Feedback on my picks!

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 08:57 AM

Okay. I have officially gotten out of control with this system and I need to take it back to the basics; meaning quit while your ahead, and chase only enough to be positive for the day.

When all is said and done, between the Astro's, Orioles, and Cleveland all shitting on me late in the game, I did okay. Only down a unit on the day. These are the totals now, and I will (hopefully) start streak #5 today.

S1: 6 Days: 45-34-1: +11.61u
S2: 1 Day: 13-13: -1.44u
S3: 1 Day: 2-5: -2.14u
S4: 2 Days: 18-15-1: +3.22u
S5: ?

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 09:09 AM

Okay. Keeping it simple:

-Chicago Cubs +122
-Washington Nationals -150
-NYM/Milwaukee U9 -110
-Baltimore/NYY U9 -115
-St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +115

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 02:00 PM

Adding:

-Atlanta Braves +138
-Cleveland Indians -137
-Kansas City Royals +108

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 02:24 PM

Switched pitcher for Braves so that bet is void. This is total card for today:

-Chicago Cubs +122
-CHC/Pittsburgh U3.5 First 5 Innings -105
-(2u) Washington Nationals -150
-NYM/Milwaukee U9 -110
-Baltimore/NYY U9 -115
-St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +115
-Cleveland Indians -137
-Kansas City Royals +108

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 05:14 PM

Ahh penetrate it, I still like Atlanta. Adding:

-Atlanta Braves +152
-Colorado/Arizona O8.5 -115
-Seattle Mariners +178

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 06:41 PM

Adding:

-Los Angeles Angels -134
-Houston/Texas O5 First 5 Innings -115

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 08:36 PM

I was trying to figure out what the best play on the late games were and I decided I like the over in Arizona better than either late game so I doubled the units. My 2u plays have been good to me. Not sure of the record but I think I'm something like 5-1 since starting this thread. This is my total card for today:

-Chicago Cubs +122
-CHC/Pittsburgh U3.5 First 5 Innings -105
-(2u) Washington Nationals -150
-NYM/Milwaukee U9 -110
-Baltimore/NYY U9 -115
-St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +115
-Cleveland Indians -137
-Kansas City Royals +108
-Atlanta Braves +152
-(2u) Colorado/Arizona O8.5 -115
-Seattle Mariners +178
-Los Angeles Angels -134
-Houston/Texas O5 First 5 Innings -115

boss_of_um · 07-05-13, 08:43 PM

Add the Under in Giants/Dodgers game.

Tofudog · 07-05-13, 08:48 PM

Originally posted by boss_of_um

Add the Under in Giants/Dodgers game.

I would but I feel like Ryu might have a hard time tonight.. Not to be contradictory but I was thinking it was a pitching duel gone wrong... Hope we win both!

This is what I have been trying to avoid because the late games have not been good to me but here we go:

-LAD/San Francisco O3.5 First 5 Innings +110

boss_of_um · 07-05-13, 08:58 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

I would but I feel like Ryu might have a hard time tonight.. Not to be contradictory but I was thinking it was a pitching duel gone wrong... Hope we win both!

This is what I have been trying to avoid because the late games have not been good to me but here we go:

-LAD/San Francisco O3.5 First 5 Innings +110

For what it's worth my west coast picks seem to suck too. Cards blowing a 2 run lead in the B9th last night sums up my luck with west coast baseball. I do peg the Rockies well though most of the time. Totals or Str8 up.

Tofudog · 07-06-13, 09:13 AM

S5: 0 Days: 6-8: -2.13u

Lets get it going today and try to make it to the All Star Break:

-Miami Marlins +175
-Milwaukee Brewers -137
-(2u) Baltimore Orioles +100
-Minnesota Twins +178
-Kansas City Royals -115
-Detroit/Cleveland U9 -115
-Cincinnati Reds -220

Tofudog · 07-06-13, 09:36 AM

Two More:

-Atlanta Braves -121
-Colorado/Arizona O9 -105

Tofudog · 07-06-13, 05:24 PM

Adding:

-CHW/Tampa Bay U7 -120
-San Francisco First 5 Innings -175
-Los Angeles Angels -110

Tofudog · 07-07-13, 10:20 AM

S6: 8-3: +3.53u

Good start to this. And good opportunity with all these early games to make this streak go a little while.

