Feedback on my picks!

[Tofudog]

I am on a hot streak and I usually go about 20 games before the downfall. I feel confident about these picks. Fade or tail, GL.

-Cincinnati/Arizona U8 -108
-Cincinnati/Arizona No Run 1st Inning -135
-San Diego Padres +1.5 -136
-Pittsburgh Pirates +142

Leaning towards Oakland and Miami but not entirely confident.. The Miami line may have dropped too much.

Any plays you guys like?

[Tofudog]

Upon further examination, I added these few 1st 5 plays, only because I have to work tomorrow

-San Diego Padres +1/2 -114 1st 5
-(2u) San Fransisco Giants -140 1st 5
-Oakland/Seattle U3.5 -126 1st 5

Did well on the earlier plays. Would have done much better if Strop would get his head straight for the Orioles!!!!

[Tofudog]

No comments? Its interesting how nobody replies to username that they don't recognize. I usually don't post much unless its a night that I have absolutely nothing going on and nobody comments!

[Tofudog]

Went 4-7 last night for +1.73 units. Was working all day today but was happy to see that the White Sox and Phillies pulled some nice 9th inning heroics for yet another highly profitable start to the day. I wish I had posted my picks but I didn't. I have some late night plays I really like again today!

-Seattle/Oakland O7.5 -104
-Los Angeles Angels -126
-Los Angeles Angels -1.5 +167

[TO]

You seem very confident on the angels, why is that?

[Tofudog]

I like to spot bet, looking from a public perspective, especially on teams that are losing and I am usually successful. One reason is that the Pirates face the Angels tomorrow at 3:30 and they will be facing one of the worst pitchers in baseball (Blanton), and they probably assume they will take the series. Angels was a late game last night and I'm sure people thought that Weaver was due for a good game. Now people should be convinced that Angels are a horrible team and will gladly take the + money for the Pirates.

Im not incredibly convinced. I just think this is a good spot. Also, if the Angels win, it will probably be by quite a few runs since they are so hot and cold so I like the runline

[boss_of_um]

I like the Sea/Oak OVER more than Angels although Liriano back in the AL could mean he gets lit up like he used to do.

[Tofudog]

Ugh.. I'm not quite sure why I was confident in the Angels.. I was just trying to rationalize why my gut told me they would blow Pittsburgh out..

Anyways.. despite my posted record of 5-9 for .47u, I have still been doing great on the earlier games and Ive made sure to post them today!

-Colorado/Washington U7.5 -107
-NYM/Philadelphia O7.5 -110
-(2u)Atlanta Braves -136
-Cincinnati Reds -131
-Minnesota Twins +135
-Detroit Tigers -166
-Baltimore Orioles +139
-Kansas City Royals -1.5 +112
-Tampa Bay/NYY U9 -106
-Houston Astro's +155
-Pittsburgh/LAA O9 -104
-Los Angeles Dodgers +139

Tail, fade, or tell me not to play so many. Have a great Sunday and good luck!

[Tofudog]

Really need the Tigers to pull through on this one. I knew that the price was steep but I felt they would still pull it out. A few innings to go!

Also, does anyone know what the deal in Philly is?

[Tofudog]

Well... that was an awesome start.. assuming the Braves hold on.. Im risking a very profitable day by adding these two. May the streak continue!

-St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 +113
-St. Louis/Texas O7.5 -109

[Tofudog]

Ive been smoking too much weed.. when I wrote 5-9, I actually meant 5 out of 9 or 5-4 for .47u. Today is guaranteed to be a profitable day so I am on a 7 day streak of profitable betting. Even though I hadn't posted many of the early games which I won this week, my posted plays are now at 13-8: +6.14u.

Im waiting on (just bored so Im posting):
-St. Louis -1.5 +113
-St. Louis/Texas O7.5 -109
-St. Louis/Texas O3 Last 4 Innings -105

[Tofudog]

Well.. that was an interesting game. It looks like my bets did not pan out too well but I still had a profitable day. Today I will go for day 8 of profitable betting. Record is 13-10-1: +4.05u

Plays for today:
-Philadelphia/San Diego O6.5 -105
-San Fransisco Giants +100
-(2u)Tampa Bay Rays -125
-Baltimore/Cleveland U9 +104

[Tofudog]

Adding one more:
-San Fransisco/LAD U6.5 -110

[Tofudog]

And a successful 8th day of profitable betting! Been doing well. Might take a day off not to trip myself up but so far posted record is at 17-11-1 for 8.09u

[Tofudog]

Heres what I have for today:

-CHC/Milwaukee O8 -114
-San Francisco/LAD O7.5 -109
-Los Angeles Angels +120
-Baltimore Orioles -135
-Tampa Bay Rays -134
-Colorado Rockies +154
-St. Louis Cardinals -150
-Oakland Athletics -146
-Pittsburgh Pirates -112

[Jakenv21]

great value in the Pirates. only -112

[aIntuition]

I like the pirates, oakland and col from what you took.
Also like brewers ml MAYBE tampa ml.

