Bet against a team that loses by 5 or more chase

[Vinnie Paz]

What is batlfm?

[spankmythighs]

What is batlfm?

Bet Against a Team thats Lost by Five or More.

[spankmythighs]

Just on a side note. I've noticed with the BATLFM system and the Shutout system that if the fade continues into the 4th, 5th, and 6th game, it might be better to take +1.5 if you can get it on the team that is playing against them. Especially if the team you are fading is on a winning streak, then they are usually favored anyways. For example: Fading the Cards yesterday, the Cards were heavily favored against a struggling Brewers team so as it was game 5 of the Cards fade, I took the Brewers +1.5 as opposed to straight ML. Granted they won straight up but better safe than sorry. I went back and found that the Braves series I lost in the shutout system could have been won IF I had taken the Marlins +1.5 in game 5.

[spankmythighs]

Looks like it will be a solid day. COL game postponed but other than that just glad nothing happened at the Sox game similar to what happened at the marathon. Your neighbors to the north share your pain everytime something like this happens. From all of us here in Alberta we share your grief and anger.

[spankmythighs]

here are todays plays:

Batlfm (fade)

gm 4: Col ppd
gm 4: Pit win
gm 2: Cws win
gm 2: Mil apr 16
gm 2: Laa win
gm 1: Oak loss
gm 1: Tb win
gm 1: Was win


shutout (fade)

gm 4: Col ppd
gm 3: Laa win
gm 2: Mil apr 16
gm 1: Was loss
gm 1: Tb win
gm 1: Lad win
gm 1: Bal apr 16

trend system

chase
gm 4: Was win
gm 1: Atl apr 16
gm 1: Pitt loss

fade
gm 4: Col ppd
gm 2: Mil apr 16

these are todays plays as long as all teams listed are playing.

results from yesterday. The only early play is nym vs. Col otherwise plays will be up this afternoon.

[spankmythighs]

April 16th

batlfm

gm4: Col
gm2: Mil
gm2: Oak
gm1: Mia
gm1: Laa
gm1: Hou

shutout

gm4: Col
gm2: Mil
gm2: Was
gm1: Bal

trending

chase
gm2: Pitt
gm1: Atl
gm1: Bos
gm1: Col


fade
gm4: Col
gm2: Mil
gm1: Tb
gm1: Hou

there we go. Go get'em.

[Bdolan33]

cant figure out these plays

[spankmythighs]

Whats to figure out??

Adding

GM5: COL (fade) in all 3 series

[spankmythighs]

April 16th

batlfm

gm4: Col LOSS
gm2: Mil LOSS
gm2: Oak LOSS
gm1: Mia LOSS
gm1: Laa WIN
gm1: Hou WIN

shutout

gm4: Col LOSS
gm2: Mil LOSS
gm2: Was WIN
gm1: Bal LOSS

trending

chase
gm2: Pitt PPD
gm1: Atl WIN
gm1: Bos WIN
gm1: Col WIN


fade
gm4: Col LOSS
gm2: Mil LOSS
gm1: Tb WIN
gm1: Hou WIN

there we go. Go get'em.

Results from yesterday. Plus COL GM5 in all series won if you took NYM +1.5 otherwise it was a loss.

[spankmythighs]

Apr 17th

batlfm
gm3: Mil
gm3: Oak
gm2: Mia
gm1: Cle
gm1: Was
gm1: Lad


shutout system

gm3: Mil
gm2: Bal


trend
chase
gm2: Pitt
gm1: Det

fade
gm3: Mil
gm1: Chi
gm1: Lad

these are todays plays. Took col off because i took nym +1.5 as mentioned in a previous post.

[spankmythighs]

Updated records for the yr:

Batlfm 44-1
shutout 32-1
trending 35-0

overall 111-2

[spankmythighs]

Remember, once a series hits 4 games look for value on rl if they are on a streak.

[spankmythighs]

remember, once a series hits 4 games look for value on rl if they are on a streak.

this only applies to batflm and shutout aswell as fading in the trend system.

[Thatkidbrb]

System seems good so quick question what is your final bets today? Im not sure who im fading and who im betting?

[spankmythighs]

System seems good so quick question what is your final bets today? Im not sure who im fading and who im betting?

Under the BATLFM system and the Shutout system u always fade the team listed and then chase or fade the teams listed in the trend system.

[spankmythighs]

Apr 17th

batlfm
gm3: Mil LOSS
gm3: Oak LOSS
gm2: Mia WIN
gm1: Cle WIN
gm1: Was LOSS
gm1: Lad


shutout system

gm3: Mil LOSS
gm2: Bal WIN


trend
chase
gm2: Pitt WIN
gm1: Det

fade
gm3: Mil LOSS
gm1: Chi PPD
gm1: Lad

these are todays plays. Took col off because i took nym +1.5 as mentioned in a previous post.

Results so far for today. Dodgers were -270 and are down 4-1. C'mon Padres!

[spankmythighs]

Apr 17th

batlfm
gm3: Mil LOSS
gm3: Oak LOSS
gm2: Mia WIN
gm1: Cle WIN
gm1: Was LOSS
gm1: Lad WIN


shutout system

gm3: Mil LOSS
gm2: Bal WIN


trend
chase
gm2: Pitt WIN
gm1: Det WIN

fade
gm3: Mil LOSS
gm1: Chi PPD
gm1: Lad WIN

Big win by the Padres and a long win by the Tigers.

