Line movement in cards favor is bullshit

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94379

    #1
    Line movement in cards favor is bullshit
    Not buying the line move for gm 3. Cards now favored -110 after opening as dogs. Now way I'm buying that. Watch out for stephen drew tonight.

    Sox ML +101 (15x)

    Sox RL +159 (5x)
  • t-wizzle
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 12-18-09
    • 38099

    #2
    I like the Red Sox tonight also.

    I think the line move is related to the Napoli thing. The opening line suggests more to me than the line move.
    Comment
    • lakerboy
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-02-09
      • 94379

      #3
      Exactly.
      Comment
      • innovation
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-27-12
        • 6218

        #4
        unfortunatley I like Sox tonight too...my mouth hit the floor when I saw Peavy was favored over Kelly...books knew it would move.....the Sox run line is surprisingly low +150 on the road with what the public believes is a gas can in Peavy.

        Said it from the beginning...I doubt any of these games will end up being 1 run victories.

        2 best run differential teams
        Comment
        • crustyme
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 09-29-10
          • 16896

          #5
          talking to urself again?

          lol
          Comment
          • TonyTall
            SBR MVP
            • 08-21-13
            • 3551

            #6
            good luck with big papi at first base lol
            Comment
            • crustyme
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 09-29-10
              • 16896

              #7
              0-3 -15 units



              0-6 -51.95 units



              0-10 -24.66 units



              0-3 -18 units



              0-2 -15 units



              -1000 units



              -44 units



              3-8 -8.26 units


              heres a shiny new quarter.... go reload ur air tank aka ur bankroll.

              lol
              Comment
              • Seto
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-16-11
                • 12906

                #8
                he didn't go 0-10 in UCL..
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82839

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Seto
                  he didn't go 0-10 in UCL..
                  correct..he went 1-9
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    Pick aside, all that maters here....Stephen Drew
                    Comment
                    • Seto
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-16-11
                      • 12906

                      #11
                      Originally posted by pavyracer
                      correct..he went 1-9
                      1-8.5-0.5

                      Juve+0.5/1 was a half push/half loss
                      Comment
                      • pavyracer
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 04-12-07
                        • 82839

                        #12
                        Yes he got Olympiacos draw and lost Juventus half bet. So he hit 15% of his plays.
                        Comment
                        • crustyme
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-29-10
                          • 16896

                          #13
                          lol
                          Comment
                          • Seto
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-16-11
                            • 12906

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                            Yes he got Olympiacos draw and lost Juventus half bet. So he hit 15% of his plays.
                            Was just making the facts about that thread clear. Not trolling anybody.

                            10.5% actually, 1 win out of 9.5 bets (0.5 cancelled).
                            Comment
                            • ebelisle22
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 4726

                              #15
                              Originally posted by innovation
                              unfortunatley I like Sox tonight too...my mouth hit the floor when I saw Peavy was favored over Kelly...books knew it would move.....the Sox run line is surprisingly low +150 on the road with what the public believes is a gas can in Peavy.

                              Said it from the beginning...I doubt any of these games will end up being 1 run victories.

                              2 best run differential teams
                              1. where the heck are u seeing +150
                              2. peavy is far from a gas can
                              3. have you ever watched him pitch before?
                              Comment
                              • Simon Gruber
                                SBR MVP
                                • 05-02-13
                                • 2342

                                #16
                                guy's got chicken vindaloo for brains.
                                Comment
                                • TwoWays
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 03-24-10
                                  • 13145

                                  #17
                                  gl, lb. i know you'll crush this one outta tha park!
                                  Comment
                                  • innovation
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-27-12
                                    • 6218

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by ebelisle22
                                    1. where the heck are u seeing +150
                                    2. peavy is far from a gas can
                                    3. have you ever watched him pitch before?
                                    Maybe you should read my post. I don't think you did.

