Tuesday 4.8.2014 final card
1* Orioles/Yankees over 8' (-122) - WINNER
1* Brewers ML (-102) - WINNER
1* Giants -1 RL (+108) - WINNER
1* Rays TT under 3' (+105) - WINNER
1* ML parlay: Nationals + Jays (+131) - WINNER
5-0 +5.44u
29-12-5 +19.95u MLB season to date
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Sixla
SBR MVP
08-16-10
1008
#282
beautiful day Biff with those plays! Keep it rolling!
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xraygord
SBR MVP
09-18-09
2599
#283
You are awesome Biff.
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#284
Originally posted by jbart28
Nice start to the season Biffer.
Thank you!
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#285
Gerry Davis behind plate in KC. Rays 7-25 L32 with Davis behind plate; Royals 4-17 L21 with Davis calling balls & strikes. Conclusion: PASS
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#286
Originally posted by DALLASROB
Originally posted by Sixla
beautiful day Biff with those plays! Keep it rolling!
Originally posted by xraygord
You are awesome Biff.
Thanks a lot for your kinds words, fellas. I really appreciate them. BOL to you today.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#287
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
Gerry Davis behind plate in KC. Rays 7-25 L32 with Davis behind plate; Royals 4-17 L21 with Davis calling balls & strikes. Conclusion: PASS
He the only part of the over I don't like, well that and kc inability to drive in runners but the conditions are ripe for some runs here..
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#288
Wednesday 4.9.2014
1* Tribe game one -1 RL (+109)
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#289
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
Early leans for today, haven't booked anything yet but have input general info into model to produce leans.
Tribe game one (expensive, though)
A's/Twins under
Reds/Cards over
Rays
White Sox/Rockies over
Pads/Tribe under game two
Rangers
Rangers/Red Sox (model loves this one but not crazy about playing under in Fenway with strong wind out)
O's
Brewers
Marlins
Marlins/Nats over
Astros FF
Astros/Jays under
Braves
Cubs
Angels
Angels/M's over
Dbacks
parlay material: Tribe game one, Braves, Brewers
back later
Cards over def makes sense, nc said he didn't trust miller my answer was "if ya don't trust miller play the over" think cards put up at least 5 and lean to 6 so if Cincy gets anything it should hit 8. Kinda worry bout a 5-2/6-1 score tho as miller was lights out at home and during the day last year, plus Martinez has day off yesterday so miller really only has to go 6 then it Martinez, seacrest, rosénthal which is lights out.. Leave has shown 6 innings the most he can give then it a jumble fukked mess coming out of Cincy pen the reason I like stl rl little more than total, maybe cards Tt over?
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#290
Originally posted by 2daBank
He the only part of the over I don't like, well that and kc inability to drive in runners but the conditions are ripe for some runs here..
I don't play totals with Gerry Davis behind plate, and I pass on game entirely when Laz Diaz is behind plate (note: Diaz working plate at Wrigley today. penetrating psycho - that guy's as batshit crazy as Kendall Gill).
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#291
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
I don't play totals with Gerry Davis behind plate, and I pass on game entirely when Laz Diaz is behind plate (note: Diaz working plate at Wrigley today. penetrating psycho - that guy's as batshit crazy as Kendall Gill).
I'm playing the wind not the ump, hopefully that holds true for the gm. Lol
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#292
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
Wednesday 4.9.2014
1* Tribe game one -1 RL (+109)
Is that stults vs Mcallister? If so no concern w tribe bats vs lefties?
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#293
adding
1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)
dig that weather report for Minneapolis. 16-20 mph winds in from right. Crisp likely out and wouldn't be surprised to see other names absent from lineups. Day off yesterday should mean fresh pens.
I was looking at that under in minny as well. Hughes solid numbers vs oak and in this park plus like u mentioned huge helping wind for a fly ball pitcher..
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#295
Originally posted by 2daBank
Is that stults vs Mcallister? If so no concern w tribe bats vs lefties?
They hit lefties just fine. Bad numbers this season so far but very small sample size and most of those vs Kazmir when he dominated them last week. Stults is no Kazmir.
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#296
Originally posted by 2daBank
I'm playing the wind not the ump, hopefully that holds true for the gm. Lol
I'm not about to talk you out of it. I have my rules and they work for me, but I'm no evangelist. However, when I deviate from my rules and loss, I get really pissed and throw shit, so best for me to avoid deviating. BOL hope you hit!
