on3's MLB 2015 Opening Day System Thread

**alexknyc** · 08-21-15, 04:42 PM

Miami closed at -151 and won. Unofficial bets are now 4-1.

**on3** · 08-22-15, 11:39 AM

(C) BAL and NYY both to win 58

**on3** · 08-24-15, 11:53 AM

UPDATED for 08/24/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 111-7; Profit: +31.16 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 4-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 76-42; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-21; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 14-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
20-22-24-24
29-30-29-29
30-x-35-38

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/24/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
none
SEA unofficial

Filtered
none

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-24-15, 06:33 PM

NYY became eligible if you can get them live to win 44

**on3** · 08-25-15, 12:26 PM

i graded NYY as a win to win 20

UPDATED for 08/25/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 112-7; Profit: +32.16 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 4-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 77-42; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-21; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 14-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
15-17-19-19
29-30-29-29
30-x-35-38

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/25/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) WAS - 173 to win 36
watch out for TB, currently -138 to win 34 if they become eligible
SEA unofficial (B) bet

Filtered
none

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-26-15, 05:20 PM

no plays today

**on3** · 08-28-15, 11:26 AM

UPDATED for 08/28/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 113-7; Profit: +33.96 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 6-1-0; Profit: +2.56 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 78-42; 4-2
Game 2 (B) win = 21-21; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 14-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
22-23-22-22-22
20-x-x-20
30-x-35-38

Filtered labby
x-29-x-x

REGULAR FOR 08/28/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) WAS -265/-115 to win 23 -- play RL
(A) PIT -253/-101 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) LAD -225/+110 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) TOR -195/+100 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) NYM -200/+115 to win 22 -- play RL

Filtered
(A) TOR -195/+100 to win 29 -- play RL

5/2
None

**on3** · 08-29-15, 08:14 AM

(B) WAS and NYM, to win 32 each, both play RL

**on3** · 08-31-15, 04:09 PM

UPDATED for 08/31/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 118-7; Profit: +37.26 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 7-1-0; Profit: +4.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 81-44; 6-2
Game 2 (B) win = 22-22; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 15-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
22-22-22-22-22-22
x-x-x-15
x-x-18-23

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 08/31/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) ATL -152 to win 22
(A) NYM -205/+110 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) CHC -200/+102 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) LAD -149 to win 22
(A) TOR -215/+100 to win 22 -- play RL
(A) HOU -230/-110 to win 22 -- play RL

Filtered
(A) CHC -200/+102 to win 20 -- play RL

5/2
None

**on3** · 09-01-15, 01:21 PM

UPDATED for 09/1/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 121-7; Profit: +38.36 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 7-1-0; Profit: +4.06 units
5/2 chase: 1-1-0; profit: -13.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 84-46; 6-2
Game 2 (B) win = 22-22; 0-2; 0-2
Game 3 (C) win = 15-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
22-26-x-x
x-33-33-33
x-x-18-23

Filtered labby
10-10-10-10-20

REGULAR FOR 09/1/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) CHC -147 to win 33
(B) TOR -195/+100 to win 33 -- play RL
(A) KC -162 to win 26

Filtered
(B) CHC -147 to win 30

5/2
CHC -147 to win 100

**on3** · 09-01-15, 03:40 PM

ATL was NOT a play yesterday and not a play today. i adjusted the post, sorry for the error.

**imotiv8** · 09-02-15, 10:13 AM

Here's the JM College Football Thread from 2010 , as you'll see it went well till the end of the season. I would say its only good half maybe 3/4 the season. If yal want we can pick it back up again on this same thread i think or i can start a new one

JM-like COLLEGE SYSTEM

**on3** · 09-02-15, 01:47 PM

UPDATED for 9/2/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 123-7; Profit: +39.56 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 8-1-0; Profit: +5.56 units
5/2 chase: 2-1-0; profit: -8.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 84-47; 6-3
Game 2 (B) win = 24-22; 1-2; 1-2
Game 3 (C) win = 15-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
22-26-21-x
x-x-21-33
x-x-18-23

Filtered labby
x-10-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 09/2/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(B) KC -200/+100 to win 54 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 09-03-15, 12:48 PM

UPDATED for 9/3/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 124-7; Profit: +42.26 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 8-1-0; Profit: +5.56 units
5/2 chase: 2-1-0; profit: -8.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 84-47; 6-3
Game 2 (B) win = 25-22; 1-2; 1-2
Game 3 (C) win = 15-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
29-29-x-x
x-x-x-10
x-x-18-23

