Anyone using Tony Chow's NFL system in MLB?

[TechnicalTrader]

Thanks, I think I'll move it over to the NHL forum. Doesn't really belong in your thread.

Scratch that! Walco is already on it! LMAO!!!

[rkelly110]

Scratch that! Walco is already on it! LMAO!!!

Walco is on the 3 loss system? I know he goes to the D bet.

[rkelly110]

Looks like Pittsburgh is up to their same ol' tricks. Sucking at the end of the season. Let's see if they can pull us out a win.

Good sized card today along with a big C bet. Let's get 'em!

CIN (A) +RL early game
TAM (A) +RL early game Winner!
PIT (C) ML Winner!
MIN (A) +RL Winner!

Straight bets 35-18 66%

System Bets

A 22-13
B 11-4
C 2-1

[TechnicalTrader]

Walco is on the 3 loss system? I know he goes to the D bet.

Yeah, it's basically a modded JM system which is being used on the NHL.

The KHL is real tough to play chase systems on. I am going to give it a shot, but will only chase 5 game streaks. Same thing for the WNBA. Chasing 4 and 5 game streaks is where the money is at. You won't get 40, 50, 60 plays a season but the hit rate is rather nice.

I was looking at the following system, went 12, 8, 1 with ZERO games losing the third game:

Game A; take spread at -117 (+/- 15)
Game B; take spread at -180 (+/- 15)
Game C; take spread at -280 (+/- 15)

Your total exposure is around 22 times what your initial bet is BUT, you gain a huge advantage by eating some juice.

This season's stats are: 12, 8, 1, 0. Yes, only one game made it to the C-bet...

[thekoreanmang]

Looks like Pittsburgh is up to their same ol' tricks. Sucking at the end of the season. Let's see if they can pull us out a win.

Good sized card today along with a big C bet. Let's get 'em!

CIN (A) +RL early game
TAM (A) +RL early game Winner!
PIT (C) ML
MIN (A) +RL

Straight bets 35-18 66%

System Bets

A 22-13
B 11-4
C 2-1

I think we're using different systems. Is yours based on a play being on a team after they've lost a certain amount of games in row regardless of the opponent? The one that is updated in my thread is betting on a team that's been swept by the same team. Today was CIN +1.5 Bet C in the unofficial system (when the RPI margin is greater than .015 between opponents) and it lost. Here, I see you have CIN +1.5 being a Bet A.

Any clarity is appreciated. Thanks!

[rkelly110]

Yes, two different systems.

Yours is the revenge system, mine is just the 3 loss in a row system. It consists of a team losing 3 games in a row
by 2 or more runs if the dog, 3 games in a row if the fav or a mixture of the two. Spot that and begin your chase.
Many have won outright with huge odds not needing the +RL.

I use SBR odds/ matchups. Go to SBR odds. Put your curser to the right of the teams playing. A blue box will
appear. Click on that. Click on matchups. All kinds of info.

If Cinci couldn't pull off a revenge, I'm a little reluctant to go further with them now.

[rkelly110]

Yeah, it's basically a modded JM system which is being used on the NHL.

The KHL is real tough to play chase systems on. I am going to give it a shot, but will only chase 5 game streaks. Same thing for the WNBA. Chasing 4 and 5 game streaks is where the money is at. You won't get 40, 50, 60 plays a season but the hit rate is rather nice.

I was looking at the following system, went 12, 8, 1 with ZERO games losing the third game:

Game A; take spread at -117 (+/- 15)
Game B; take spread at -180 (+/- 15)
Game C; take spread at -280 (+/- 15)

Your total exposure is around 22 times what your initial bet is BUT, you gain a huge advantage by eating some juice.

This season's stats are: 12, 8, 1, 0. Yes, only one game made it to the C-bet...

Good luck. Kick some butt.

[rkelly110]

Whew, squeaked out a C bet win with Pittsburgh.

