MLB - Saturday, 6/18/16

TanBanana · 06-18-16, 07:19 AM

Love the first two! BOL today.

jjgold · 06-18-16, 08:24 AM

Dickey a strange pitcher

If his ball is moving he is tough but the clown usually gets nailed

Brock Landers · 06-18-16, 08:28 AM

Dickey has been gold to fade, game in And game out

hustlehard617 · 06-18-16, 08:32 AM

Hey LT why do you like the Marlins today ?

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 08:58 AM

LOTS of 60%ers today:

Yankees 62% (-163)
Arizona 61% (-156)
Houston 71% (-245)
St. Louis 65% (-186)
Cleveland 66% (-194)
Mets 72% (-257)
Cubs 69% (-223)
Washington 68% (-213)
Dodgers 61% (-156)

Looks like large chalk variance on Yankees

innovation · 06-18-16, 09:00 AM

Yank lose easy call there

reverse 0's

salazar isn't facing danks either so buyer beware

44 Mag · 06-18-16, 09:08 AM

Originally posted by innovation

Yank lose easy call there

reverse 0's

salazar isn't facing danks either so buyer beware

I so miss Danks !!!! Made a bundle going against him.

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 09:16 AM

Originally posted by hustlehard617

Hey LT why do you like the Marlins today ?

I actually get Miami 59% (-144).

I get that Chatwood has good mainstream stats on the road, but his peripherals are nothing special. He only has 5.46 strikeouts vs. 2.79 walks per nine innings and has benefited from a .262 BABIP allowed.

I am not a huge fan of Chen either other than him walking less than 2.00 batters per nine, but the pitcher ratings still have him about 9 points better and it looks like Marlins have edges in a lot of other areas.

dirtycash66 · 06-18-16, 09:31 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

4 MLB Plays Saturday

Diamondbacks / Phillies UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
Blue Jays / Orioles OVER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Marlins -127 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals OVER 9 +105 (Heritage)

YTD: 197-220-9, -17.37

Ouch!!

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 09:34 AM

Originally posted by dirtycash66

Ouch!!

It hurts ME more than it hurts you.

RavensFan2k3 · 06-18-16, 10:38 AM

Originally posted by innovation

Yank lose easy call there

reverse 0's

salazar isn't facing danks either so buyer beware

i like Yanks to lose here too

MMA_Oracle · 06-18-16, 10:49 AM

@LT last season, were you ever down around 17u or are you just having terrible luck this year?

also, could i get your model number on Yankees/Twins point total please?

Nateboogy · 06-18-16, 11:08 AM

Originally posted by MMA_Oracle

@LT last season, were you ever down around 17u or are you just having terrible luck this year?

also, could i get your model number on Yankees/Twins point total please?

Well he was down 19 units this year, then bounced back to up like 14 units I think. Now he's back down again.

MMA_Oracle · 06-18-16, 11:15 AM

Originally posted by Nateboogy

Well he was down 19 units this year, then bounced back to up like 14 units I think. Now he's back down again.

ah i didnt catch this thread from the jump. i knew he had a strong bounce back earlier but didnt know he was -19u at one point. do you know if he had similar results last season or if that was the complete opposite (result wise)

pilebuck13 · 06-18-16, 11:17 AM

Like Yankees twins under 5 f5

Rigbone · 06-18-16, 11:29 AM

Any thoughts on the M's today? Noticed Boston was not on the 60%ers with a large line like that.

unusialsusp5 · 06-18-16, 11:33 AM

just pick your own games. stay away from lines over -140. try to go 2-1 everyday and then worry about collecting from offshore with this bit coin nonsense. or just leave it in so you can bet continually till the end of time. best method. all this worrying and wondering if you can get the same lines as LT (you can't) and confusion over bit coin daily value moves will wear you down mentally. if you can't figure out who the better teams are or which pitcher is doing better by yourself then you shouldn't be betting period.

