Its been a long road. Similar distance as you've traveled. Only way to acquire true wisdom. But as you I have so much left yet to learn. Perfection is unattainable within this Physical Dimension...(after this?....you'll "like" whats coming lol)....but its good that it is there so that I....we....can have a thing to shoot for.
Restraint, discipline...makes the foundation of true wisdom. When I found the Ali thread last year....when I stumbled in here cuz football was starting lol...I went back thru and read a lot of the pages. It was really loooooooooooooooooooong that thread. As this one is shaping up to be. When done reading I knew you were among the few that had truly acquired the wisdom that you now accuse me of having...so scandously lol. The very best thing about this thread won't be the winners or the +EV suggestions or even the positive season-end balance but the many nuggets here that will make other's journey to what you describe less long and treacherous than ours has been. Nugget #13 = Betting stuff just to have action = eventual despair. What I love MOST about Ali is that she will sometimes bet nothing at all.
In a perfectly Square World betting nothing at all gets you a winner 62.3% of the time*.
To clarify..."winner" = avoided losing bet just so you could have action on a game
which only resulted in you being less happy
(*Aggregate over LY NFL & NCCAF, NCAAB, this year thus far NBA and a few days of MLB...individual Action Junkie's result's might vary + or - 6.6%)
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#390
Originally posted by mitch51
Well, with more stats coming in the filters are working and The Dog Machine@ is spitting fewer games out.
04.11.15 ALI DOGS
NONE
04.11.15 HAYDUKES
7pm ET
955 NYM +108 .50/.54
8pm ET
959 CUBS +100 .50/.50
Enjoy your day!
GLTA
Ali & Hayduke
Update ALI DOGS
9-8 +2.47u 52.94%
HAYDUKES
1-1 +0.0u
6-4 +1.21u 60.0%
Good night back deck soon!
Ali & Hayduke
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#391
Originally posted by buddha
Its been a long road. Similar distance as you've traveled. Only way to acquire true wisdom. But as you I have so much left yet to learn. Perfection is unattainable within this Physical Dimension...(after this?....you'll "like" whats coming lol)....but its good that it is there so that I....we....can have a thing to shoot for.
Restraint, discipline...makes the foundation of true wisdom. When I found the Ali thread last year....when I stumbled in here cuz football was starting lol...I went back thru and read a lot of the pages. It was really loooooooooooooooooooong that thread. As this one is shaping up to be. When done reading I knew you were among the few that had truly acquired the wisdom that you now accuse me of having...so scandously lol. The very best thing about this thread won't be the winners or the +EV suggestions or even the positive season-end balance but the many nuggets here that will make other's journey to what you describe less long and treacherous than ours has been. Nugget #13 = Betting stuff just to have action = eventual despair. What I love MOST about Ali is that she will sometimes bet nothing at all.
In a perfectly Square World betting nothing at all gets you a winner 62.3% of the time*.
To clarify..."winner" = avoided losing bet just so you could have action on a game
which only resulted in you being less happy
(*Aggregate over LY NFL & NCCAF, NCAAB, this year thus far NBA and a few days of MLB...individual Action Junkie's result's might vary + or - 6.6%)
Thanks very much for this comment. We loved the fact that your comment had to do with more than just betting. There's more to life than watching the Cubbies drub the Rockies, although that was pretty nice too.
Have a good night.
Ali & Hayduke
Comment
IrishLuck777
SBR Sharp
01-25-14
332
#392
If anyone is interested, I have tracked all of their dog bets on the run line at 1 flat unit even if they play it as half. currently 17-8 and +3.40 units.
I will keep tracking this for a bit longer, but feel that long term this might not be very profitable compared to playing the money line. the juice on these are usually between -160 and -200 and assuming the dogs hit at exactly 50% this season (meaning dropping slightly from where they are now) the run line might not be profitable.
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#393
Originally posted by IrishLuck777
If anyone is interested, I have tracked all of their dog bets on the run line at 1 flat unit even if they play it as half. currently 17-8 and +3.40 units.
I will keep tracking this for a bit longer, but feel that long term this might not be very profitable compared to playing the money line. the juice on these are usually between -160 and -200 and assuming the dogs hit at exactly 50% this season (meaning dropping slightly from where they are now) the run line might not be profitable.
It's better to have enough filters and no plays then not enough filters and a ton of plays. Looking forward to the Hayduke plays
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#399
Good morning everyone on this beautiful morning
04.12.15 ALI DOGS
None
04.12.15 HAYDUKES
All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca
2pm ET
919 MIN +150 .50/.75
3:30pm ET
923 KC +105 .50/.52
4pm ET
909 CUBS +102 .50/.51
GLTA Have fun today!
Ali & Hayduke
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#400
Originally posted by mitch51
Good morning everyone on this beautiful morning
04.12.15 ALI DOGS
None
04.12.15 HAYDUKES
All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca
2pm ET
919 MIN +150 .50/.75
3:30pm ET
923 KC +105 .50/.52
4pm ET
909 CUBS +102 .50/.51
GLTA Have fun today!
Ali & Hayduke
Repost for any late arrivals to the thread.
Comment
KingHawkins
SBR MVP
04-18-13
1311
#401
I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#402
Originally posted by KingHawkins
I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
Lol, King! Thank LaTroy for us, would like to buy him a beer.
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#403
Cash Kansas City and the Cubbies too. Those Twins, though. They were a good dog that bit the neighbor kid and crapped on the floor. Another good day with the dogs, though. We'll take it.
All our bets are made at local sportsbook-Casablanca
2pm ET
919 MIN +150 .50/.75
3:30pm ET
923 KC +105 .50/.52
4pm ET
909 CUBS +102 .50/.51
GLTA Have fun today!
Ali & Hayduke
Update ALI DOGS
9-8 +2.47u 52.94%
HAYDUKES
2-1 +.53u
8-5 +1.74u 61.54%
YTD Update: (preseason through tonight)
95-86 +15.66u 52.49%
Have a super evening. Sox/Yankees game coming up to watch, pizza and back deck later!
Ali & Hayduke
Comment
loodachris99
SBR Sharp
11-04-11
414
#406
It's amazing the discipline U guys have to just take the day off when ur system doesn't give U any plays ... Really enjoying tailing U guys and excited for s profitable season... Keep up the good work
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#407
Originally posted by loodachris99
It's amazing the discipline U guys have to just take the day off when ur system doesn't give U any plays ... Really enjoying tailing U guys and excited for s profitable season... Keep up the good work
We're glad to have you here. Discipline and patience are mandatory with the dogs. It'll be a profitable season for sure. Hope to be at 50% at the end of the year, if we can do that everything will take care of itself.
Comment
VeggieDog
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-09
7214
#408
Originally posted by KingHawkins
I made a call to my cousin LaTroy up in Colorado, told him we needed the Cubs today to keep things going in a positive direction. He said he would see what he could do.
LOL Oh, if it were only that easy.
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#409
Originally posted by bookiebuster247
Such a good feeling being up units at the end of the week instead of down!! Thanks so much to you guys keeping this an honest and productive thread. please keep it up!
This was a good week. But you have to be ready eventually to have a losing week because that'll happen. But a losing year? Never have had one with the dogs. Glad you are up, though.
Comment
hopeslayerdt
SBR Wise Guy
06-09-14
664
#410
Going very well, keep it up guys
Comment
mitch51
SBR MVP
05-15-12
4587
#411
Ali says that no faves go into this thread. But Oakland -115 and Atlanta -112 look real good. Just sayin'.
Comment
RollinDo
SBR Posting Legend
09-04-13
13322
#412
Any love for Tigers or M's today?
My top 2 dogs...mild dogs