Today's play is CIN (B) +RL

Straight bets 38-19 67%

System bets

A 24-14 63%
B 11-4 73%
C 3-1 75%

System is 24-1 96%

[thekoreanmang]

You feeling confident about the Reds?

[rkelly110]

You feeling confident about the Reds?

That's what's nice about using a system. It takes the emotion out of picks. I bet emotionless.

In other words, yes.

[thekoreanmang]

Another Tony Chau (JM) system for the NFL. Run a 3 game chase against the last Super bowl winner.

In other words, last years Super bowl winner (Denver), will lose SU or ATS within the next 3 games.
Advice: buy at least the hook (.5). If the spread is 3, buy the extra 1/2 point to 3.5 etc.

Disclaimer: These systems were given to me for free from the author.

So, if it's a favorite, then bet the ML if it's a dog bet the ATS? Tonight's play would be CAR ML?

[rkelly110]

So, if it's a favorite, then bet the ML if it's a dog bet the ATS? Tonight's play would be CAR ML?

Yes sir.

[rkelly110]

Another C bet coming up. Ugh! Let's get it!

Today's plays:

CIN (C) +RL Winner!
ARI (A) +RL Winner!
TOR (A) +RL or ML depending on your book.

Straight bets 38-20 65%

System bets

A 24-14 63%
B 11-5 69%%
C 3-1 75%

System is 24-1 96%

[rkelly110]

So, if it's a favorite, then bet the ML if it's a dog bet the ATS? Tonight's play would be CAR ML?

Sorry man, they were kicking butt. On to the B bet.

[rkelly110]

Cinci brings home the C bet with a SU win. Arizona goes extra innings to bring home the bacon.

Let's bring in the B bet on Toronto ML early game. Winner!

Straight bets 40-21 64%

System bets

A 25-15
B 11-5
C 4-1

[TechnicalTrader]

Cinci brings home the C bet with a SU win. Arizona goes extra innings to bring home the bacon.

Let's bring in the B bet on Toronto ML early game.

Straight bets 40-21 64%

System bets

A 25-15
B 11-5
C 4-1

Great work Mr. Kelly. Just a pitty you've been trapped in that closet and started this thread just lately. You got that vibe in here, keep on bumpin this thread and grinding through. I believe you can fly past a hit rate of 64%, soon you will be the world's greatest!

Fiesta time is right around the corner, close out the season as this forums number one!

[thekoreanmang]

Cinci brings home the C bet with a SU win. Arizona goes extra innings to bring home the bacon.

Let's bring in the B bet on Toronto ML early game.

Straight bets 40-21 64%

System bets

A 25-15
B 11-5
C 4-1

Nice stuff. I got scared of CIN losing again so just bet enough to recoup half my losses. Gotta be emotionless like you. Forgot about ARI and TOR though. Was waiting for a better price. I'll just have to get on TOR today. Good luck!

[rkelly110]

Great work Mr. Kelly. Just a pitty you've been trapped in that closet and started this thread just lately. You got that vibe in here, keep on bumpin this thread and grinding through. I believe you can fly past a hit rate of 64%, soon you will be the world's greatest!

Fiesta time is right around the corner, close out the season as this forums number one!

Nice stuff. I got scared of CIN losing again so just bet enough to recoup half my losses. Gotta be emotionless like you. Forgot about ARI and TOR though. Was waiting for a better price. I'll just have to get on TOR today. Good luck!

Thanks guys.

Was getting my ass kicked and was down over 36 units. Since trying this, I'm down to -8 units. Hope this
continues until I'm + units.

[thekoreanmang]

Thanks guys.

Was getting my ass kicked and was down over 36 units. Since trying this, I'm down to -8 units. Hope this
continues until I'm + units.

Did the massive negative units happen as a result of this system or something else?

[imotiv8]

Good stuff rkelly110!

[rkelly110]

Did the massive negative units happen as a result of this system or something else?

