Pluthero's 2013 MLB Thread

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  • tatddy
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 03-02-10
    • 10779

    #71
    Originally posted by Pluthero
    It's a good start as the Tigers game cashed. Anybody out there tailing or fading?
    Good start so far. We share some of the same dogs today. 5.5X on the cubs bro? Not saying it's the wrong play but why would you ever risk the success of your day on the...Cubs....
    Comment
    • Romanov
      SBR MVP
      • 10-08-10
      • 4137

      #72
      Been tailing the plays that match up with Shivabowls. Keep it up! BOL
      Comment
      • Pluthero
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-09-09
        • 992

        #73
        I'll admit to being a little nervous about the Cubs but I think it's the right play because the Brewers are still dinged up and I really think Wood is coming into his own. Also, Marmol finally got his ass benched.

        Good to have you on board Romanov!
        Comment
        • tatddy
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 03-02-10
          • 10779

          #74
          Originally posted by Pluthero
          I'll admit to being a little nervous about the Cubs but I think it's the right play because the Brewers are still dinged up and I really think Wood is coming into his own. Also, Marmol finally got his ass benched.

          Good to have you on board Romanov!
          Yeah the Cubs should win...might win....but they are so poorly coached and the pen is so bad I just don't see how you make a big play on them with any chalk. I cashed the cubs as big dogs a few times this year but won't lay more than a nickel on them.

          They probably should have won that game yesterday despite how poorly Edwin pitched. Absolutely unforgivable how they set up their defensive "shifts". 2 spots easy double play balls went right through the infield because Sveum refuses to set his men in DP position but rather in shift patterns to the opposing hitters. Prob cost them 6 runs.
          Comment
          • Poison-Nut
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-14-13
            • 303

            #75
            Originally posted by Pluthero
            4/9/13
            Tigers -125 0.5X
            Dodgers -140 1.5X
            Mets +160 1.0X
            Yankees -117 0.5X
            White Sox +145 1.0X
            Marlins +160 1.0X
            Rays +130 0.5X
            Cubs -115 5.5X
            Royals -150 5.5X
            Reds EV 2.5X
            Pirates +135 2.5X
            Angels -160 3.0X
            Astros +130 0.5X

            Huge card today, good luck to all backers!

            +1 On Astros, White Sox, Dodgers, Yankees.
            Comment
            • Pluthero
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 12-09-09
              • 992

              #76
              Damn. I didn't watch the game yesterday and now I'm glad. I guess Sveum thinks he's smarter than he really is. That or he got some bad instruction from higher up.
              I don't think their pen is that bad especially compared to Milwaukee. Both had ineffective closers that got replaced (I'm not sure if Axford has officially been replaced yet but he's close). I think Camp and the rest of the Cubs pen is mildly effective.
              Comment
              • grim259
                SBR High Roller
                • 11-04-12
                • 187

                #77
                Originally posted by Pluthero
                It's a good start as the Tigers game cashed. Anybody out there tailing or fading?
                I am personally. We shall see how it goes! Just increased my bankroll the other day for larger unit size. Not because I am banking solely on you, just had extra cash for my hobby.
                Comment
                • Pluthero
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-09-09
                  • 992

                  #78
                  Originally posted by Pluthero
                  4/9/13
                  Tigers -125 0.5X W
                  Dodgers -140 1.5X L
                  Mets +160 1.0X L
                  Yankees -117 0.5X W
                  White Sox +145 1.0X L
                  Marlins +160 1.0X L
                  Rays +130 0.5X L
                  Cubs -115 5.5X W
                  Royals -150 5.5X W
                  Reds EV 2.5X L
                  Pirates +135 2.5X W
                  Angels -160 3.0X L
                  Astros +130 0.5X W

                  Huge card today, good luck to all backers!
                  Yesterday 6-7; +3.125X TTD: 41-32; +21.235X
                  Comment
                  • Pluthero
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 12-09-09
                    • 992

