Jsnep7 Euro2016 picks GTFO

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 10:41 AM

Been thinking long and hard(nohomo) about this one. Romania is going to play very defensively ofcourse and they are pretty good at this. I predict a lot of teams coming to the euros with just 1 goal, defending.

Romania most likely playing handball so if they can't get a early goal to create some extra space for themselves they will have to switch to plan B. Olivier Giroud. Targetman who does really well in the national squad. France will score a goal tonight, im sure about that. Think there's about a 70% chance they score atleast 2. Romania has some fast players so i dont really like the handicap line today. France seems most vulnerable in the back.

With Payet, Griezman, and Pogba france has players that are excellent in creating chances for Giroud. He's the number 9 for france and they will try to search him as much as possible against this defending team. Dont expect france to score on a quick counter but rather on a cross or setpiece.

Olivier Giroud to score? Yes +130
1 unit

intermission · 06-10-16, 11:46 AM

I like this as well, I wonder why its up +170 now

Stackzilla · 06-10-16, 11:49 AM

Nice yea the French aren't selfish when it comes to passing along to incoming player creating the one-timer rather than taking bad angle shots but why not take a shot at "First to Score" odds are probably 2x or 3x more than what your getting with +130. It may be a risk but risk vs reward. It's worth it to take a shot at it or even putting a unit on each you still come out on top. I'm a yankee we take risks. Just a suggestion. BOL

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 01:41 PM

Romania to kick off -155 @ SBObet
1 unit

intermission · 06-10-16, 02:04 PM

Did you win the kickoff bet? i missed the kick off lol

intermission · 06-10-16, 03:17 PM

Cashhhhhhhhhhhhhhh it!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Stackzilla · 06-10-16, 03:20 PM

thanks for the tip took him first to score

gave my betpoints away today or else i shiip

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 03:33 PM

No unfortunately i lost it. Normally its tradition, happend last 5 European Cups. Friend texted me this info, cheeky bastard.

YTD
1-1 + €75

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 05:16 PM

Next pick is going to be 2 bets, high confidence in these one.

Albania - Switzerland

Albania will play anti football and try to park the bus to get a result as long as possible, goal line this match is under 2 and switzerland to win is @ 1.85 and in my opinion, bookies have got this pretty good. No value to be made there.

This match im looking towards the corner market. Switzerland has a team that loves to play over the wings. They also have the players for this with 2 very dynamic fullbacks. (lichtensteiner and rodriguez) Add in shaqiri and the possible starting of embolo as striker and i can see switzerland getting a lot of corners.

I have watched some games of them in the qualification and they consistently get a lot of corners because of their play. These are the last 5 qualification corner stats for the euro 2016:

Estonia - Switzerland 3-6
Switzerland - San Marino 11-1
England - Switzerland 3-8
Switzerland - slovenia 6-3
Lithuania - Switzerland 2-14

Now against albania the line on Switzerland -2.5 corner is -125.
I am very confident they will cover this line against a defensive albania. If they play handball, you'll get corners.

My bookies don't offer -3 AH yet (pinnacle) else that would have been my choice at evs, but im affraid that when someone notices this line that its too late.

So my pick in this match will be:
Switzerland - Albania // Switzerland -2.5 corner @ -125 for 1 units

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 05:18 PM

Adding this aswell

Switzerland - Albania // Total corners
1st half handicap -1.00
Switzerland @ -120
1 unit

cashin81 · 06-10-16, 05:21 PM

whats the total corners on swiss? not handicap, but team corners?

Jsnep7 · 06-10-16, 05:26 PM

Huge asians have not opened that line yet, but UNIBET has it at 5.00

cashin81 · 06-10-16, 05:28 PM

k, thx

cer · 06-11-16, 05:23 AM

like it, thanks.

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 05:39 AM

Not sure about the other 2 matches, going to watch them live. Leaning slightly towards russia x2.

Le_Donk · 06-11-16, 06:22 AM

keep em coming

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 06:51 AM

Pinnacle has the corner lines up now aswell at a slightly higher odd, so if you haven't bet on this match now i suggest you use pinny if possible.

