1. 04-04-16 01:12 AM #1
    keel44
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    Keel's MLB Money Management Powerhouse 2016

    I am all about money management. I have devised a parlay strategy that has proven to be a winner. I have profited some very good units in all 3 major sports since July 2014. I have posted all of my plays on this website and in the spreadsheet option. I post everyday and I see no signs of slowing down.

    I put my plays and money management out there and if you want to tail, you will most likely make money.




    Here is the magical recipe:

    I will be making mostly 2 team parlays. The parlays must payout a minimum of 2.24 to 1. I need to hit 3 of these parlays in a row. Here is the outline of what I will be doing:

    Parlay A: Risk 1 to win 2.24
    Parlay B: Risk 2.24 to win 5.02
    Parlay C: Risk 7.26 to win 16.26

    You get a 23.52 to 1 scenario.



    I will set a profit target and CHASE that 23.52 to 1 scenario until I win all 3 parlays or the 50 unit bankroll runs out.

    So I will be gunning for a 10 unit profit. You take 10 units and divide by 23.52. This is the amount you risk for parlay A. (0.425)

    *1 unit always equals 2% of the total starting bankroll

    If you look closely, you will notice that we only chase "A" bet losers. Parlays B and C are "presses" from previous winnings. So bets rise very slowly after "A" bet losers and bets rise dramatically after parlay wins.
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  2. 04-04-16 01:26 AM #2
    keel44
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    There will be long droughts of losing. You need patience. You could wait 6 weeks or more before I bring home the bacon. I try my best to wrap up these chases as quickly as possible.

    Let's look at my track record since July 23 2014. That is when I started using my money management strategy.

    Since July 23 2014: +140.46 (2.24 units pending) with all 761 plays documented on this website and on this website's spreadsheet in real time.

    MLB 2014: +34.79
    NFL 2014: +10
    NBA 2014-15: +22.13
    MLB 2015: +15.20
    NFL 2015: +13
    NBA 2015-16: +45.34 (2.24 units pending)

    * Units are 2% of a total bankroll

    These results sound good to me. I can't ask for more. Also consider the average units risked is 1.09 units.



    Here are the previous threads: Starting on post #252 of the baseball

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/baseball-betting/2847610-keels-baseball-action-p8.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ay-system.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ay-system.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ay-system.html

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post24438307

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...l#post24715987

    http://keel44.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/
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  3. 04-04-16 10:35 AM #3
    keel44
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    I will target a profit of 10 units. 10/23.52 = 0.425 as my opening risk amount



    April 4

    Parlay 01-A: Reds OVER 7.5 with Mariners (0.42 to win 1.23)
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  4. 04-04-16 10:21 PM #4
    keel44
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    April 4

    Parlay 01-A: Reds OVER 7.5 with Mariners (0.42 to win 1.23)

    Baseball is back......Mariners allow 1 hit and lose ???
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  5. 04-05-16 12:05 PM #5
    keel44
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    April 5

    Parlay 02-A: Cubs with Mariners UNDER 9 (0.44 to win 1.04)

    We take 0.42 loss and add it to our profit target of 10. 10.42 / 23.52 = 0.44.
    0.44 is the new risk amount.
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  6. 04-05-16 10:13 PM #6
    keel44
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    April 5

    Parlay 02-A: Cubs with Mariners UNDER 9 (0.44 to win 1.04)
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  7. 04-06-16 10:45 AM #7
    keel44
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    April 6

    Parlay 03-A: Giants with Pirates (0.46 to win 1.08)
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  8. 04-06-16 10:20 PM #8
    keel44
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    April 6

    Parlay 03-A: Giants with Pirates (0.46 to win 1.08)
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  9. 04-06-16 10:22 PM #9
    iloseagain
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    1 for 2. 1 for 2. 1 for 2.. Bad luck to start.. You will hit one soon.. I parlayed Oak with LAD.. Need Oak to hang on to this small lead
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  10. 04-07-16 11:02 AM #10
    keel44
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    April 7

    Parlay 04-A: Dodgers with Cubs (0.48 to win 1.19)
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  11. 04-07-16 10:14 PM #11
    keel44
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    April 7

    Parlay 04-A: Dodgers with Cubs (0.48 to win 1.19)
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  12. 04-08-16 12:15 PM #12
    keel44
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    April 8

    Parlay 05-A: Cubs with Giants (0.50 to win 1.13)
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  13. 04-09-16 12:43 AM #13
    keel44
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    April 8

    Parlay 05-A: Cubs with Giants (0.50 to win 1.13)

    Very tough start of the season....
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  14. 04-09-16 11:43 AM #14
    keel44
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    April 9

    Parlay 06-A: Pirates with Cubs UNDER 8 (0.52 to win 1.30)
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  15. 04-09-16 12:49 PM #15
    fitguy67
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    i like the adjustment you've made from a base-play of +100 (small dog) leading to a 48x jackpot
    to a base-play of -125 (small fave) leading to a 23.52 jackpot

    will cut down considerably on the (often ultra-painful) "waiting time" between jackpots
    ____________

    i missed that sweet 6-bagger to end the NBA project, so i'll be watching this thread like a hawk!
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  16. 04-09-16 10:22 PM #16
    keel44
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    April 9

