Cappin Terp MLB 2013

[BayArea888]

TB -118 2 UNITS - A lot to like here, the Rays have won 11 of last 13 games @ home vs Yanks. Yanks are hitting just .210 vs lefties and scoring just 3.2 runs per game vs scoring 5.2 runs in all games. The Rays are hitting .278 vs lefties and are scoring 5.2 runs per vs 3.8 in all games. TB is 8-3 the last 11 home starts with Moore....Also have a keen eye looking at CC as a good "short" moving forward.It's well known that CC has lost a few mph off his fastball. This lost in velocity will hurt his change up but more importantly the lost in velocity will affect the amount of torque he needs for his breaking pitches.! As the travel and innings add up I am looking to get" ahead of the curve " before the books price this in.!! Some may agree or not and that is OK. But it's something to consider.........................gl

excellent win today CT! keep this momentum and let's get rolling!

[Smutbucket]

i feel the momentum too....think im gonna start tailing, this thread has no place left to go but up!

best of luck!

[CappinTerp]

excellent win today CT! keep this momentum and let's get rolling!

Thanks guys its still going to be about 2-3 weeks before the restrictor plates come off...............gl

i feel the momentum too....think im gonna start tailing, this thread has no place left to go but up!

best of luck!

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[CappinTerp]

CWS -119 2 UNITS Hate to spit into the wind for the CWS have lost 4 str. hitting just .161 during this span and have lost 10 of last 13 games. But this line looks a little fishy to me. McAllister career vs CWS is 2-0 with a 2.66 ERA, WHIP of 1.057 in 23.2 innings.The Tribes pen has not been scored on in last 16.2 inns. But besides the fishy line Quintana does have a 13.1 scoreless inning streak going and career vs Clev. is 1-0 with a 0.93 ERA, WHIP of 0.615 in 19.1 innings...........So for me it's Pale Hose.......gl

Can not remember last time there was 17 games on the slate....I may put a little Parlay out later.
Won the game on Mon.

MLB: 11-22
YTD: -20.58 Units

[CappinTerp]

CUBS +163 2 UNITS - Samardzija is just 1-3 this season but looking further into the #'s he pitched well. He has 31 k's in 26.2 inn. with a WHIP of 0.97 and a very strong GO/AO ratio of 2.00.! Always like these ground ball pitchers to get the DP. Both Phillips and Votto have a combined 3 hits in 24 AB vs Samardzija......................gl

A no play yest.
MLB:11-22
YTD: -20.58

[CappinTerp]

Houston +101 1 unit............gl

[Ron29301]

CUBS +163 2 UNITS - Samardzija is just 1-3 this season but looking further into the #'s he pitched well. He has 31 k's in 26.2 inn. with a WHIP of 0.97 and a very strong GO/AO ratio of 2.00.! Always like these ground ball pitchers to get the DP. Both Phillips and Votto have a combined 3 hits in 24 AB vs Samardzija......................gl

A no play yest.
MLB:11-22
YTD: -20.58

[BayArea888]

how come we are not playing CHW today? i believe the pitchers are the same although the line has crept up a bit from yesterday's...

[CappinTerp]

how come we are not playing CHW today? i believe the pitchers are the same although the line has crept up a bit from yesterday's...

I wanted to but had to take daughter to hospital,she is OK, but I just walked in and missed 1st pitch.!!

[CappinTerp]

Went 1-1 for -0.99 units on Wed.



MLB:12-23
YTD: -21.57

[BiffTFinancial]

Hey, Terp, hope that all is okay with your daughter, pal. i know that you're off to a bit of a slow start, but i always enjoy checking out your thread and i have no doubt that you will hit your stride soon. BOL today.

[CappinTerp]

Hey, Terp, hope that all is okay with your daughter, pal. i know that you're off to a bit of a slow start, but i always enjoy checking out your thread and i have no doubt that you will hit your stride soon. BOL today.

Thanks bud,everything is OK..was there for 3.5 hrs. and missed getting the CWS play in...such is life but family always comes 1st. I do check in with you from time to time keep up the good work,it is a long grind but love the game of baseball..................gl

[BiffTFinancial]

Thanks bud,everything is OK..was there for 3.5 hrs. and missed getting the CWS play in...such is life but family always comes 1st. I do check in with you from time to time keep up the good work,it is a long grind but love the game of baseball..................gl

Absolutely on family first. Usually i can juggle multiple things at a time, but some days, we all have to limit our focus to fewer things so as to do important things well. Nice thing about baseball is there's always tomorrow. Love the game of baseball. Lost Giants on ass-end of a parlay yesterday afternoon, but it was made bearable by the fact that i got home from work in time to watch last couple of innings with my son (we were chanting "Buster Buster" when Posey pinch hit). he'll be 4 next month and his first tee ball practice is Monday, so i'm working on teaching him the rules.