I swear, if the Orioles lose this one against this triple-a team in New York they are officially on non-bet status. Hammel needs a solid outing for sure but If the O's can stop swinging at pitches two feet away from the plate they will be fine. Everyone knows this. They are striking out without ever getting a pitch over the plate... there is always time for redemption though.

Here are the early plays:

-Atlanta/Philadelphia O8.5 -110
-Milwaukee Brewers -125
-Baltimore Orioles +114
-Toronto Blue Jays -165
-Cleveland Indians +121
-CHW/Tampa Bay O7.5 +100
-Oakland Athletics -135

Best of Luck everybody!

Tofudog · 07-07-13, 11:47 AM

Holy Shit! I just realized that the Angels won in extra innings. I stopped watching the game when it was 7-3 with one out in the 9th! One of those times you wish you watched the rest. That vastly improves what I thought was already a great day yesterday.

So instead of (S6: 8-3: +3.53u), its actually 9-2: +5.63u. Too bad I put 2u on one of the two losing bets but that is how it goes sometimes.

Looking forward to today!

Tofudog · 07-07-13, 02:00 PM

Adding:

-Texas Rangers -1.5 -105

Tofudog · 07-07-13, 05:22 PM

Should have known that Texas would win by one.. How predictable.

Regardless I will have a profitable day either way and I will throw a unit on the night game:

-LAA/Boston U8 -115

kevin101 · 07-07-13, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

Should have known that Texas would win by one.. How predictable.

Regardless I will have a profitable day either way and I will throw a unit on the night game:

-LAA/Boston U8 -115

Yea that was a gay game, I took Texas -1.5 too.

****** my parlay too. 4/5....

Tofudog · 07-07-13, 11:00 PM

Another good day under the belt. Total for today was 6-3: +3.05u, which makes:
S6: 2 Days: 15-5: +8.68u

I will post my total streaks again soon

Tofudog · 07-08-13, 03:34 PM

Lets go for day 3. At work now.. Hoping to go 3-2 and leave it at that.

-Baltimore Orioles -106
-Chicago White Sox -116
-Kansas City Royals +135
-Cleveland Indians +145
-Oakland Athletics -107

Best of Luck

Tofudog · 07-08-13, 08:55 PM

Well.. hoping that I can get a W from the Indians or WhiteSox, which would be awesome. But I'm still adding:

-Colorado Rockies +130
-Boston Redsox +103

Best of luck everybody!

Tofudog · 07-08-13, 09:15 PM

Whatever. Throw in one more. I'm risking the streak but I just like all of these doggy plays.

-San Francisco +103

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 08:27 AM

Well way to go SF.. I needed that for a winning day, but today is a new day!

S1: 6 Days: 45-34-1: +11.61u
S2: 1 Day: 13-13: -1.44u
S3: 1 Day: 2-5: -2.14u
S4: 2 Days: 18-15-1: +3.22u
S5: 0 Days: 6-8: -2.13u
S6: 2 Days: 18-10: +7.11u
S7: ?

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 09:19 AM

Okay.. Looking like a chalky card. Just real hard to find underdogs that I like today. Hoping to go 4-3 on these games!

-Miami Marlins +150
-Baltimore Orioles -122
-Toronto Blue Jays +100
-Cincinnati Reds -137
-San Diego Padres -125
-New York Yankees -139
-Pittsburgh Pirates -114

PickoMoff · 07-09-13, 12:03 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

Okay.. Looking like a chalky card. Just real hard to find underdogs that I like today. Hoping to go 4-3 on these games!

-Miami Marlins +150
-Baltimore Orioles -122
-Toronto Blue Jays +100
-Cincinnati Reds -137
-San Diego Padres -125
-New York Yankees -139
-Pittsburgh Pirates -114

MIA over ATL as good as Teheran been pitching? Why?

As for good underdogs, I like:

COL. "Padres have lost 10 in a row now. Chacin 2-0 this year vs. Padres already with 2 solid starts. Also has won his last 4." Quote from (BennyBigNut)

LAD is swing a hot bat; Nolasco has been pitching good as of late, he's 1-0 vs ARI with a 1.13 ERA this year. I know his career number against them aren't pretty ERA wise (9GM, 6-2 with 4.14 ERA) but I'm rolling with LAD today.

CHC. I feel they can pull this one off against LAA.

Good Luck Today!

