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  • mlb
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-04-09
    • 10509

    #36
    for some reason I feel like WS and divisional and conference odds are so stale this year - a lot of middle of the road to good teams that are driving prices to more of an even level.

    I actually talked myself into Cleveland to win the division but now at +190 I am passing ... situations like that every where.
    Comment
    • EXhoosier10
      SBR MVP
      • 07-06-09
      • 3122

      #37
      Originally posted by mlb
      for some reason I feel like WS and divisional and conference odds are so stale this year - a lot of middle of the road to good teams that are driving prices to more of an even level.

      I actually talked myself into Cleveland to win the division but now at +190 I am passing ... situations like that every where.
      agreed. not much value in those middle teams this year, sadly.
      Comment
      • mlb
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-04-09
        • 10509

        #38
        Will be playing Sunday night under for sure
        Comment
        • mlb
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-04-09
          • 10509

          #39
          St Louis +102 (1u) - sticking with wainwright on opening night. Many will be on Cubs and think this is some huge game with their revamped team. If wain has his strike out pitches on, he could rack up the Ks tonight. That is going to be said alot against this Cubs team. They may end up being a good team, but often time takes some growing pains. I think they are a year or 2 or 3 away yet... takes time with young talent - the rewards that the pirates are reaping now.
          St Louis chi U 7 -100 (1u) - opening Sunday night under.
          Comment
          • mlb
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-04-09
            • 10509

            #40
            Futures:

            New York Yanks O 82.5 -115 (1u)
            Tampa Bay U 79 -115 (1u)
            Baltimore U 83 -115 (1u)
            Boston U 86 +100 (1u)
            KC U 80.5 +100 (1u)
            New York Mets U 83 +100 (1u)
            Cleve O 85 -115 (1u)

            Brewers to win the central +950 (1u)

            Brewers is pretty much an annual play for me. As I said before don't love the division and WS odds, not playing one to start the year.
            Comment
            • EXhoosier10
              SBR MVP
              • 07-06-09
              • 3122

              #41
              Where are you getting the mets and red sox line?
              Comment
              • mlb
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-04-09
                • 10509

                #42
                Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                Where are you getting the mets and red sox line?
                Through a local who uses scoresandodds future lines - realized I had a typo in Boston line... i fixed it
                Comment
                • EXhoosier10
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-06-09
                  • 3122

                  #43
                  nice. overall i leaned the same for all your futures except TB, just not enough to make a play on any of those teams specifically. gl
                  Comment
                  • mlb
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-04-09
                    • 10509

                    #44
                    Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                    nice. overall i leaned the same for all your futures except TB, just not enough to make a play on any of those teams specifically. gl
                    Sweet - yup I know your TB thoughts - I'm sticking with the idea that things fall apart a little bit this year.

                    best of luck this year! Love your input
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #45
                      Originally posted by mlb
                      St Louis +102 (1u) - sticking with wainwright on opening night. Many will be on Cubs and think this is some huge game with their revamped team. If wain has his strike out pitches on, he could rack up the Ks tonight. That is going to be said alot against this Cubs team. They may end up being a good team, but often time takes some growing pains. I think they are a year or 2 or 3 away yet... takes time with young talent - the rewards that the pirates are reaping now.
                      St Louis chi U 7 -100 (1u) - opening Sunday night under.
                      Nice hits. Really surprised by that line. Oddsmakers successfully talked me out of making a wager. I had Waino/Cards -120 here. Need to trust my numbers and instincts more.
                      Comment
                      • mlb
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-04-09
                        • 10509

                        #46
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        Nice hits. Really surprised by that line. Oddsmakers successfully talked me out of making a wager. I had Waino/Cards -120 here. Need to trust my numbers and instincts more.
                        Thanks coiner - yeah, I was a tad confused about the line. Glad it didn't scare me away. Both teams had plenty of chances to get that game over too, glad the bats were put stymied with RISP.
                        Comment
                        • mlb
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-04-09
                          • 10509

                          #47
                          Boston -110 (1u)
                          Comment
                          • mlb
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-04-09
                            • 10509

                            #48
                            That Miami Atlanta line is insane, no?

                            Tehran is still a solid starter.
                            Comment
                            • mlb
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-04-09
                              • 10509

                              #49
                              SD LAD U 6 (1u)
                              Comment
                              • EXhoosier10
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-06-09
                                • 3122

                                #50
                                Originally posted by mlb
                                That Miami Atlanta line is insane, no?

