Cubs

[onacloud]

[908] CHI CUBS -109


Wood only gave up 1 hit in his 1st start hes done well against the Brewers in the past

Weeks 1 for 16
Gomez 2 for 12
Lucroy 1 for 8


Wily Peralta is going for the Brewers I've never seen him throw but he got shelled by the Rockies in his 1st start

IP	H	R	ER	HR	BB	SO	GB	FB	Pit	BF	GSc	Dec.	Rel.	ERA
Apr 3	vs COL	L 7-3	5.1	6	4	4	1	3	4	6	9	90	22	6.75

Also this will only be the 7th start of Peraltas career

[onacloud]

[1961] 1H MIL BREWERS -124
( K LOHSE -R / S FELDMAN -R )

Lhose didn't lose to the Cubs in 5 starts last year while he was with STL

Cubs have the 2nd worst team batting avg & OBP so far

Feldman was awful in his last start in ATL he had no control whatsoever

Don't trust the bullpens

[onacloud]

[952] CHI CUBS +136
( M CAIN -R / C VILLANUEVA -R )

[952] TOTAL u9½-110 (SFO GIANTS vrs CHI CUBS)
( M CAIN -R / C VILLANUEVA -R )

Villaneuva looked good in his first start @ATL and should have got the win but the pen blew that 5-1 lead of course

Cubs had the game yesterday as well until they decided to throw it away already the third time this year they've collapsed at least they get to see Cain who struggled last time @Wrigley but not putting much weight into that

It will also be interesting to see how Cain responds after getting shelled by STL giving up 9 runs and not making it out of the 4th has to hurt his confidence/mentality

[Rone247]

The guy has pitched huge games in October. Doubt a bad April in start screws with his confidence

[Dom177]

I think Cain gives up 2-3 and Villanueva only gives up 3 at most..hopefully the bullpens don't blow because I nailed u9.5. I also see the weather "feels like" 36 degrees and rainy. Should go under.

[onacloud]

The guy has pitched huge games in October. Doubt a bad April in start screws with his confidence

He also didn't throw well last year @Wrigley against a similar lineup but no Castillo who has been the best bat for the Cubs

09/02/2012:

M Cain	5.0	6	5	5	2	6	1	91-57	2.98

[Houda]

I am also on the under 9.5, dont understand the line going up for the over right now,

[Louisvillekid1]

Nice thread , Nice info

[onacloud]

Same old script Theo needs to spend money and find an established closer this is ridiculous

C Villanueva	7.1	3	0	0	1	3	0	93-55	0.64
J Russell	0.2	1	0	0	0	0	0	10-7	0.00
K Fujikawa	0.2	3	3	3	0	0	0	30-15	13.50

[Dom177]

Thank god I'm not a cubs fan.

[onacloud]

[901] SFO GIANTS -116
( M BUMGARNER -L / J SAMARDZIJA -R )

[901] TOTAL o8½EV (SFO GIANTS vrs CHI CUBS)
( M BUMGARNER -L / J SAMARDZIJA -R )

Castro & Soraino both have had success vs Bumgarner but Rizzo the only L in the lineup

Not sure what kind of pitch count Samardzija will be on and the Cubs bullpen is a disaster. Fujiakawa is on the DL so now Marmol will have to close again?

Chilly and wind blowing going to be interesting

[EXhoosier10]

Samardzija is probably on a 100-120 pitch pitch count as he is every time he pitches

[onacloud]

[959] SFO GIANTS -106
( T LINCECUM -R / E JACKSON -R )

Lincecum has been wild but hasn't been giving up hits hes also been successful @Wrigley (5 starts 3-0 1.82 ERA)

Edwin looked okay in his first start but against the Brewers he got rocked and has struggled with control

Scutaro & Sandoval the two hottest bats for the Giants also have the best career stats vs Edwin

Cubs put Navarro in the lineup for Castillo after his two pitch hit HRs - Castillo leads the Cubs in batting avg and 2nd in hits

[AndrewMcCutchen]

Posey is Out if that helps

[onacloud]

[908] CHI CUBS -109 WIN
[1961] 1H MIL BREWERS -124 PUSH (Rain out)
[952] CHI CUBS +136 WIN
[952] TOTAL u9½-110 (SFO GIANTS vrs CHI CUBS) WIN
[901] SFO GIANTS -116 WIN
[901] TOTAL o8½EV (SFO GIANTS vrs CHI CUBS) LOSS
[959] SFO GIANTS -106 WIN