Coach Potato · 06-11-16, 09:02 AM

hopefully the red card will turn things in ur favor. good luck

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 09:29 AM

LIVE

Switzerland -vs- Albania
Over Under:+1.50
Under @ 2.17
2 units

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 09:31 AM

Live

Switzerland -vs- Albania
Asian Handicap:+0.25 @ 1 - 0
Albania @ 2.06

2 units

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 09:58 AM

Can't believe how hard the Swiss let met down today. It started off so well according to plan.
2 corners in 4 minutes. Just unlucky that they scored from that corner and after that it all went to shit.

They were 3-0 up in corners at the 30th minute and albania got a red card but you could see this coming.
They played against a 10 man albania and had 0 pressure on the ball, albania could pick out a man to pass to and receive it without any pressure. And they were 1 man down.

They were so lucky to winning this match, best chances were for Albania 2nd half. Swiss had no intention of attacking so 15 minutes before FT under 1.5 @ 2.17 was really nice value, so was the albania +0.25 because to be honest, i think it was a 50/50 who would score.

Still made profit this match thanks to plan B, but swiss let me down big time. Think bookies will punish them for this next match.

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 10:30 AM

Ytd
3-3 +€425

swordsandtequila · 06-11-16, 10:34 AM

Swiss were garbage after the initial goal. Knew my corners bet was dead once they lost their width, instead taking everything up the middle trying to hit the home run. Least the ml hit to soften the blow. Albania deserved better based on their effort.

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 10:43 AM

Yeah, i still stand behind my bet tough. If that goal did not fall in the 4th minute swiss would've kept throwing in those flank attacks, Mbolo was plan B if they could not score. Just very dissapointing that swiss decided to stall instead of scoring the 2nd goal especially against a 10 man Albania.

swordsandtequila · 06-11-16, 10:46 AM

I'm with you, I had 2 different corners bets on the Swiss. Started great, then

Lot of games left, let's get it

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 11:59 AM

Originally posted by swordsandtequila

I'm with you, I had 2 different corners bets on the Swiss. Started great, then

Lot of games left, let's get it

Yeah no worries bro, ill make some sweet money this cup like usual. Started very slow last WC but made 7.5k off that tournament. Im up 425 now. The future is bright.

mohye1980 · 06-11-16, 01:01 PM

You playing England jsnep?

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 01:29 PM

Hoping that the public jumps england so russia goes up even higher. Thinking of playing russia +0.5, not entirely sure yet.

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 01:55 PM

Russia +0.75 @ 1.91
1 unit.

Jsnep7 · 06-11-16, 04:57 PM

Originally posted by Jsnep7

Russia +0.75 @ 1.91
1 unit.

Booooom, get iiiin

I wanted to post a funny .gif here but im to stoned to remember the website for gifs.

I would also calculate my YTD but i am also to much in the influince of a space cake.

i will do this tomorrow.

korki · 06-12-16, 06:41 AM

Jsnep nice blok... really I have 2 questions: 1. What is YTD 2. What you think bet early match Romania vs Swiss?

Jsnep7 · 06-12-16, 07:04 AM

Originally posted by Jsnep7

Booooom, get iiiin

I wanted to post a funny .gif here but im to stoned to remember the website for gifs.

I would also calculate my YTD but i am also to much in the influince of a space cake.

i will do this tomorrow.

YTD 4-3

+€625

Jsnep7 · 06-12-16, 07:04 AM

Originally posted by korki

Jsnep nice blok... really I have 2 questions: 1. What is YTD 2. What you think bet early match Romania vs Swiss?

YTD is yeard to date record, but in this topic its the total tips i played and how much won and lost.

Jsnep7 · 06-12-16, 07:29 AM

And about romania - swiss, im not sure, value seems to be on romania after their last performances but i have to give this match more tought.

Really interested about croatia - turkey. Expect a lot from croatia, such a good midfield and a decent attack. Odds on them are very low however, was hoping for a -0.25 at 2.00 but bookies also think they're a quality side.

Don't trust the turks, they always perform thanks to the passion they can give in this tournament.