                                    1. +150 is Will Hill (vegas) last night and lower then OP has RL at +159
                                    2. I said publics perception not mine....all the talking heads have basically buried Peavy since his last road start @ tigers. A 5.03 road era is nothing to brag about.

                                    3.I live eat and breath NL west all my life....so obviously I have seen peavy pitch dozens of starts....he was good @petco and basically average on the road with a 3.73 era in his prime

                                    i think the books know he is showing up tonight but if you polled public perception getting Kelly at plus money @ home is virtually to good to pass up.

                                    Unfortunately sox look good tonight. Imo
                                    Comment
                                    • crustyme
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 09-29-10
                                      • 16896

                                      #19
                                      peavy in post season is 1-3 10.31 era

                                      lol
                                      Comment
                                      • ebelisle22
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 4726

                                        #20
                                        They should take drew out or bogarts not sure what lineup is looking like but Napoli/Gomes should both be in it instead of others. Must play players Napoli Gomes Ortiz Pedroia vicorino the rest are interchangeable
                                        Comment
                                        • SteelRain
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-13-12
                                          • 2806

                                          #21
                                          I'm on the cards myself. Ortiz is playing 1st base lolz
                                          Comment
                                          • bubblebuttluv
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-13-12
                                            • 5179

                                            #22
                                            How are you surprised that the home team (who just split the games at Fenway) is the favorite in a World Series game?

                                            come on OP.

                                            Besides it's post-season baseball, also known as "juice be damned".

                                            all I know and all I care about is that Cards will win one of the two at home so just back the Cards tonight and next game if they lose tonight.

                                            Easy.
                                            Comment
                                            • lakerboy
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-02-09
                                              • 94379

                                              #23
                                              Don't cards get next 3 at home bubblebutt?
                                              Comment
                                              • 2daBank
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 88966

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Don't cards get next 3 at home bubblebutt?
                                                yep and they will win 2 of them.. let me try and help you out, it going back to bos 3-2 cards so bet accordingly and stopped getting killed fading the cards..
                                                Comment
                                                • lakerboy
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 04-02-09
                                                  • 94379

                                                  #25
                                                  Banker make sure u grab ur 25 cent big mac or quarter pounder today.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • t-wizzle
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 12-18-09
                                                    • 38099

                                                    #26
                                                    The only thing that you need to know is that Boston is still favored to win the series.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • 2daBank
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 01-26-09
                                                      • 88966

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                      Banker make sure u grab ur 25 cent big mac or quarter pounder today.
                                                      Think we get great deal when cards score more than 6.. Another great play douche..
                                                      Comment
                                                      • TonyTall
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-21-13
                                                        • 3551

                                                        #28
                                                        cards on pace for 18 runs
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Luv2Play2
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 12-24-10
                                                          • 2461

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by TonyTall
                                                          cards on pace for 18 runs
                                                          ive made 6 bets on stl. in the post season..and im 6 and F'nnn 0.. #7 2nite @ ev.. gl bo'cocks backers
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by TonyTall
                                                            cards on pace for 18 runs
                                                            Sweet cause cards -1 was nice
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TonyTall
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-21-13
                                                              • 3551

                                                              #31
                                                              peavy getting exposed. they probably have a spybook 100 pages thick on what he was going to throw tonight. lakerboy is terrible
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pavyracer
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-12-07
                                                                • 82839

                                                                #32
                                                                St. Louis up 2-0

                                                                Air unit losing indicator down another 20 units.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Luv2Play2
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 12-24-10
                                                                  • 2461

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by TonyTall
                                                                  peavy getting exposed. they probably have a spybook 100 pages thick on what he was going to throw tonight. lakerboy is terrible
                                                                  now that was lmao " spybook " g1
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • TwoWays
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 03-24-10
                                                                    • 13145

                                                                    #34
                                                                    i still believe in lb. it's early in the game yet. lb will have some late october magic.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • lakerboy
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 04-02-09
                                                                      • 94379

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Lmao guys calling a mlb game over with a 2-0 lead.
                                                                      Comment
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