                    #79
                    Originally posted by grim259
                    I am personally. We shall see how it goes! Just increased my bankroll the other day for larger unit size. Not because I am banking solely on you, just had extra cash for my hobby.
                    Good to have you onboard grim!
                    Comment
                    • Pluthero
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 12-09-09
                      • 992

                      #80
                      4/10/13
                      Tigers -135 4.5X
                      Reds -110 1.0X
                      Rangers -130 2.5X
                      Pirates +160 1.5X
                      Giants -140 0.5X
                      Mets +105 3.0X
                      Nationals -160 3.5X
                      Orioles +125 0.5X

                      Good luck!
                      Comment
                      • Pluthero
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-09-09
                        • 992

                        #81
                        Originally posted by Pluthero
                        4/10/13
                        Tigers -135 4.5X L
                        Reds -110 1.0X L
                        Rangers -130 2.5X L
                        Pirates +160 1.5X L
                        Giants -140 0.5X W
                        Mets +105 3.0X L
                        Nationals -160 3.5X W
                        Orioles +125 0.5X W

                        Good luck!
                        That was pretty bad....
                        Yesterday: 3-5; -10.425X
                        TTD: 44-37; +10.81X

                        That Tigers bullpen killed me. I know Dotel gave up the double that lost the game for them, but why in the world did Leland leave Villarreal in there with the bases loaded after he already walked the only two guys he faced to that point? Had Detroit pulled off the win, we would have finished up slightly. Brutal.
                        Comment
                        • RetardStrength
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-25-10
                          • 1478

                          #82
                          Every day can't be a winner... We'll get it back today!!!

                          BOL
                          Comment
                          • Tofudog
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 04-30-12
                            • 858

                            #83
                            Rough day yesterday Pluthero.. no picks today?
                            Comment
                            • Pluthero
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 12-09-09
                              • 992

                              #84
                              Sorry guys, work kept me from posting earlier. I capped the day games first thing this morning and only played one game so y'all didn't miss too much. Here are the only things I found worth risking hard-earned (mostly) money on...
                              4/11/13
                              Athletics +119 2.5X
                              Dodgers -165 3.0X

                              Good luck!

                              By the way, I'm thinking of calculating my Z-score for my picks when I have time. It's a little bit more work, but I'm told is a better gauge of how I'm doing than just my record and units won (or lost). Let me know if it's something you're interested in and I'll try to get it started.
                              Comment
                              • RetardStrength
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-25-10
                                • 1478

                                #85
                                Already on these. I feel better already. BOL
                                Comment
                                • Pluthero
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 12-09-09
                                  • 992

                                  #86
                                  Originally posted by Pluthero
                                  Sorry guys, work kept me from posting earlier. I capped the day games first thing this morning and only played one game so y'all didn't miss too much. Here are the only things I found worth risking hard-earned (mostly) money on...
                                  4/11/13
                                  Athletics +119 2.5X W
                                  Dodgers -165 3.0X W

                                  Good luck!
                                  .
                                  Yesterday: 2-0; 5.975X
                                  TTD:
                                  46-37; 16.785X
                                  Comment
                                  • Pluthero
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-09-09
                                    • 992

                                    #87
                                    Glad you cashed RetardStrength!

                                    4/12/13
                                    Giants -157 1.5X
                                    Pirates -105 3.5X
                                    Indians -150 2.0X
                                    Braves +115 1.0X
                                    Orioles +135 0.5X
                                    Marlins +105 3.0X
                                    Rays +105 1.0X
                                    Mets -115 3.0X
                                    Blue Jays -105 0.5X
                                    Cardinals -145 1.0X
                                    Dodgers -160 2.0X
                                    Angels -185 1.0X
                                    Tigers -115 2.5X
                                    Rangers -153 4.5X
                                    Padres -110 1.0X

                                    BOL Everyone!
                                    Comment
                                    • Pluthero
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-09-09
                                      • 992

                                      #88
                                      Thanks for the points RS. It's a damn shame about Romo blowing the save to the Cubs, but I really think the Pirates step up tonight. Leake hasn't really shown "dominance" in a while.
                                      Comment
                                      • Pluthero
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 12-09-09
                                        • 992

                                        #89
                                        Originally posted by Pluthero
                                        Glad you cashed RetardStrength!