    Parlay 06-A: Pirates with Cubs UNDER 8 (0.52 to win 1.30)

    This is starting to get ridiculous.... 1-1 for 6 straight days.... I can't find the ears they say.
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  17. 04-10-16 12:01 PM #17
    keel44
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    April 10

    Parlay 07-A: Pirates with Cubs UNDER 8 (0.54 to win 1.39)
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  18. 04-10-16 12:46 PM #18
    swordsandtequila
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  19. 04-10-16 10:13 PM #19
    keel44
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    April 10

    Parlay 07-A: Pirates with Cubs UNDER 8 (0.54 to win 1.39)
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  20. 04-11-16 11:27 AM #20
    keel44
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    April 11

    Parlay 08-A: Athletics with White Sox (0.56 to win 1.26)
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  21. 04-11-16 12:04 PM #21
    MoMoney2
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    Just curious, with this system, how many units are you currently down?
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  22. 04-11-16 05:57 PM #22
    fitguy67
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    new sport just begun, first project just started a few posts above this one...

    take a few seconds to manually add up all the 8 risk amounts so far (all lost) to answer your question

    post #1 at the top of this page addresses all previous projects over 3 different sports over the last few years (all completed successfully) as well as explains the unique configuration of this system

    figuring out what's going on in one of these Keel threads is a lot like learning to play the board game "Monopoly"...read the small handful of posts above this on this page of course but mostly just pay attention as the new A "attempts" unfold...the real fun begins when an A hits and we go into the BC phase which is a lot like "one and one" free throws in basketball...in essence, hitting an A-parlay buys a free entry for the BC round where you have to hit two more parlays in a row (thus 3 parlays in a row!) before the project is completed...till then it's nothing but tiny (and slowly escalating) losses from attempts that ended with failure at either the A, or B, or C stage...

    patience is required and you can't "nervous nelly" obsess over "how many units are we down?" after each of the many unsuccessful attempts...cuz when you finally make it through the ABC three-consecutive-parlay gauntlet the net 10u=20% of project's bankroll "jackpot" makes all the waiting worthwhile

    not for everyone but if you decide to stick around, welcome aboard the coolest thread on sbr
    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-11-16 at 07:16 PM.
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  23. 04-11-16 10:24 PM #23
    keel44
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    I guess you could say the draw downs are quite huge. The bankroll is in the negative about 99% of the time. I have needed every bit of the 50 unit bankroll in the past, but I like to think BIG picture.

    Can I get just a little bit hot in about 6/7 weeks of plays? If I can't, I don't deserve to have the bankroll anyways.
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  24. 04-12-16 12:33 PM #24
    keel44
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    April 11

    Parlay 08-A: Athletics with White Sox (0.56 to win 1.26)
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  25. 04-12-16 12:51 PM #25
    keel44
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    April 12

    I am down 3.92. Add my profit target of 10. 13.92 divided by 23.52 = 0.59 is the new risk amount


    Parlay 09-A: D-Backs with Marlins +1.5 (0.59 to win 1.52)

    * stay tuned for plays later
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  26. 04-12-16 08:56 PM #26
    keel44
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    No plays for the rest of the night......go Marlins
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  27. 04-12-16 10:44 PM #27
    keel44
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    April 12


    Parlay 09-A: D-Backs with Marlins +1.5 (0.59 to win 1.52)
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  28. 04-13-16 11:30 AM #28
    keel44
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    April 13

    Parlay 09-B: Nationals -1.5 with Indians (1.52 to win 4.07)
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  29. 04-13-16 11:56 AM #29
    skyscrapers
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    Keel do you play listed pitchers or action?
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  30. 04-13-16 01:01 PM #30
    fitguy67
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    Last edited by fitguy67; 04-14-16 at 12:33 AM.
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  31. 04-13-16 10:24 PM #31
    keel44
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    April 13

    Parlay 09-B: Nationals -1.5 with Indians (1.52 to win 1.38)

    The Indians were -110. This is a straight bet winner. The Nationals had a pitching change so my RL bet was nullified. I always choose "action". Over/Under and Run Line bets make me have "Listed." So this bet will be pressed into another straight bet with the hopes to close out this "B" bet.
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  32. 04-14-16 11:47 AM #32
    keel44
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    April 14

    Parlay 09-B: Indians with Astros (1.52 to win 3.62)

    *This is a straight bet on the Astros (-129). Risk 2.9 to win 2.24. The Indians (-110) won last night so you add 1.52 and 1.38 = 2.9
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  33. 04-14-16 10:09 PM #33
    keel44
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    April 14

    Parlay 09-B: Indians with Astros (1.52 to win 3.62)
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  34. 04-15-16 11:46 AM #34
    keel44
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    April 15

    Parlay 10-A: Yankees with Rockies +1.5 (0.59 to win 1.57)

    * I might have a play later
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  35. 04-15-16 08:51 PM #35
    keel44
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    April 15

    Parlay 10-A: Yankees with Rockies +1.5 (0.59 to win 1.57)

    No play on the late games......
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