Slanina · 06-18-16, 11:42 AM

Originally posted by MMA_Oracle

ah i didnt catch this thread from the jump. i knew he had a strong bounce back earlier but didnt know he was -19u at one point. do you know if he had similar results last season or if that was the complete opposite (result wise)

Last year it floated around even until May. Then it took off and never looked back. I don't believe it ever reached negative double digits.

funnyb25 · 06-18-16, 11:44 AM

We could break even between last season and this season

44 Mag · 06-18-16, 11:50 AM

[QUOTE=unusialsusp5;25890174]just pick your own games. stay away from lines over -140. try to go 2-1 everyday and then worry about collecting from offshore with this bit coin nonsense. or just leave it in so you can bet continually till the end of time. best method. all this worrying and wondering if you can get the same lines as LT (you can't) and confusion over bit coin daily value moves will wear you down mentally. if you can't figure out who the better teams are or which pitcher is doing better by yourself then you shouldn't be betting period.[/QUOTE]

TOUCHE'

DigBick86 · 06-18-16, 11:55 AM

tailing the over in jays-o´s

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:19 PM

Originally posted by Rigbone

Any thoughts on the M's today? Noticed Boston was not on the 60%ers with a large line like that.

Just added them

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:20 PM

2 MLB Additions

6 MLB Plays Saturday

Diamondbacks / Phillies UNDER 7 +105 (Heritage)
Blue Jays / Orioles OVER 9.5 -115 (Heritage)
Mariners +158 (Heritage)
Angels / Athletics UNDER 8.5 +100 (Heritage)
Marlins -127 (Heritage)
Tigers / Royals OVER 9 +105 (Heritage)

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:22 PM

Originally posted by MMA_Oracle

@LT last season, were you ever down around 17u or are you just having terrible luck this year?

also, could i get your model number on Yankees/Twins point total please?

Yankees total 8.0

funnyb25 · 06-18-16, 12:24 PM

What you know about Sampson? Same info as Urias first 3 starts? lol

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:25 PM

Originally posted by unusialsusp5

just pick your own games. stay away from lines over -140. try to go 2-1 everyday and then worry about collecting from offshore with this bit coin nonsense. or just leave it in so you can bet continually till the end of time. best method. all this worrying and wondering if you can get the same lines as LT (you can't) and confusion over bit coin daily value moves will wear you down mentally. if you can't figure out who the better teams are or which pitcher is doing better by yourself then you shouldn't be betting period.

Well, you CAN if you bet shortly after I post and have the -105 option at Heritage

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:26 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

We could break even between last season and this season

Bite your tongue

funnyb25 · 06-18-16, 12:34 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

What you know about Sampson? Same info as Urias first 3 starts? lol

Guy hasnt even been that good in AAA and now he is getting called up to start @ Fenway...good lord this might be VERY ugly

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:39 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

What you know about Sampson? Same info as Urias first 3 starts? lol

Urias has been fine last 3 starts, I wouldn't worry about him.

Sampson was impressive at Triple-A, 61 strikeouts vs. 12 walks, 1.16 WHIP. ERA was 3.25, but that is not as meaningful as the K/BB ratio. Also he has increased his strikeouts per nine inning by more than two per game (4.74 to 6.83) over the last two years and is still only 23 years old.

funnyb25 · 06-18-16, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Urias has been fine last 3 starts, I wouldn't worry about him.

Sampson was impressive at Triple-A, 61 strikeouts vs. 12 walks, 1.16 WHIP. ERA was 3.25, but that is not as meaningful as the K/BB ratio. Also he has increased his strikeouts per nine inning by more than two per game (4.74 to 6.83) over the last two years and is still only 23 years old.

Do you factor in he is making his debut @ FENWAY..... this isnt like he is being called up against the Phillies

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:41 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Guy hasnt even been that good in AAA

Based on what?

LT Profits · 06-18-16, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by funnyb25

Do you factor in he is making his debut @ FENWAY..... this isnt like he is being called up against the Phillies

Park factors are factored into to model and I still only get Boston 58% (-138), although a lot of that obviously has to do with Porcello too. And while the Boston offense graded out 9% better overall (no surprise), that difference is only 2% vs. righties. Probably has to do with Seattle hitting in a pitchers park at home.

NardVa · 06-18-16, 01:21 PM

I want to back Seattle, but I feel like LT is the curse. What do I do?

funnyb25 · 06-18-16, 01:25 PM

Originally posted by NardVa

I want to back Seattle, but I feel like LT is the curse. What do I do?

I've already explained my reasons why i tail LT on every baseball play going back to 5 years ago...the 1 time I stopped tailing he racked off 45 units in like 3 weeks...then i got back on board and he lost 30 units in a couple months...ever since then it all or nothing...just hoping for a turn around before i lose all my profits. At the end of the day it's ME who submits the wager, i just like giving LT shit...I'm the first to congratualte him on his successes as well though which most only comment on the shit. We just havent had any success for a while......lol