I was using your system (from Tony's emails) doing ok, but was using some of my own systems, got to chasing
losses and got in trouble. Decided to check the 3 loss system and tried it for a while. Was doing good and wanted
to share with the forum.

Good stuff rkelly110!

Thanks man, I'll be checking your thread.

[rkelly110]

Toronto pulled us out a win yesterday on the B bet. Nice.

No plays for today. Need a day off. Stressful week with back to back C bets. GL on your football picks!

Straight bets 41-21 66%

System bets

A 25-15
B 12-5
C 4-1

System 25-1 96%

[rkelly110]

Today's play is PIT (A) ML

Hope you cashed on your football bets.

I'm going to stay with this until I lose a C bet then quit, as we are deep into the season. By then, we might be into
3 weeks of football and can then check out imotiv8's thread.

[rkelly110]

Today's play is PIT (B) ML Winner!

Might be more, some teams aren't updated yet.

[rkelly110]

Pittsburgh came through yesterday on the B bet.

Today's play is HOU (A) ML Winner!

Straight bets 42-22 66%

System bets

A 25-16
B 13-5
C 4-1

System 25-1 96%

[Ri¢h Bank$]

This is truly amazing!

When I hear the words "system" and "chase" I always start wondering how much this is going to lose

But damn Rkelly this is pretty damn good thanks for posting this.

I have had a bad streak and just want to take the emotion out and bet comfortably.

I am going to use the system without chasing though to win +1u everytime

Would you mind if I post my record of units on the forum from here on out ?

[rkelly110]

This is truly amazing!

When I hear the words "system" and "chase" I always start wondering how much this is going to lose

But damn Rkelly this is pretty damn good thanks for posting this.

I have had a bad streak and just want to take the emotion out and bet comfortably.

I am going to use the system without chasing though to win +1u everytime

Would you mind if I post my record of units on the forum from here on out ?

Thanks Rich.

I believe in sharing the wealth, if there is wealth to be had.

You can do what you want as far as betting. I don't go hog wild with my chasing, mainly recouping losses with a
little profit added in.

Sure, post up.

[w@lt]

Just came across this. Looks cool! Thanks for sharing!

[rkelly110]

Just came across this. Looks cool! Thanks for sharing!

[w@lt]

Win

[rkelly110]

Been a while for a win on the A bet. Let's keep 'em coming!

Two plays for today.

SF (A) ML Winner!
KC (A) ML

Straight bets 43-22 66%

System bets

A 26-16
B 13-5
C 4-1

*System 42-1 97.6%

*Have been making a mistake on system wins. Should've been adding win/ loss on the A bets for the system.

[rkelly110]

San Fran pulled us out a comfortable win. KC got creamed.

Today's plays are:

KC (B) +RL
COL (A) ML Winner!

Straight bets 44-23 66%

System bets

A 27-17
B 13-5
C 4-1

[rkelly110]

Colorado came through in the 9th scoring 3 runs to give us the win by one. Cool.

Big C bet coming up. Let's get it! Got a few other teams to get on. Let's sweep the card today!

Plays for today:

KC (C) ML Winner!
ATL (A) +RL early game Winner!
STL (A) +RL Winner!
NYY (A) + RL early game Winner!

Straight bets 45-24 65%

System bets

A 28-17
B 13-6
C 4-1

[TechnicalTrader]

Colorado came through in the 9th scoring 3 runs to give us the win by one. Cool.

Big C bet coming up. Let's get it! Got a few other teams to get on. Let's sweep the card today!

Plays for today:

KC (C) ML
ATL (A) +RL early game
STL (A) +RL
NYY (A) + RL early game

Straight bets 45-24 65%

System bets

A 28-17
B 13-6
C 4-1

Great work!

[rkelly110]

BAM! All teams came through for us. Hope you guys cashed.

Thanks for the points TT!

I know it's football season, but why turn down free money?

One play for today. CIN (A) +RL early game. Winner!

Straight bets 49-24 67%

System bets

A 31-17
B 13-6
C 5-1

System 48-1 98%