The Official Get Rich Or Die Tryin Thread

[chabooky386]

Just waking up and i still cant beleave sea gave up 4 runs in the 9th inning. Who ever played the over is luckiest guy of the week. Iwakuma gives up 6 in the 7th and then another bum gives up 4. I've had some bad beats on unders but this was the worst and its not even close. its 0-0 top of the 7th and 10 runs proceed to be scored...f**k outta hear.

My face at the end of the game

[HardCore]

My face at the end of the game

Thats my second bp beat of the week i remember earlier this week u had atl/was under and wash gives up 3 in the 8th smh i'm glade i play 1st 5 as well

[HardCore]

I edited my official plays post to ad under 7.5 in atl and i passed on the o8 in nyy Verlander and Pettit blow but nyy bats arent reliable enough to pull the trigger on an yankee over. gl everybody sorry for forgetting the play.

[HardCore]

1-3 smh Sundays penetrating hate me man they really penetrating do. I can't remember the last time I had a winning Sunday but penetrate it the day ain't over I have a play in tonight's game that should break me even for the day.

[HardCore]

LAST PLAY

TB/LAD u7

Forgot to officially post it but everybody knows i played the under last night i said it in other threads about the game gl to everybody lets end the week as right we possibly can after the bs this afternoon.

[HardCore]

OFFICIAL REC (76-51)

i got killed yesterday 1-4 is by far my worst day as a matter of fact that was my worst week to date and u still ended in the green. I wanna say I can't complain but that's a damn lie I'm every upset with my results the last 4 days of the week, I expect better and will do better. I have a week like that once a month now that it's over shit goes back to normal this week so y'all know what time it is today. Ill be back late with write-ups.

[joco]

sundays are usually bad days for me. thats why i try to wake up after 1pm so i miss all the early games

[HardCore]

It's getting to the point where i'm gonna stop betting sundays until football because its a trend that i try to deny every saturday night when i start capping for sunday, "this sunday's gonna be different" i always say and shit still gets ****** up.

[joco]

yeaaa i say the same thing...i always say im gonna lay off and i never do. at 3 pm yesterday i said i wasnt gonna make play...i end up taking brewers +1.5, sfo and sfo under and lost all 3 lol..still had a good week overall but i shoulda listened to my instincts

[HardCore]

Isnt it the damndest thing when you fade or ignore your instincts when you know in your heart your instincts are right 90% of the time. And i feel bad for you on the sf plays man ouch, i was kicking myself for passing the under in sf but then the 7th-9th happen...but i feel your pain i had the under in sea on saturday and mil scores 10 runs between the 7th and 9th innings in a game that was scoreless after 6.

[joco]

seriously...gotta always go with our first instincts...and relating to bullpens blowing our totals...its shit like that that makes me wanna take ff all the time...i think i would have made more money this year by doing so...generally i lose more plays in the last 4 innings than win them in the last 4

[Shipcity]

seriously...gotta always go with our first instincts...and relating to bullpens blowing our totals...its shit like that that makes me wanna take ff all the time...i think i would have made more money this year by doing so...generally i lose more plays in the last 4 innings than win them in the last 4

You guys should backtest your results from this year and see if that theory holds true. I would probably omit the Braves from that test, as it could distort your numbers a bit considering how well they close out games.

[HardCore]

I agree which is why i play ff with most of my totals so if something does go wrong in the 2h i soften the blow.

[HardCore]

You guys should backtest your results from this year and see if that theory holds true. I would probably omit the Braves from that test, as it could distort your numbers a bit considering how well they close out games.

Actually the last 10 days have been an experiment for me as far as attacking my totals. The past week and a half i've done 1st inn, 1h, and cg with all my total play to see which won the most and the cg ultimately won out by a decent margin. I'm at the gym so i dont have my numbers right now but 1st inn lost the most and 1h won almost as much as cg it really just depended on the teams playing honestly. But i'm about to start playing ML's again this week after taking a 2 week hiatus from them and see how that goes.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

you looked any into the O/U in the Hou/Tex game hardcore?

[Shipcity]

Actually the last 10 days have been an experiment for me as far as attacking my totals. The past week and a half i've done 1st inn, 1h, and cg with all my total play to see which won the most and the cg ultimately won out by a decent margin. I'm at the gym so i dont have my numbers right now but 1st inn lost the most and 1h won almost as much as cg it really just depended on the teams playing honestly. But i'm about to start playing ML's again this week after taking a 2 week hiatus from them and see how that goes.

Well, 10 days probably isn't enough data to make an accurate assumption imo. Maybe i could take a look at it. Id be interested to know how the teams with below avg bullpens did in 1st 5, the results might be a bit more telling.

I've been looking at this rangers astros game all morning. I really want to play the 1h u 3.5. Im sure that game doesn't fit your model though, considering you favor hitting over pitching and rangers are pretty hot right now.