5-1 +4.36

[229] TEX SERIES -135
( ACTION )

Rangers 7-2 on the road last year in interleague games
Cubs were 2-7 @Wrigley in interleague games last year

[onacloud]

[929] TEX RANGERS -106
( J GRIMM -R / C VILLANUEVA -R )

Villanueva has been the most impressive starter so far in the rotation 14 IP only 1 run which was a solo shot by Justin Upton but the Cubs have the worst pen in the MLB with a league worst 6.06 ERA & BAA .300 the additions of Kevin Gregg and Kameron Loe don't show much hope

More importantly Cubs struggling to hit above .200 as a team and have a .276 OBP worst in the MLB

Miserable weather hoping they'll get this one in since its interleague

[onacloud]

[970] TOTAL u10½EV (TEX RANGERS vrs CHI CUBS)
( A OGANDO -R / C VILLANUEVA -R )

Ogando has been lights out allowed no home runs with his 1.14 ground ball to fly ball ratio

HOU	W4-0	W(1-0)	6.1	4	0	0	1	10	0	0.00	94	62
TBR	W5-4	W(2-0)	5.1	3	1	1	3	2	0	0.77	89	49
SEA	W3-1		5.0	5	1	1	1	5	0	1.08	98	63
			16.2	12	2	2	5	17	0	1.08

Don't think Cubs will score much of anything even with the wind in favor of batters - team batting .220 avg .276 OBP

Hoping Villanueva keeps the Ranger bats quiet for 6 or 7 until the pen comes in and blows it

[onacloud]

[910] MIL BREWERS -113
( J SAMARDZIJA -R / M ESTRADA -R )

Brew Crew coming off the sweep really like Estrada today hes already faced this Cubs lineup once this year and didn't have a problem

Last 3 v.CHC		3-0	24.0	18	7	4	6	27	3	1.50	63
2013-04-08	@CHC	W	7.0	5	2	2	1	6	1	100	64
2012-08-27	@CHC	W	5.0	6	3	0	3	8	0	92	54
2012-08-21	CHC	W	6.0	2	0	0	1	9	0	97	76

Samardzija has given up 6 runs in his last two starts
Cubs pen yesterday threw 2 scoreless/hit-less innings almost have to fade on principal - Marmol 5 straight IP without a run

Brewers bats put up 21 runs in their last series vs the Giants
Braun is 6 for 13 lifetime vs Samardija
Segura has one of the top BA in the league .367
Lucroy also starting to swing the bat

[onacloud]

[229] TEX SERIES -135 PUSH (Rain out)
[929] TEX RANGERS -106 PUSH (Rain out)
[970] TOTAL u10½EV (TEX RANGERS vrs CHI CUBS) WIN
[910] MIL BREWERS -113 WIN

7-1 +6.36

[959] CHI CUBS +104
( E JACKSON -R / H BURGOS -R )

Hiram Burgos making his MLB debut for the Brewers

2013	25	Nashville	AAA	MIL	0	2	.000	2.70	3	16.2	11	6	5	3	7	0	15	1.080

Cubs gave up 4 runs in the 1st yesterday and went 0-7 RISP but they did lead off an inning with a hit 7 times showing some hope

Last time out Edwin was throwing a great game going into the 6th when he imploded - when he faced the Brewers he did something similar in the 1st inning giving up 4 runs then settling down

[onacloud]

[908] MIL BREWERS -133
( S FELDMAN -R / W PERALTA -R )

Peralta looked good against the Cubs @Wrigley and had the W until Axford gave up 3 runs and blew it

Brewers looking for back to back sweeps and 7 straight wins - they've scored 35 runs in the last 6 games

Wily Peralta	6.2	6	3	2	2	5	0	4.50	94

Feldman on the other hand is awful he hasn't made it out of the 5th inning yet and his command has been awful thus far

He had to miss his last start because of soreness in his lower back but has had a week to rest haven't found any updates

Apr5	ATL	L1-4	GS-5	L(0-1)	4.2	5	4	4	4	1	1	1	7.71	1b start tie	5b 12- 2 out d3
Apr11	SFG	L6-7	GS-5	L(0-2)	4.1	7	6	2	3	3	0	1	6.00	1t start tie	5t 12- 1 out a1
					9.0	12	10	6	7	4	1	2	6.00