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#297
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
They hit lefties just fine. Bad numbers this season so far but very small sample size and most of those vs Kazmir when he dominated them last week. Stults is no Kazmir.
Very true, for some reason I had it in my head they struggled w lefties last year but wouldn't be 1st time my memory was off
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#298
My day is taking a detour. Don't have the time to put in on Reds/Cards total right now but hopefully will around lunchtime. Back in a few hours hopefully.
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BiffTFinancial
SBR Posting Legend
01-29-09
22670
#299
Originally posted by 2daBank
Very true, for some reason I had it in my head they struggled w lefties last year but wouldn't be 1st time my memory was off
Struggled vs LHP 2012 but hit them very well last year, in no small part due to significant roster changes. You're right, just a year off. They were putrid vs LHP in 2012. Back later.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#300
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
I'm not about to talk you out of it. I have my rules and they work for me, but I'm no evangelist. However, when I deviate from my rules and loss, I get really pissed and throw shit, so best for me to avoid deviating. BOL hope you hit!
Lol, very understandable... Have some of my own but I'm bit of a rebel and tend to break them and u right usually leads to things being broken! I'm for sure playing w fire w this ump and state of kc bats. But think w the walk and fly ball rates of these 2 it worth the gamble that both teams can get me a 4 spot..
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Jay Millz
SBR High Roller
03-12-14
107
#301
amazing day yesterday biff! great work.
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Jay Millz
SBR High Roller
03-12-14
107
#302
just a question... does your model ever suggest more than 1u bets?
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#303
Originally posted by Jay Millz
just a question... does your model ever suggest more than 1u bets?
Pretty sure 2 is generally his normal (think he mentioned was gonna start w more 1s tho) and he ranges from 1 to 5 but I believe 3u is typically his high side...
Figured I'd just answer for him cause think he busy ATM..
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jbart28
SBR MVP
04-16-11
3387
#304
Loving the Twins under and cards over. Like the rangers tonight as well. KC day game wind is crazy. Don't like the pitching matchup in the over formula though. No play for me.
Comment
Jay Millz
SBR High Roller
03-12-14
107
#305
cool.. just letting the dust settle at the beginning of the season hey - just as i anticipated. I just wanted to know if i should be upping my unit sizes... might do it slightly now that i know there's no 20u bets coming my way haha.
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#306
Originally posted by Jay Millz
cool.. just letting the dust settle at the beginning of the season hey - just as i anticipated. I just wanted to know if i should be upping my unit sizes... might do it slightly now that i know there's no 20u bets coming my way haha.
Obviously do what comfortable for you but no biff doesn't do any of that bs huge unit to make record look better chasing crap..think It very rare you ever see him go over 3u and I know I've never really seen him over 5 on a play..
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#307
Originally posted by jbart28
Loving the Twins under and cards over. Like the rangers tonight as well. KC day game wind is crazy. Don't like the pitching matchup in the over formula though. No play for me.
While I can see your point with the pitchers I think that neither of their gms set up well for this weather as they both have higher than avg walk rates and both get a lot of fly ball outs, to me that spells a few crooked numbers. Still I'm putting a lot of faith in a kc offense that has shown nothing, did the same w rangers yesterday and it worked let's call it a heat check
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2daBank
SBR Aristocracy
01-26-09
88966
#308
Originally posted by BiffTFinancial
adding
1* A's/Twins under 8 (+106)
dig that weather report for Minneapolis. 16-20 mph winds in from right. Crisp likely out and wouldn't be surprised to see other names absent from lineups. Day off yesterday should mean fresh pens.
Just bumping for anyone tailing biff as my babbling has taken up a page
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yodlegern
SBR Hustler
03-12-14
99
#309
What does Tribe G1 -1 Rl mean? (i'm a noob)
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THam12
SBR Posting Legend
03-12-13
12640
#310
Originally posted by yodlegern
What does Tribe G1 -1 Rl mean? (i'm a noob)
Game 1
-1 run line. So they win by 2 is a win, 1 is a push.
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SilverTongueFox
SBR MVP
11-23-10
2338
#311
Biff, Masters weekend. It does not get any better than Sunday at Augusta. I did a little bit of research so I'm going to play a few 1st rd head to head matchups. If you get a chance check it out. Let me know what you like for Thursday's matchups.