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 02:00 PM

Well.. the Braves have only been 18-17 since the beginning of June, and have not impressed me to say the least. The Marlins have been getting better and are a far cry from the worst team in baseball right now, going 18-15 and beating some pretty good teams. A major factor for me was the disparities between home and road records.. Also, I feel almost any game will be a tossup whether they will only score one run or 10 so I'll take those odds at +150.

LAD does seem like a good play. I just can't pull the trigger on it.. It seems like they should be around -120 and I don't trust it!

Have no idea about the Cubs. I felt like they were one of the worst teams and then they traded away Feldman. Doesn't affect their hitting but its hard to bet on them against anyone, even Blanton. I think it helps that they haven't really faced Wood before

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 02:32 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

Okay.. Looking like a chalky card. Just real hard to find underdogs that I like today. Hoping to go 4-3 on these games!

-Miami Marlins +150
-Baltimore Orioles -122
-Toronto Blue Jays +100
-Cincinnati Reds -137
-San Diego Padres -125
-New York Yankees -139
-Pittsburgh Pirates -114

Adding:
-Washington/Philadelphia U4.5 First 5 Innings -115

PickoMoff · 07-09-13, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

Well.. the Braves have only been 18-17 since the beginning of June, and have not impressed me to say the least. The Marlins have been getting better and are a far cry from the worst team in baseball right now, going 18-15 and beating some pretty good teams. A major factor for me was the disparities between home and road records.. Also, I feel almost any game will be a tossup whether they will only score one run or 10 so I'll take those odds at +150.

LAD does seem like a good play. I just can't pull the trigger on it.. It seems like they should be around -120 and I don't trust it!

Have no idea about the Cubs. I felt like they were one of the worst teams and then they traded away Feldman. Doesn't affect their hitting but its hard to bet on them against anyone, even Blanton. I think it helps that they haven't really faced Wood before

Fair enough! BOL!

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 07:04 PM

Good luck pickomoff.. may be both win! Decided to do this for Cubbies game:

-LAA/CHC U5 First 5 Innings -110

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 08:18 PM

Alriiiiighty Theennn (Imagine Jim Carey voice). Here are my final plays for the late games:

-NYM/San Francisco O7.5 +110
-NYM/San Francisco O3.5 First 5 Innings -120
-Arizona Diamondbacks pk First 5 Innings -110

Tofudog · 07-09-13, 09:13 PM

Throw in:

-San Francisco pk First 5 Innings -115

Talk about a let down for a lot of good starts on my original bets..

PickoMoff · 07-09-13, 09:59 PM

Originally posted by Tofudog

Good luck pickomoff.. may be both win! Decided to do this for Cubbies game:

-LAA/CHC U5 First 5 Innings -110

Good bet! Looks like we both won!

Tofudog · 07-10-13, 09:10 AM

-Miami Marlins +150 LOSS
-Baltimore Orioles -122 LOSS
-Toronto Blue Jays +100 LOSS
-Cincinnati Reds -137 LOSS
-San Diego Padres -125 WIN
-New York Yankees -139 LOSS
-Pittsburgh Pirates -114 LOSS
-Washington/Philadelphia U4.5 First 5 Innings -115 WIN
-LAA/CHC U5 First 5 Innings -110 WIN
-NYM/San Francisco O7.5 +110 WIN
-NYM/San Francisco O3.5 First 5 Innings -120 WIN
-Arizona Diamondbacks pk First 5 Innings -110 LOSS
-San Francisco pk First 5 Innings -115 PUSH

I didn't want to post results to avoid trolls on this thread but I'm primarily using it for myself and I would like to be able to go back and see my results on favs, dogs, o/u, ff, etc.

Luckily I did well on my later posted plays to save myself from meltdown.

A good reminder why not to lay a lot of chalk.. I really did like those plays but its important to remember that pride comes before the fall.

S7: 5-7-1: -3.12u

Lets see what we can do today for the earlier games:

-(2u) Miami/Atlanta U7.5 -115
-Cincinnati Reds -165

I really liked San Fran today (believe it or not) but what the hell is going on with this -190 nonsense?

Tofudog · 07-10-13, 09:58 AM

Total plays (so far) for today:

-(2u) Miami/Atlanta U7.5 -115
-Cincinnati Reds -165
-Washington Nationals +118
-New York Yankees -138
-Minnesota Twins +170

Best of Luck!

Tofudog · 07-10-13, 10:43 AM

Throwing in:
-Miami/Atlanta U4 First 5 Innings -125