[HardCore]

Actually i played the under in this game last night when it opened u8 to be exact (remember i buy the hook cause i rather win/lose than push) ItsMeMrMattE for the reason shipcity mentioned, I favor hitting over pitching and when i have 2 teams that cant hit with solid-great pitching on the mound the under is almost an automatic. That was last night tho i make all my plays the night before and i study the market and other sharp cappers opinions during the day to see where my play stands. All things in sports betting (especially MLB) returns to the mean evetually and i feel like tex will look like their regular form and stop hitting, i mean they werent exactly lighting it up yesterday until the 9th inning and Darvish should have at least 8-10 Ks today. I could be wrong but the totals at 7 right now with the over being juiced and the under at ev to plus money so we'll see what happens but i like my u8. Tex at best wins 5-3.

[HardCore]

I'm a firm be leaver in beating the market and getting the best number which is why i make my plays the night before. 9/10 of all of my totals drop .5 (as in if i play u7 its 6.5 by lunch time) in my favor between 9-10am the following morning so win/lose/push i get the best of the number and thats all that matters. Thats the advantage i feel like i have by capping mlb 3 days in advance. Because mlb is done i series i feel like i should cap accordingly and its benefited me greatly. Last night the phi/atl gm opened at 6.5 with the over at ev money lol what a steal now its a 7 with the over at -120 thats what i mean by beating the market and getting the best number. I've always felt that unless your on the complete opposite side of the public and sharps too you should play your total as early as possible. Like if i want the under in atl i'd play it now at ev money u7 plus the .5 shouldnt be more than -120 30 at max thats the best you can do imo.

[HardCore]

OFFICIAL PLAYS 8/12 REC (76-51)

TEX/HOU u8

Gl today i actually have 2 ML plays tonight lol this should be interesting but this game WILL GO OVER if this oberholtzer kid doesnt play to his numbers but Ron Kulpa calls alotta strikes and the roofs closed so meh we'll see

[ItsMeMrMattE]

good well im glad to see we agree on the under. i got it at 7 tho. heres to us both hitting.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

well Yu better be on point or this one is going over quick.

[HardCore]

yea this could get ugly if this Oberholtzer kid keeps getting hit, i think yu will give up around 2 threw 7inn so thats at least 4 and ill give tex another 2 so thats 6 threw 7 smh it'll come down to the pens

[ItsMeMrMattE]

yea this could get ugly if this Oberholtzer kid keeps getting hit, i think yu will give up around 2 threw 7inn so thats at least 4 and ill give tex another 2 so thats 6 threw 7 smh it'll come down to the pens

ya.. and im worried about HOU pen. i was hoping to have like a 2-0 type game till the 7th. Ober is gonna have a challenge if the score is gonna go that way.

[HardCore]

true but stranger things have happen i remember the cingrani/ross gm in cincy last week it was 2-1 in the 1st and they didnt score again till the 8th. Hopefully we can get some pitching like that today.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

i wanna know what pierzynski said.

[HardCore]

lol idk but ober has been lights out and yu has been beyond amazing hopefully it doesnt crumble on us like last weeks bad beats.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

ober had a good game. books still not giving him enough credit yet imo. keep an eye out for him.

[ticklz]

ya.. and im worried about HOU pen. i was hoping to have like a 2-0 type game till the 7th. Ober is gonna have a challenge if the score is gonna go that way.

sharp...good call guys

[ItsMeMrMattE]

i bet the books did good on that live over money that came in early.

[HardCore]

Great way to start the day and week off. I have 2 more totals and 2 ML's i dont like ML's but i wanna be an all around capper, i dont wanna be 1 dimensional so i'll be playing some tonight 1u only tho not the regular 2-3u's I play on totals.

[ItsMeMrMattE]

diversity works better for some people and not for others for some reason.

[HardCore]

diversity works better for some people and not for others for some reason.

Very true in NBA I'm strictly spread I wouldn't touch a total with someone else's money lol and NFL I'm good at everything and MLB I do best in totals but I just feel like I can beat these ML's if I keep it to a minimum 1 maybe 2 a night it any at all but I don't wanna neglect them totally...you can't get better at something if you don't try.

[HardCore]

LAST PLAYS

NYY ML*

COL ML*

CIN/CHC u8(I don't normally play totals at wriggly but meh ill try my luck)

I suck at ML's so fading me may be a smart play but what ever u decide gl.

[HardCore]

I just finished making my plays for tomorrow and Im not gonna lie I put a unit on hou on principle alone +280 lol that's an auto bet I don't care what the who/what/when/where/ and why is its mutha penetrating baseball no team should be -300 especially oak who struggles to hit from time to time.

[HardCore]

OFFICIAL REC (80-51)

Nice day yesterday, (4-0) 2 ML winners and 2 totals, cant beat that i'm happy. Today i'll have about 5 plays maybe a 6th bonus play. Starting today i'm also gonna start making 1 sharp play a day. This play is pretty much just gonna be something i do for fun, i'm gonna pick a play against the norm and see what happens. I try and do some write-ups today but idk cause i'm really going hard on my NFL right now putting in my win totals and sb plays and trying to get ready for week 1, so we'll see.