                                Tehran is still a solid starter.
                                I would say it should be -120 or -130. ATL's offense only has two hitters who are above average, Freddie Freeman and Markakis. Alvarez is probably league average or slightly better.
                                Comment
                                • mlb
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-04-09
                                  • 10509

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                  I would say it should be -120 or -130. ATL's offense only has two hitters who are above average, Freddie Freeman and Markakis. Alvarez is probably league average or slightly better.
                                  Thanks - almost wanted to take Atlanta because of this and to "fade" the trade and the perception of Atlanta right now, but not going to force anything.
                                  Comment
                                  • EXhoosier10
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-06-09
                                    • 3122

                                    #52
                                    Originally posted by mlb
                                    Thanks - almost wanted to take Atlanta because of this and to "fade" the trade and the perception of Atlanta right now, but not going to force anything.
                                    We need to stay disciplined! haha it's a long season, man. I've been grinding out profits the last few years partially because I make so many bets that I probably don't need to; I'm raising my bet size a bit this year and need to try limiting my plays so i don't go broke.
                                    Comment
                                    • mlb
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-04-09
                                      • 10509

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                      We need to stay disciplined! haha it's a long season, man. I've been grinding out profits the last few years partially because I make so many bets that I probably don't need to; I'm raising my bet size a bit this year and need to try limiting my plays so i don't go broke.
                                      Right there with you man - good hit on Rockies - saw somewhere that you really liked them.
                                      Comment
                                      • EXhoosier10
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 07-06-09
                                        • 3122

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by mlb
                                        Right there with you man - good hit on Rockies - saw somewhere that you really liked them.
                                        I'll usually be posting in nocoin's thread. He usually gets a lot of banter in there and it's easier to stay in one rummage through his thread for factoids rather than start my own and spread everyone out. Yours, terps, TK, and biff are about the only threads worth going in for info without the bs followers.
                                        Comment
                                        • mlb
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-04-09
                                          • 10509

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                          I'll usually be posting in nocoin's thread. He usually gets a lot of banter in there and it's easier to stay in one rummage through his thread for factoids rather than start my own and spread everyone out. Yours, terps, TK, and biff are about the only threads worth going in for info without the bs followers.
                                          Absolutely man!
                                          Comment
                                          • mlb
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-04-09
                                            • 10509

                                            #56
                                            2 run infield single hurt in that LAD game - BoSox came through - looking at Arizona for later tonight. I liked my discipline so far today though, ha
                                            Comment
                                            • mlb
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-04-09
                                              • 10509

                                              #57
                                              Ari +130 (1u)
                                              Comment
                                              • mlb
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-04-09
                                                • 10509

                                                #58
                                                Ugh d backs ... small plus on the year currently
                                                Comment
                                                • mlb
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                  • 10509

                                                  #59
                                                  Sun: 2-0 +2.02
                                                  Mon: 1-2 -1.1

                                                  Overall to date: 3-2 (+0.92u)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • mlb
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                    • 10509

                                                    #60
                                                    Miami -140 (1u)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mlb
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                      • 10509

                                                      #61
                                                      Mil Col U 8 -100 (1u)
                                                      Ari +101 (1u)
                                                      SD +137 (1u)
                                                      Tex +143 (1u)
                                                      Comment
                                                      • mlb
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                        • 10509

                                                        #62
                                                        nice finish to last night. held on for that Crew under and then swept the night with dogs! - not a ton of leans so far today
                                                        Comment
                                                        • mlb
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-04-09
                                                          • 10509

                                                          #63
                                                          I like Cole against Leake today. Leake is nowhere near the same pitcher on the road and I think Cole isn't getting enough love. I am worried a tad about Pirates being slow out of the gate with all of the excitement this year.

                                                          I like Koehler to write the ship here. Forced the play on Miami yesterday and hopefully I am not doing it again, I just think Miami is a superior team... play wouldn't be too crazy... line seems a bit low though, although Miamis bats have not shown up.

                                                          I most likely will be fading Giants again. Their staff is not that good and it shows with Heston being a near dog against the DBacks.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Louisvillekid1
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 10-17-07
                                                            • 52143

                                                            #64
                                                            Lean towards cole also

                                                            Gl
                                                            Comment
                                                            • mlb
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-04-09
                                                              • 10509

                                                              #65
                                                              Originally posted by Louisvillekid1
                                                              Lean towards cole also

                                                              Gl
                                                              Thanks boss
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mlb
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-04-09
                                                                • 10509

                                                                #66
                                                                NYY -126 (1u)
                                                                Pitt -122 (1u)
                                                                TB -118 (1u)
                                                                Cle -127 (1u)
                                                                Ari -108 (1u)

                                                                A little chalky overall and with work I couldn't book most of these earlier, even though I should have this morning when I was looking a little closer. Ended up dropping the Marlins.... their bats do not look good at the moment.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • mlb
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-04-09
                                                                  • 10509

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Get 1 of these last 2 - make it a reallllly nice day ... come on!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • paco
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 05-07-09
                                                                    • 62873

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Arizona blows
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • mlb
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-04-09
                                                                      • 10509

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by paco
                                                                      Arizona blows
                                                                      I know - doesn't mean we can't play them. This was way more of a fade to the current Giants staff and team. I think they will struggle to start the year until they can get everyone healthy.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • mlb
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-04-09
                                                                        • 10509

                                                                        #70
                                                                        that Pittsburgh lose was not fun..... should have gotten to Leake a lot earlier with that ugly line.

                                                                        after that 3-0 start, drop the next 2 ... moving on.

                                                                        ugly card today it seems
                                                                        Comment
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