[atltsx]

Balt game I want to take but feel that the tribe could pull off the W. I like the under 9.5 on that game.

Good Luck!

[STAY STRONG]

in it to win it

[Tofudog]

Adding:

-San Diego/Philadelphia U7.5 -114

[atltsx]

Good call on Balt.

[Tofudog]

A successful day 9 of profitable betting! I hated the fact that I liked so many favorites yesterday but I am glad I stuck to how I felt about them. Got pretty lucky with those high scoring innings. My posted record now stands at: 25-13-1 for 14.15u.

[Tofudog]

Might add more later, depending on how the earlier games go, but this is what I have so far:

-Arizona/Washington U7.5 -111
-CHC/Milwaukee U8 -109
-Toronto/Tampa Bay O8.5 -105
-(2u) Detroit Tigers -149
-Minnesota Twins -112
-(1.5u) Cincinnati Reds +120
-Pittsburgh Pirates +136

Best of Luck!

[Tofudog]

Not the best start so far but I still have confidence. I added a few gamble plays that I like and a few underdog plays.

-San Diego Padres +106
-Texas Rangers +121
-Baltimore/Cleveland O3 R+H+E 1st Innings +100
-Baltimore/Cleveland O29.5 R+H+E -120
-CHC/Milwauke No Run In 1st Inning -140

[Tofudog]

Hate to be a recurrent poster but I added

-Kansas City Royals +116

[Tofudog]

Recurrent posting continues.. I'm aiming for a positive day vs. a burial but obviously there is some in between. After a 8-2 day yesterday and an amazing winning stretch, I can take the risk. It would be interesting to see if I could keep the streak alive. I am aware that most of these are juiced..

And I finally learned how to spell "Francisco." I just always thought it had two s' for some reason

-San Diego/Philadelphia U7 -103
-(2u) San Francisco/LAD No Run 1st Inning -160
-San Francisco/LAD U3.5 1st 5 Innings
-San Francisco +175

[Tofudog]

My Detroit bet finally got voided. I had asked in livechat but they told me the bet was still good. Obviously they have no idea whats going on. Just posting now to keep credibility

[Tofudog]

Well I realized that I forgot to put "First 5 Innings" after my San Fran bet. If you were up and looking at lines last night, you know that the line for the game was actually around +182 within the hour of the game. Also if you follow my picks you would know I like to do first 5 for the late games, so I'm not tempted to stay up.

Believe it or not, I don't care. I wouldn't feel the need to lie about my record on the internet. That was now 10 days in a row of profitable betting for a record of 33-21-1 for 15.64u

[joco]

nice plays even tho some were posted after the game started...good work. i will keep an eye on ur thread

[Tofudog]

I apologize. The only one that was after the game started was the Royals play and I posted that in the top of the 1st inning since my neighbor came over to chat.

Yesterday was certainly not impressive. I ended up chasing because of losing early picks, but luck was on my side with the late picks. Going for day 11:

-New York Yankees +120
-Arizona Diamondbacks +134
-Milwaukee Brewers -103
-Detroit Tigers -142
-Baltimore Orioles -127
-Kansas City Royals +120
-Colorado Rockies -159

BOL

[joco]

i hate to go against 10 straight days of + money for u but i personally am on nats, angels and rangers which are opposite a few of your plays but my capping has been off this week so far

[Tofudog]

I know the Yankees lineup is shotty, but Holland has horrible numbers against the team and is overrated in general. The Nat's have yet to put up enough runs to give Strasburg his elite status and I would calling the pitching duel a wash, with the DBacks having the more potent offense and aiming to avoid the sweep. The Nats keep getting these -140/-150 type lines at home and they don't deserve those. You never know what you will get with the Nats though...

I can't explain the Tigers play.. The Angels absolutely kill them, but even when Weaver had his stuff together, the Tigers still hit him pretty well. I know it will be close.

I hope your wrong!

[joco]

that is true about the nats...stras gets little to no run support...but i have a sweep theory where i generally bet on the sweep happening than against it so im ridin with the nats even tho id like the line to be a little less juicy. u would think with corbins numbers so far that it would be a closer line which makes me believe the books are begging for money on the dbacks.

regarding the yankees hitting holland...i looked at the numbers and besides cano most of the current lineup (no tex, no jeter, no arod, etc) has average to below average numbers against holland.

[Tofudog]

Yeah for any other team, I would think the line was real fishy. This appears to just be standard for the Nats at home now for Zimmerman, Gio, Strasburg, and even Haren. The only one whos getting W's is Zimmerman.

Im feeling much less confident about the Yanks but since everyone seems to be on the Rangers, I still like the play lol

[Tofudog]

Once again, I at least need the Tigers to come through to salvage the early games. I sort of doubt the Yankees can get a man on base, let alone score 2 runs in the 9th, but you never know..

Adding these plays:

-Baltimore Orioles -1/2 1st 5 Innings +103
-Colorado Rockies 1st 5 Innings -167
-Arizona/Washington U7 -117
-NYM/Colorado U10.5 -102

Colorado will ruin me if they get whooped by the Mets but I think there is still value with the line