1. 04-20-15 01:15 PM #1471
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    What you think about whitthoeft barthel?
    don't like it.
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  2. 04-20-15 02:55 PM #1472
    Snowball
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    add:

    Thiem, Berankis, Ward, Vesely, Bolelli, Dodig,
    Jankovic, Kuznetsova, Ivanovic, Goerges, Radwanska, Lisicki
    .02/9.73
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  3. 04-21-15 06:44 AM #1473
    Snowball
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    Melnikova .06/.16
    Brianti .05/.3
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  4. 04-21-15 12:20 PM #1474
    Snowball
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    Tally +2.44

    Lisicki, Radwanska .14/.16
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  5. 04-21-15 12:46 PM #1475
    Pikachu
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    wow ivanovic should have taken that 1st set.
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  6. 04-21-15 03:09 PM #1476
    Snowball
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    Lisicki .35/.1
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  7. 04-22-15 07:24 AM #1477
    Snowball
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    Lopez, Lisicki, Kvitova .12/.14
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  8. 04-22-15 07:27 AM #1478
    Snowball
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    Goerges, Halep .1/.19
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  9. 04-22-15 08:38 AM #1479
    Snowball
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    Goerges, Halep .15/.31
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  10. 04-22-15 02:31 PM #1480
    Snowball
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    Halep .45/.24
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  11. 04-23-15 06:48 AM #1481
    Snowball
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    Errani, Garcia, Robredo .2/.31
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  12. 04-23-15 09:29 AM #1482
    Snowball
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    Tally +1.82

    Errani, Garcia, Robredo .2/.31
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  13. 04-23-15 11:45 AM #1483
    Snowball
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    Robredo/Granollers Under 20.5 .06/.05
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  14. 04-23-15 05:36 PM #1484
    Snowball
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    Tally +2.18

    Fognini .37/.2
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  15. 04-24-15 08:27 AM #1485
    Snowball
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    Wozniacki .2/.18
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  16. 04-24-15 09:08 AM #1486
    Snowball
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    increase Fognini by .16/.1
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  17. 04-26-15 07:28 AM #1487
    Snowball
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    Tally +1.83

    Kerber .35/.42
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  18. 04-26-15 10:13 AM #1488
    Snowball
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    Tally +2.25
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  19. 04-26-15 03:12 PM #1489
    Snowball
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    Sousa (ATP Estoril), Schmiedlova (WTA Marrakech), Kuznetsova (WTA Prague)
    .11/.14
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  20. 04-27-15 08:34 AM #1490
    Snowball
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    Giorgi, Kuznetsova .67/.37
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  21. 04-27-15 10:56 AM #1491
    Vinnie Paz
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    Kuznetsova, what the hell
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  22. 04-27-15 11:57 AM #1492
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vinnie Paz View Post
    Kuznetsova, what the hell
    yep. bad. to be honest I've been doing better on other sports than tennis.
    Think I will lay low the rest of the clay season. I certainly don't prefer it
    from a wagering standpoint.
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  23. 04-28-15 08:54 AM #1493
    Snowball
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    Kyrgios, Sousa .34/.8
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  24. 04-28-15 10:39 AM #1494
    Snowball
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    Kyrgios line has dropped a lot, was 140 then 125 early today now 110.
    Sousa played terribly today.

    Kyrgios .47/.52
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  25. 04-28-15 01:33 PM #1495
    Snowball
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    Tally +1.65
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  26. 04-28-15 05:54 PM #1496
    Snowball
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    Robredo, Pennetta, Svitolina .32/.35
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  27. 04-28-15 07:04 PM #1497
    fitguy67
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    McHale's owning Svitolina in the H2H (not on clay, but in two important matches, 2012 Fed/2013 USO) 2-0 matches/4-1 sets...not a concern?...

    motivation at these 250s hard to gauge...& i don't know how to find out if either/both of these two have points to defend that would cast additional light on the level of effort/tenacity we can expect

    at first glance, tho', Svitolina seems the most likely of the three in your parlay to eff things up (as she did just days ago, if memory serves, versus Pereira...where she demonstrated zero composure and tenacity in a semi-final)

    I will definitely start a manual parlay rolling with Robredo and Pennetta, tho'...but hard to trust a 21yo millionaire in a tournament that doesn't fit prominently in the grand scheme of her career, esp. against an opponent who's beaten her 4 sets out of 5 in important matches in the not so distant past
    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-28-15 at 08:28 PM.
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  28. 04-29-15 10:15 AM #1498
    fitguy67
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    dang, i'm not very good at this tennis stuff...what did you see that hinted she could be relied upon enough to justify her pricetag (-333/1.3/77% implied probability)?...

    turned out she was...what'd i miss that scared me off...problem may be that i limit myself at this stage to just what i can find within a few click radius of here:

    http://www.tennisexplorer.com/match-detail/?id=1307304

    were there "points to defend" motivational issues i missed, or just that svito has been relatively hot her last few tourneys, going quite deep in every one while mchale has been doing her usual journeyman thing with lots of r1 exits?

    when my spidey sense proves to be obviously wrong, i like to do a bit of an autopsy, to help me from missing a similar angle in the future
    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-29-15 at 10:21 AM.
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  29. 04-29-15 12:10 PM #1499
    Snowball
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    Tally +1.65

    Robredo, Pennetta, Svitolina .32/.35
    Krajinovic .12/.19
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  30. 04-29-15 03:36 PM #1500
    Snowball
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    well, it was just a shot.. i knew the weak spot of the bet was the Krajinovic just
    isn't that good. anyway, i'll be fading Kyrgios again, if Robredo wins, he will play him.
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  31. 04-29-15 06:23 PM #1501
    Snowball
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    Tommy pulled out.

    Tally +1.75
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  32. 04-30-15 08:09 AM #1502
    Snowball
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    Muller .11/.1
    Dodig .14/.11
    Knapp .1/.21
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  33. 04-30-15 01:48 PM #1503
    Snowball
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    Tally +1.86
    went 2/3
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  34. 05-01-15 10:24 AM #1504
    Snowball
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    Garcia-Lopez .46/.2
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  35. 05-01-15 12:55 PM #1505
    Snowball
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    Tally +2.06

    Gasquet .13/.16
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