[onacloud]

[1955] 1H CHI CUBS +141
( T WOOD -L / M LEAKE -R )

Cubs were 1 for 17 with RISP in the series vs the Brewers if they converted 3 or 4 more hits they could've won the series instead they got swept -- Good news is the Cubs have hit Leake in the past

Starlin Castro	30	28	11	3	1	0	5	1	2	.393	.400	.571	.971	0
Alfonso Soriano	21	18	2	0	0	1	2	2	4	.111	.238	.278	.516	1
Darwin Barney	20	18	7	2	0	0	1	0	1	.389	.421	.500	.921	1
David DeJesus	9	9	3	1	0	0	1	0	0	.333	.333	.444	.778	0
Nate Schierholtz	8	7	3	1	0	0	0	1	4	.429	.500	.571	1.071	0
Anthony Rizzo	6	5	4	1	0	0	1	1	0	.800	.833	1.000	1.833	0
Luis Valbuena	6	5	2	1	0	0	1	1	0	.400	.500	.600	1.100	0
Welington Castillo	2	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000	.000	0
Total	102	92	32	9	1	1	11	6	11	.348	.396	.500	.896	2

Wood has been the Cubs best starter has an 1.8 ERA and is holding batters to a .189 batting avg

Reds batters don't have very many if at all any ABs vs Wood

[EXhoosier10]

Nice run here. I tried focusing solely on the NL central a few years back and it was pretty helpful when betting intradivision games. I'm with you on the Cubs today as well.

[Mr Handicapable]

Wood got crushed by the Reds last year....6 or 7 runs by the 5th if I remember correctly. The Reds have also mashed lefties this year as well. As a Reds fan.....still rather have Wood over Leake though! Small play on Over 8 for me......Hanigan is out for Cincy.....Mesoraco is a better hitter....worse calling the game and throwing....good for Over.

[easyliving]

I actually like Cincy here with Leake but its too much juice for my liking and I will skip it.

[onacloud]

[959] CHI CUBS +104 LOSS
[908] MIL BREWERS -133 WIN
[1955] 1H CHI CUBS +141 WIN

9-2 +7.77

[905] TOTAL o7½-102 (CHI CUBS vrs CIN REDS)
( C VILLANUEVA -R / T CINGRANI -L )

Nothing new in last nights game Cubs blow their 5th save of the year worst part is its been a different pitcher each time! The 13 innings last night put a strain on both bullpens so if either starter struggles early in the game it could get ugly.

Villanueva has been impressive so far this year he's only given up 3 runs (3 solo HRs) in his 3 starts but I don't think he will continue to keep this low ERA (1.29) and WHIP (0.8) -- career ERA as a starter is 4.58 & WHIP 1.33

Cincinnati leads the league in runs (111) hits (187) OBP (.352) and walks (89) = high scoring games

Cingrani is one of Cincys young studs I saw him pitch his first game and liked his stuff but he did throw a lot of pitches (102 in 5 IP) and got himself behind in counts often it seemed

Cincys bullpen is responsible for 6 of their 8 losses (4.11 ERA) and threw 6 innings last night -- surprised by the number of losses this pen is responsible for already this year

[onacloud]

[1951] 1H CHI CUBS +½-105
( J SAMARDZIJA -R / M LATOS -R )

Reds couldn't hit the ball yesterday or at all this series for that matter

Votto 1 for 11 vs Shark
Phillips 2 for 13 vs Shark

Samardzija won't have any problems but still not trusting the Cubs bullpen to win and take the series

Cubs have won the FF in each game of this series

[onacloud]

[253] CUBS SERIES -120
( ACTION )

Marlins have the worst team batting average in all of baseball (.221) also dead last in runs scored (54) - The bullpen is just as bad with an ERA of 4.98 which is worse than the Cubs pen surprisingly

Cubs have the edge in starting pitching over the series with a team ERA of 3.44 which is 9th in the MLB

Cubs easily could have won that series vs the Reds they just have to convert when they have RISP – Cubs have had 23 ABs with a runner @3rd and less than two outs, but they have only got two hits in those situations (.77 BA)

[onacloud]