APRIL 18TH

BATLFM

GM4: MIL
GM4: OAK
GM2: WAS
GM1: STL
GM1: TOR
GM1: PHI
GM1: MIA
GM1: LAD

SHUTOUT

GM4: MIL
GM1: TOR
GM1: STL
GM1: ATL

TRENDING

CHASE
GM1: NYY
GM1: OAK
GM1: CINC
GM1: SD
GM1: MIL

FADE
GM4: MIL
GM1: CHI
GM1: CLE
GM1: PHI

THOSE ARE YOUR PLAYS FOR TODAY.

[spankmythighs]

Updated records

batlfm 47-1
shutout 33-1
trending 38-0

overall 118-2

[spankmythighs]

Look at taking +1.5 against mil and oak today.

[DANO74]

Oakland's next game is tomorrow 4/19

[spankmythighs]

Oakland's next game is tomorrow 4/19

Ok sometimes I dont look at the lineup for the day, just past results and stats. Obviously if a team is not playing today, continue when they play next.

[spankmythighs]

Taking SF ML at -120 against MIL. If MIL had been favored I would have looked at SF RL.

[Hondo21]

Updated records

batlfm 47-1
shutout 33-1
trending 38-0

overall 118-2

Very impressive! I was just wondering, do all 3 of these systems run on a 6 game chase?
It seems losing a 6 game chase will cost a ton of units.
Are these systems currently + or - units? At 118-2 is that close to even, up or down?

[newguy]

I am pretty sure -110 odds would be something like 85 units lost on a 6 game chase but that is just doing a quick math. So you would have to bet 1% of bankroll on game 1 not to be wiped out on game 6. You would have to have a $10k bankroll just to try and win $100 on a win

[spankmythighs]

I am pretty sure -110 odds would be something like 85 units lost on a 6 game chase but that is just doing a quick math. So you would have to bet 1% of bankroll on game 1 not to be wiped out on game 6. You would have to have a $10k bankroll just to try and win $100 on a win

Spot on my man. So there is alot of emphasis on winning.

[spankmythighs]

Actually at -110 it would be 69 units lost.

[spankmythighs]

Results

april 18th

batlfm

gm4: Mil loss
gm4: Oak resume apr 19
gm2: Was resume apr 19
gm1: Stl loss
gm1: Tor loss
gm1: Phi win
gm1: Mia win
gm1: Lad resume apr 19

shutout

gm4: Mil loss
gm1: Tor loss
gm1: Stl loss
gm1: Atl loss

trending

chase
gm1: Nyy loss
gm1: Oak resume apr 19
gm1: Cinc win
gm1: Sd resume apr 19
gm1: Mil win

fade
gm4: Mil loss
gm1: Chi loss
gm1: Cle win
gm1: Phi win

plays for today to follow.

[spankmythighs]

Apr 19 plays

batlfm

gm5: Mil
gm4: Oak
gm2: Was
gm2: Stl
gm2: Tor
gm1: Lad
gm1: Sf
gm1: Nym
gm1: Mia

shutout

gm5: Mil
gm2: Tor
gm2: Stl
gm2: Atl
gm1: Det

trending

chase
gm2: Nyy
gm1: Oak
gm1: Sd
gm1: Bos
gm1: Col

fade
gm5: Mil
gm2: Chi
gm1: Sf
gm1: Nym

these are todays plays. Gl

[spankmythighs]

APR 19 RESULTS

GM5: MIL WIN (took CHI +1.5)
GM4: OAK WIN
GM2: WAS WIN
GM2: STL WIN
GM2: TOR WIN
GM1: LAD PPD
GM1: SF LOSS
GM1: NYM LOSS
GM1: MIA LOSS

SHUTOUT

GM5: MIL WIN (took CHI +1.5)
GM2: TOR WIN
GM2: STL WIN
GM2: ATL WIN
GM1: DET WIN

TRENDING

CHASE
GM2: NYY WIN
GM1: OAK LOSS
GM1: SD LOSS
GM1: BOS PPD
GM1: COL WIN

FADE
GM5: MIL WIN
GM2: CHI WIN
GM1: SF LOSS
GM1: NYM LOSS

GREAT DAY!!

[spankmythighs]

My picks wont be up till later as i am working. So u guys that have been following should be able to figure it out. Later

[spankmythighs]

APRIL 20TH

GM2: SF
GM2: NYM
GM2: MIA
GM1: LAD
GM1: STL
GM1: ATL
GM1: TOR
GM1: WAS
GM1: OAK
GM1: SEA
GM1: DET

SHUTOUT
GM1: SEA
GM1: ATL

TRENDING

CHASE
GM2: OAK
GM2: SD
GM1: BOS

FADE
GM2: SF
GM2: NYM

Those are todays picks. GL.

[RiverBoatGambler]

Why would Mil come down on you taking them 1.5? The system it has to be an actual "win", not taking an alternate run line....correct?

[spankmythighs]

Why would Mil come down on you taking them 1.5? The system it has to be an actual "win", not taking an alternate run line....correct?

I made a comment in an earlier post that when a team begins to go on a winning streak and we r fading them, that it might be beneficial to go +1.5 against them. Especially when MIL is hot and playing a team like CHI. The Cubs might be able to beat them straight up today but I would rather have 3 games with the runs then to take a chance on Chi.

[RiverBoatGambler]

I made a comment in an earlier post that when a team begins to go on a winning streak and we r fading them, that it might be beneficial to go +1.5 against them. Especially when MIL is hot and playing a team like CHI. The Cubs might be able to beat them straight up today but I would rather have 3 games with the runs then to take a chance on Chi.

Got ya. I was just wanting to unload today with the Cubs

[spankmythighs]

Got ya. I was just wanting to unload today with the Cubs

With all these systems if u have patience u could wait a few losses and then give er. I might continue to fade MIL on the side. Not often u see a team go 3 straight losses followed by 5 straight wins.