                                        4/12/13
                                        Giants -157 1.5X L
                                        Pirates -105 3.5X W
                                        Indians -150 2.0X W
                                        Braves +115 1.0X W
                                        Orioles +135 0.5X L
                                        Marlins +105 3.0X L
                                        Rays +105 1.0X P
                                        Mets -115 3.0X W
                                        Blue Jays -105 0.5X W
                                        Cardinals -145 1.0X W
                                        Dodgers -160 2.0X L
                                        Angels -185 1.0X L
                                        Tigers -115 2.5X L
                                        Rangers -153 4.5X L
                                        Padres -110 1.0X L

                                        BOL Everyone!
                                        Yesterday: 6-8; -10.615X
                                        TTD: 52-45; +6.17X

                                        I got nothing. When you're big game doesn't come in, it pretty much ruins the whole day.
                                        Comment
                                        • Pluthero
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 12-09-09
                                          • 992

                                          #90
                                          4/13/13
                                          Braves +135 2.0X
                                          Giants -119 4.0X
                                          Red Sox -135 0.5X
                                          Comment
                                          • Pluthero
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 12-09-09
                                            • 992

                                            #91
                                            Adding on...
                                            White Sox -130 4.0X
                                            Tigers -120 2.5X

                                            BOL!
                                            Comment
                                            • Vasco
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 03-16-12
                                              • 315

                                              #92
                                              Originally posted by Pluthero
                                              Adding on...
                                              White Sox -130 4.0X
                                              Tigers -120 2.5X



                                              BOL!
                                              Too much A's love. Tigers should take this. Gotta take them first 5 too because of that bullpen.
                                              Comment
                                              • Pluthero
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 12-09-09
                                                • 992

                                                #93
                                                Originally posted by Vasco
                                                Too much A's love. Tigers should take this. Gotta take them first 5 too because of that bullpen.
                                                You're right, their bullpen is the only thing that scares me...it's atrocious but it looks like Crisp and Cespedes are out so that should be enough to put them over the top.

                                                Adding...
                                                Cardinals -182 3.5X
                                                Pirates +145 3.5X
                                                Comment
                                                • BIoodhound
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 09-26-12
                                                  • 143

                                                  #94
                                                  why in the world r u backing the pirates against johhny tonight?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Pluthero
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 12-09-09
                                                    • 992

                                                    #95
                                                    Originally posted by BIoodhound
                                                    why in the world r u backing the pirates against johhny tonight?
                                                    I really think Locke is underrated and he hopefully shows that this year. Cueto is totally capable of shutting down Pittsburgh, but he wasn't anything special his last time out against Washington. I think this game is in the Pirates favor and at plus money, I have no problem taking them for 3 and a half.

                                                    Adding...
                                                    Royals -132 5.5X
                                                    Dodgers +114 4.5X
                                                    Angels -182 5.0X
                                                    Rangers -145 4.5X

                                                    Good luck...there are a ton of units at stake!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Pluthero
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 12-09-09
                                                      • 992

                                                      #96
                                                      Good start so far. We're up over 6 units in the early going. And the White Sox are up by 2! C'mon!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Pluthero
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                        • 992

                                                        #97
                                                        Originally posted by Pluthero
                                                        4/13/13
                                                        Braves +135 2.0X W
                                                        Giants -119 4.0X W
                                                        Red Sox -135 0.5X W
                                                        Originally posted by Pluthero
                                                        Adding on...
                                                        White Sox -130 4.0X L
                                                        Tigers -120 2.5X W

                                                        BOL!
                                                        Originally posted by Pluthero


                                                        Adding...
                                                        Cardinals -182 3.5X W
                                                        Pirates +145 3.5X W
                                                        Originally posted by Pluthero