[905] TOTAL o7½-102 (CHI CUBS vrs CIN REDS) LOSS
[1951] 1H CHI CUBS +½-105 WIN
[253] CUBS SERIES -120 WIN

11-3 +9.75

[907] CHI CUBS -116
( T WOOD -L / A SANABIA -R )

Wood hasn't given up more than 2 earned runs in any start this year also has held batters to a .191 BA and now gets to face the worst team in the majors - Marlins only hitting .189 with a .250 OBP and a 2-9 record at home

Rizzo finally broke out of his hitting slump with 2 HRs yesterday - Cubs just need to continue to remain patient at the plate hitting with RISP can only improve

Sanabia has been good and bad he seems to get in trouble because of his command - he gets himself into tough situations then has to overwork to get out of them hes allowed 10 of 24 (41%) leadoff hitters to reach base this season

First Batter	4	4	3	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	.667	.750	.667	1.417
Leadoff Inn.	4	24	22	0	9	1	0	0	1	2	.409	.458	.455	.913

[easyliving]

on the cubs today as well wood should shut down the marlins today

[onacloud]

[953] CHI CUBS -111
( C VILLANUEVA -R / R NOLASCO -R )

Villanueva has been lights out in his starts 29.1 IP only 5 runs while holding opponents to a .167 BA and 0.75 WHIP - The Cubs rotation has been awesome just need run support they converted 2 of 8 RISP last night need to keep improving

Cubs pen hasn't given up a run in 12 IP helping them win these close games

MIA as a team hitting .220 (last) and OBP .280 (29th) - Marlins by far the worst team in the MLB this might be the only time the Cubs have a chance for a sweep, especially a 4 game sweep!

[onacloud]

[205] SDG SERIES +132
( ACTION )

[906] TOTAL u9-115 (SDG PADRES vrs CHI CUBS)
( C RICHARD -L / J SAMARDZIJA -R )

Cubs offense is awful batting .229 and league-worst .151 with runners in scoring position while the Padres have a .289 average with runners in scoring position

Padres have won 4 straight and just swept the Giants (Cubs lost 3 of 4 vs Giants)

Clayton Richard is 2-0 vs the Cubs 15.2 IP only giving up 1 run - got shelled for 6 runs in 1.2 IP in his last start

Samardzija hasn't got a win since opening day mainly due to lack of run support he only gave up 1 run to Cincy last start and still got the loss

[easyliving]

[205] SDG SERIES +132
( ACTION )

[906] TOTAL u9-115 (SDG PADRES vrs CHI CUBS)
( C RICHARD -L / J SAMARDZIJA -R )

Cubs offense is awful batting .229 and league-worst .151 with runners in scoring position while the Padres have a .289 average with runners in scoring position

Padres have won 4 straight and just swept the Giants (Cubs lost 3 of 4 vs Giants)

Clayton Richard is 2-0 vs the Cubs 15.2 IP only giving up 1 run - got shelled for 6 runs in 1.2 IP in his last start

Samardzija hasn't got a win since opening day mainly due to lack of run support he only gave up 1 run to Cincy last start and still got the loss

that under looks very appealing do you know the wind status in wrigley field?

[onacloud]

that under looks very appealing do you know the wind status in wrigley field?

Sorry I missed your post I didn't think the wind was going to be a factor but was obviously wrong on that

Got lucky on that U

[onacloud]

[955] SDG PADRES +126
( E VOLQUEZ -R / E JACKSON -R )

Volquez threw 7 shutout innings vs the Brewers last start didn't even walk a batter

Castro 3 for 12
Soriano 1 for 9
Hairston 0 for 4

Edwin has struggled with control 17.5 pitches per inning leading to 15 BBs and 0 wins in 5 starts

Cabrera Denorfia Headley will all make Edwin work don't see him making it out of the 6th - Padres just need to convert in RISP situations unlike last night (1 for 10)

[easyliving]

[955] SDG PADRES +126
( E VOLQUEZ -R / E JACKSON -R )

Volquez threw 7 shutout innings vs the Brewers last start didn't even walk a batter

Castro 3 for 12
Soriano 1 for 9
Hairston 0 for 4

Edwin has struggled with control 17.5 pitches per inning leading to 15 BBs and 0 wins in 5 starts

Cabrera Denorfia Headley will all make Edwin work don't see him making it out of the 6th - Padres just need to convert in RISP situations unlike last night (1 for 10)

also took this overnight as well. Jackson definitely overvalued here.