967 NYY +105 .50/.52

                                                                  8pm ET
                                                                  970 TX +128 .50/.64


                                                                  GLTA


                                                                  Ali & Hayduke

                                                                  Repost for the evening games.
                                                                  Last edited by mitch51; 04-13-15, 06:19 PM. Reason: time
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • mitch51
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 05-15-12
                                                                    • 4587

                                                                    #418
                                                                    Cash Tampa Bay!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Looking4Winners
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 12-21-11
                                                                      • 1198

                                                                      #419
                                                                      Originally posted by mitch51
                                                                      Cash Tampa Bay!
                                                                      And the Yanks ..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mitch51
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 05-15-12
                                                                        • 4587

                                                                        #420
                                                                        Cash the Yankees! That grand slam didn't hurt.
                                                                        Comment
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