[CappinTerp]

COLO. +120 - 3 UNITS - DeLaRosa is working on a 17 consecutive inn. scoreless streak. His last 3 starts has an ERA of 1.50 with a WHIP of 0.833. Career vs Arz. in 80.2 innings has 71 K's is 7-3 with a 2.37 ERA,WHIP of 1.171.! Cahill career vs. Colo. is 1-4 with a ERA of 5.30 and WHIP of 1.458. The Rocks vs Righty starters are hitting .292 and avg. 5.9 runs per game. Arz. vs. Lefty starters are hitting just .219 and avg. 3.9 runs per game...............................gl

[BayArea888]

COLO. +120 - 3 UNITS - DeLaRosa is working on a 17 consecutive inn. scoreless streak. His last 3 starts has an ERA of 1.50 with a WHIP of 0.833. Career vs Arz. in 80.2 innings has 71 K's is 7-3 with a 2.37 ERA,WHIP of 1.171.! Cahill career vs. Colo. is 1-4 with a ERA of 5.30 and WHIP of 1.458. The Rocks vs Righty starters are hitting .292 and avg. 5.9 runs per game. Arz. vs. Lefty starters are hitting just .219 and avg. 3.9 runs per game...............................gl

awesome write up as always! bol tonight!

[CappinTerp]

Lost with the Rocks on Thrs. for -3.00 units.


mlb: 12-24
ytd: -24.57

[CappinTerp]

phil/mets - over 7.5 -120 1 unit..............gl

[CappinTerp]

sd +111 1 unit
cin/was - over 7 -105 1 unit...................gl

[CappinTerp]

Brewers +135 1 unit.....................gl

[No coincidences]

sd +111 1 unit
cin/was - over 7 -105 1 unit...................gl

You got a great number on the Pads.

[befus]

Just couldn't find anything to step out on today Terp, so I put small action plays on yours plus one on the 'stros +220.....why not?

[CappinTerp]

Just couldn't find anything to step out on today Terp, so I put small action plays on yours plus one on the 'stros +220.....why not?

Ihope you win buddy,I have been ice cold.! It's just one of those things....cap the games but stay true to what has worked in the past...no big bets early in season and don't lay -150 or more...ect...hope all is well out there.!.........gl

[CappinTerp]

You got a great number on the Pads.

Yea bet it @ 5 d about 5 min. before I posted it.....hope it wins............ya better fade me...off to a slow start..........gl

[CappinTerp]

One more play for today, sort of got a "soft spot" for Bedard who has often been injured but has great stuff.
Houston +225 FF - 1 UNIT - I know Hou. sucks and don't bet FF much..Bedard can pitch and his last outing vs Clev.(4/21) he had 8 K'S in 4 innings. Also he has a good history vs. current R.SOX hitters.Dempster just 6-12 career vs Stroes and 4.32 era in 25 starts...........For a 1 unit play @ +225 + a shortened game(FF).........Worth a shot............gl

[mandude]

Totally agree with you on this one Capp. I just commented on this in another thread. Houston will probably lose but there's too much value in this line to pass on it. GL tonight!

[CappinTerp]

Totally agree with you on this one Capp. I just commented on this in another thread. Houston will probably lose but there's too much value in this line to pass on it. GL tonight!

Yea I like this one more than the 1 unit put on it , but gotta stay to form for about another week or two..................................... gl

[CappinTerp]

WOW 1-4 ON DAY FOR -3.14 UNITS, i KNOW WHEN i'AM LICKED NEED TO TAKE TWO DAYS OFF.!! ......GL


MLB:13-28
YTD: -27.71 UNITS

[befus]

Eat crap and die D2D, no place for you on this thread ass munch.

[CappinTerp]

Hey guys,took a needed day off on Sat. to clear my head and hopefully find Mr. Karma.! So tail if you dare and fade if you must.........but I wish everyone well.!!


LAD/MIL - OVER 6 -125..(5d).......1 unit
CIN -102......1 UNIT
PHIL -111...............1 UNIT
MIA +104.........1 UNIT.................................... .......................GL

[CappinTerp]

Went 3-1 on Sun. for +1.79 units.



MLB:16-29
YTD: -25.92

[EXhoosier10]

NIce day yesterday, Terp.

Any thoughts on today's Washington @ Atlanta game? If I'm remembering correctly, I thought you once mentioned an angle of fading teams coming home after a long road series. Atlanta just finished off an 11 game road series culminating in a Sunday Night Baseball loss / sweep. Do you see any reason to back them at +115? Thanks

[CappinTerp]

NIce day yesterday, Terp.

Any thoughts on today's Washington @ Atlanta game? If I'm remembering correctly, I thought you once mentioned an angle of fading teams coming home after a long road series. Atlanta just finished off an 11 game road series culminating in a Sunday Night Baseball loss / sweep. Do you see any reason to back them at +115? Thanks

Good mem. my friend.! That angle is better served further into the season.......in fact I my bet the Braves today.!!.........................gl

[CappinTerp]

balt. -109...2 units
pitt. +112...1 unit..............................gl

[CappinTerp]

Parlay: ATL,CIN,LAD AND OAK..............1/2 UNIT.........Will pay about 12-1..............gl

[CappinTerp]

Went 0-3 on Mon. for -3.68 units.



MLB:16-32
YTD: -29.60