2014 MLB thread with friends

**No coincidences** · 08-03-14, 06:27 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Atlanta does suck. I figured they would lose with Harrang pitching but I thought the TT would be a push at worst.

Agree. How can you not hit Tyson Ross? Why isn't this guy getting bombed by now?

**BigDofBA** · 08-03-14, 06:29 PM

Lead off runner on second with no outs. How do they f\*\*k this up?

**BigDofBA** · 08-03-14, 06:31 PM

Push. Thank god even though I feel like this should have won. At least I can only win now.

3-3, no outs p, and a guy on first but they elect not to bunt him over. Why?

**No coincidences** · 08-03-14, 06:32 PM

Originally posted by BigDofBA

Push. Thank god even though I feel like this should have won. At least I can only win now.

3-3, no outs p, and a guy on first but they elect not to bunt him over. Why?

Braves should win this game now.

Benoit as a closer doesn't work.

**paco** · 08-03-14, 08:26 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Braves should win this game now.

Benoit as a closer doesn't work.

Braves blow. We have established that already

**No coincidences** · 08-03-14, 08:37 PM

Buchholz's "curve ball" floats up there like it's served on a platter.

Every time the Yankees make contact, it's a rocket.

What happened to this guy?

**altieriflyers** · 08-03-14, 08:47 PM

No Coin what is your take on Indians RL tomorrow?

**Pauulzcappin** · 08-03-14, 09:40 PM

Kluber is very expensive tomorrow, thought it would be around -160

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-04-14, 05:13 AM

Originally posted by altieriflyers

No Coin what is your take on Indians RL tomorrow?

Kluber has pitched two back to back 9 inning games. Last time I saw that from a pitcher they got shelled their next game

**Mase of Base** · 08-04-14, 06:53 AM

Originally posted by RavensFan2k3

Kluber has pitched two back to back 9 inning games. Last time I saw that from a pitcher they got shelled their next game

He only threw 85 pitches against Seattle which is the least he's thrown in his last 9 games. The price is ridiculous anyway! Simon might possibly be regressing but he's proved he's more than capable of throwing a gem.

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-04-14, 07:16 AM

Originally posted by Mase of Base

He only threw 85 pitches against Seattle which is the least he's thrown in his last 9 games. The price is ridiculous anyway! Simon might possibly be regressing but he's proved he's more than capable of throwing a gem.

Yeah I went back and saw that. The line is interesting...either Simon gets completely shelled or Its a close game. But the more I look into it, I see Kluber pitching a good game.

**Dollars2Donuts** · 08-04-14, 08:00 AM

I am on Simon. I don't normally look for 'value' (a word that is too often thrown around on losing bets) but this cross-state rivals will play each other tough, Simon has been gawd-awful since the All Star break and he is going to look to a game like this to get back on track and Kluber is ready for a let-down game.

Do I think Cincy wins? Half of the time in this spot I believe they get it done....and at +170 that's enough for me.

**Pauulzcappin** · 08-04-14, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by Dollars2Donuts

I am on Simon. I don't normally look for 'value' (a word that is too often thrown around on losing bets) but this cross-state rivals will play each other tough, Simon has been gawd-awful since the All Star break and he is going to look to a game like this to get back on track and Kluber is ready for a let-down game.

Do I think Cincy wins? Half of the time in this spot I believe they get it done....and at +170 that's enough for me.

+180s available now

I think Kluber rolls again, not sure if I want to pay that premium price for it though.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 10:46 AM

NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-04-14, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)

NC why?

**EXhoosier10** · 08-04-14, 10:53 AM

Originally posted by No coincidences

NYM +130 (2U to win 2.6)

Bovada lean is better than the pinny lean IMO

**Lincoln Scofield** · 08-04-14, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

Bovada lean is better than the pinny lean IMO

As in if it's even across the board and Bovada is juicing a public play?

**EXhoosier10** · 08-04-14, 11:07 AM

Originally posted by Lincoln Scofield

As in if it's even across the board and Bovada is juicing a public play?

exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...

).

**Lincoln Scofield** · 08-04-14, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...

).

As well as BM dropping from -129/+119 to -122/+112 in the last couple mins...but idk how much stock you're supposed to put in BM.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by EXhoosier10

exactly. If you look at either sbr or sportsbook_spy, you see 62/83% of public is on SF. Pinny is -128, and 5d is -126. Bovada is -142 (just moved from -140...

).

Now a 20-cent gap between Bovada and CRIS.

**Pauulzcappin** · 08-04-14, 11:25 AM

good start for my over and your mets, no coin.

ball looks like its carrying a lot

**EXhoosier10** · 08-04-14, 11:26 AM

Originally posted by Lincoln Scofield

As well as BM dropping from -129/+119 to -122/+112 in the last couple mins...but idk how much stock you're supposed to put in BM.

no idea re: BM. i wouldn't really consider a book who offers >10 cent lines on a -125 MLB game to be 'sharp'. I usually just stick with pinny/5d/bovada and its been pretty successful.
This isn't anything i've explicity tracked, just something that I've seemed to notice from time to time. bovada is definitely a public book (college days, everyone i knew irl was on bodog bc of the bonuses they offered and successful, albeit relatively small, payouts)

Cleveland and boston were just a few cents away from being good examples yesterday

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-04-14, 11:33 AM

My book had SF -125/NYM +120. I found that weird, so I layed off. Smh

**lore22** · 08-04-14, 11:42 AM

2 minutes to post time Pinnys live MLB had the Mets at +113.

**RavensFan2k3** · 08-04-14, 12:54 PM

Ugh my scared ass didnt just jump on NYM +107 live and now they took the lead

**sta0g** · 08-04-14, 02:52 PM

stupid mutts

**Smoothieopath** · 08-04-14, 02:59 PM

CHW tt ov 4.5

**KRIT** · 08-04-14, 03:40 PM

Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?

**Pauulzcappin** · 08-04-14, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?

total is suspiciously low as well. either mccarthy throws a gem or they both get rocked imo.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 05:42 PM

Now batting a paltry 42% on one-run games this year.

Unbelievable.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 05:42 PM

Originally posted by KRIT

Can't believe Scherzer is only -120 tonight. Thoughts?

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

total is suspiciously low as well. either mccarthy throws a gem or they both get rocked imo.

Books and advanced stat geeks love McCarthy.

**Pauulzcappin** · 08-04-14, 05:45 PM

Originally posted by No coincidences

Books and advanced stat geeks love McCarthy.

I checked those out. His peripherals look really good but can he translate those to rubber?

What do you think about tonight coiner? looks like chalk city again.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 05:46 PM

NYY TT over 3.5 (2.2U to win 2)

Yankee bats looking like they're starting to heat up.

**No coincidences** · 08-04-14, 05:47 PM

Originally posted by Pauulzcappin

I checked those out. His peripherals look really good but can he translate those to rubber?

What do you think about tonight coiner? looks like chalk city again.

Yeah, not much worth playing. I obviously lean Cleveland, but no way at that price. Other than that, I don't see much. Sort of like Tampa, but not at that price.

**NittanyLionsFan** · 08-04-14, 05:55 PM

Reds/Indians over 3.5 FF gotta be the play today