                                                        Adding...
                                                        Royals -132 5.5X L
                                                        Dodgers +114 4.5X W
                                                        Angels -182 5.0X W
                                                        Rangers -145 4.5X W

                                                        Good luck...there are a ton of units at stake!
                                                        Today: 9-2; +20.445X
                                                        TTD: 61-47; 26.615

                                                        Boom goes the dynamite!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • No coincidences
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 01-18-10
                                                          • 76300

                                                          #98
                                                          Originally posted by Pluthero
                                                          Today: 9-2; +20.445X
                                                          TTD: 61-47; 26.615

                                                          Boom goes the dynamite!
                                                          Nice work again. It's amazing how many plays you and Maddhatter can put out there and not be negatively affected. Outstanding.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EXhoosier10
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-06-09
                                                            • 3122

                                                            #99
                                                            Nice day pluthero. That's one hell of a saturday
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Pluthero
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-09-09
                                                              • 992

                                                              #100
                                                              Originally posted by No coincidences

                                                              Nice work again. It's amazing how many plays you and Maddhatter can put out there and not be negatively affected. Outstanding.
                                                              Originally posted by EXhoosier10
                                                              Nice day pluthero. That's one hell of a saturday
                                                              <BR><BR>

                                                              Thanks guys! The only thing that sucks is that I had two parlays that fell through because of the White Sox and Royals. I put one more on the last three games on my card so when Pujols came through in the ninth I nearly wept.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • EXhoosier10
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-06-09
                                                                • 3122

                                                                #101
                                                                just curious, what % of your br do you play as 1u? In the past i've done 1% = 1u, but I'm starting to find that I have half my br on the sidelines even when i'm down, so I'm considering upping my %/unit. Since you make many multiple unit plays a day, i'm curious to hear your strategy
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Pluthero
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 12-09-09
                                                                  • 992

                                                                  #102
                                                                  I do about 1%/unit.

                                                                  That being said, I'm probably not the best guy to take money management advice from because I play a little too loose and fast with my bankroll, at least with respect to traditional bankroll management theories. You probably already know this, but you should really not risk more than 5% of your BR on any one particular bet. Since I will play as many as 6.5X on a good bet and that bet may be -150 or worse, you could be risking as much as 10% of your BR on one of my plays. So the safe thing would probably be to make it 0.5% / unit.

                                                                  I definitely wouldn't up it to more than 1% because if there's a day like yesterday where I've got 11 bets on the table, and I play the juice that I typically do, I'm already putting 50% of my BR at risk on one day.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • AndrewMcCutchen
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-18-12
                                                                    • 326

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Originally posted by Pluthero
                                                                    Today: 9-2; +20.445X
                                                                    TTD: 61-47; 26.615

                                                                    Boom goes the dynamite!

                                                                    Greaat f'n day sir! Unfortunately the White Sox got me pretty good too. And I see your a fan of Tosh.0, very nice. GL today...
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Pluthero
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 12-09-09
                                                                      • 992

                                                                      #104
                                                                      4/14/13
                                                                      White Sox -135 4.0X
                                                                      Phillies -135 1.0X
                                                                      Braves +135 1.0X
                                                                      Royals -115 3.0X
                                                                      Cardinals -167 3.5X
                                                                      Giants -120 1.0X
                                                                      Tigers -125 1.5X
                                                                      Dodgers +110 1.5X
                                                                      Rangers -139 3.0X
                                                                      Yankees -119 2.5X

                                                                      Good luck!
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Pluthero
                                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                                        • 12-09-09
                                                                        • 992

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Originally posted by AndrewMcCutchen
                                                                        Greaat f'n day sir! Unfortunately the White Sox got me pretty good too. And I see your a fan of Tosh.0, very nice. GL today...
                                                                        Yeah, those damn sox. That may be the last time I post about winning a game in the first inning this year. I see you've been doing very well in your thread also. Congratulations man!
                                                                        Comment
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