Alright, I messed around with some different crap the 1st week of the season. Grand Salami and some other things and I just decided that I need to find the two best bets IMO and play 'em each day. No more than two and we'll see how my "plate discipline" is with sticking to this over the course of the grind. Rebooted with a deposit just for baseball, so this will be the tracking for that. Will try to do write-ups for each game, which should mean I am focusing and not just throwing darts.
I sucked ass on a lot of my bets earlier this week, so keep that in mind with whatever you do with this information.
April 6th: Phillies -117
Might be simplistic here, but the Cubs are having major issues scoring runs so why back a team that has not scored more than three runs this year and only two runs through the 1st two games of this series? Their pitching has been decent. Villanueva goes today after working out of the pen the first week. He is trying to stick as the 5th starter. He had an up & down Spring. Burnett for PHI. He shook off a tough Spring and limited TEX to one run on seven hits through 6 I{ in his Phils' debut. He has good numbers @ Wrigley. 5-0 in seven career starts. The Phils offense has come back down to earth since their explosive opener where they hung 14 on TEX. They still have decent overall numbers though with a .283 team BA compared to just .212 for CHC.
April 6th: Rockies-Diamondbacks Over 9 [-110]
Even though both Miley & Anderson have been serviceable pitchers to start 2014, both these teams are locked into OVERs mode early. ARI has played OVERs in six of eight, while COL is a perfect five for five in OVERs so far. Even when the starters for both clubs have done well, the bullpens have provided plenty of runs to the opposition. ARI sports a bullpen ERA of 6.33, while COL comes in at 5.68. The Rockies offense has been torrid with a .300+ team BA to start. They have pounded the D-backs for 21 runs in the 1st two games of this series and have a streak of four straight with five runs or better. The key will be getting to those gascan bullpens. Should be interesting to see how Anderson does in his first Coors Field start. If one or both starters are gone by the 6th inning, this should be in good shape to add runs late.
I sucked ass on a lot of my bets earlier this week, so keep that in mind with whatever you do with this information.
April 6th: Phillies -117
Might be simplistic here, but the Cubs are having major issues scoring runs so why back a team that has not scored more than three runs this year and only two runs through the 1st two games of this series? Their pitching has been decent. Villanueva goes today after working out of the pen the first week. He is trying to stick as the 5th starter. He had an up & down Spring. Burnett for PHI. He shook off a tough Spring and limited TEX to one run on seven hits through 6 I{ in his Phils' debut. He has good numbers @ Wrigley. 5-0 in seven career starts. The Phils offense has come back down to earth since their explosive opener where they hung 14 on TEX. They still have decent overall numbers though with a .283 team BA compared to just .212 for CHC.
April 6th: Rockies-Diamondbacks Over 9 [-110]
Even though both Miley & Anderson have been serviceable pitchers to start 2014, both these teams are locked into OVERs mode early. ARI has played OVERs in six of eight, while COL is a perfect five for five in OVERs so far. Even when the starters for both clubs have done well, the bullpens have provided plenty of runs to the opposition. ARI sports a bullpen ERA of 6.33, while COL comes in at 5.68. The Rockies offense has been torrid with a .300+ team BA to start. They have pounded the D-backs for 21 runs in the 1st two games of this series and have a streak of four straight with five runs or better. The key will be getting to those gascan bullpens. Should be interesting to see how Anderson does in his first Coors Field start. If one or both starters are gone by the 6th inning, this should be in good shape to add runs late.