Filtered labby
x-10-10-10-x

REGULAR FOR 09/3/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) WAS -245/-115 to win 29 -- play RL

Filtered
none

5/2
none

**on3** · 09-03-15, 11:22 PM

UPDATED for 9/4/2015
System(s) record Chase:
Regular system: 125-7; Profit: +43.76 units (MIA -4.53 units, HOU -6.15 units, NYY -9.59 units, CHI -1.89 units 1 game, PHI -8.18 units, SF -12.2 units, CHI ??? units, BAL -8.9 units)
Filtered System: 8-1-0; Profit: +5.56 units
5/2 chase: 2-1-0; profit: -8.17 units
Unofficial (teams that don't meet the post-All-Star .500 filter): 5-1

Records: (regular, filtered, 5/2)
Game 1 (A) win = 85-47; 6-3
Game 2 (B) win = 25-22; 1-2; 1-2
Game 3 (C) win = 15-7; 1-1; 1-1

Labby Line
20-20-20-20-20-20
x-x-x-10
x-x-18-23

Filtered labby
x-10-10-10-10

REGULAR FOR 09/4/2015
(for lines close to -145, wait closer to game time before placing action to ensure that the play is official)
(A) CHC -205/+100 to win 20 -- play RL
(A) NYY - 160 to win 20
(A) TOR -180 to win 20
(A) KC -195/??? to win 20 -- play RL
(A) HOU -173 to win 20
(A) BOS-180 to win 20
if lines go above -190, play RL
watch out STL -140, LAA -140 to win 20 if they qualify

Filtered
(A) TOR -180 to win 20
(A) BOS-180 to win 20
if lines go above -190, play RL

5/2
none

**on3** · 09-03-15, 11:23 PM

someone please double check my plays since i had to post in a hurry. thanks in advance.

**imotiv8** · 09-05-15, 09:15 AM

Originally posted by on3

someone please double check my plays since i had to post in a hurry. thanks in advance.

Looks good...LAA & STL ended up as plays

**on3** · 09-05-15, 09:55 AM

TOR RL/KC/STL to win 32 each

Filtered
TOR RL filtered to win 30

5/2
TOR to win 100 (rules say play ml, I'm playing -1 since the juice is heavy)

**on3** · 09-06-15, 12:05 PM

(C) KC RL to win 52

**on3** · 09-07-15, 11:37 AM

Can someone post the plays for today for me? Thanks

**imotiv8** · 09-07-15, 01:21 PM

bottom 2 maybe unofficial

STL (watch line)
WAS runline
NYY
KC
CWS
SD

**J.M. Disciple** · 09-08-15, 01:14 AM

Do we stop the season early? I think last season had a rough patch at the end also.

**imotiv8** · 09-08-15, 02:00 PM

B bets

stl
was
kc
cws
sd

**on3** · 09-08-15, 05:13 PM

SD is unofficial since they are sub .500. CWS barely scrapes by. sorry for not being able to make full posts these past couple days. thanks imotiv8

**J.M. Disciple** · 09-09-15, 12:47 AM

3-2 day not bad. Missed out on small profit. Who you all following for football? I won't have time for half time bets like last year. Considering just following crusher.

**imotiv8** · 09-09-15, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by J.M. Disciple

3-2 day not bad. Missed out on small profit. Who you all following for football? I won't have time for half time bets like last year. Considering just following crusher.

I'll be following On3's JM & Modified System. I'm also gonna start the JM College System again this year (could use some help keeping up with all the plays) http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ge-system.html

**on3** · 09-09-15, 12:26 PM

(C) WAS and STL to win 60

**on3** · 09-10-15, 05:34 PM

with that last loss, i think it's time to call the season. any thoughts otherwise? if not, i will post a final tally this weekend.

**bocajuniorska** · 09-10-15, 07:11 PM

do u guys think its less value to bet in the end of the season?

**imotiv8** · 09-10-15, 09:27 PM

Originally posted by on3

with that last loss, i think it's time to call the season. any thoughts otherwise? if not, i will post a final tally this weekend.

I agree

**on3** · 09-11-15, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by bocajuniorska

do u guys think its less value to bet in the end of the season?

i think the lines are skewed to play on public perception of "this team has to win to make the postseason". so with lines artificially inflated it creates a kink in the system. i think post-Sept 1 fading the system might be a profitable venture.

**Coach Potato** · 09-15-15, 03:58 PM

just wanted to say thanks 4 posting this season. made some change off of ur C plays

**J.M. Disciple** · 09-20-15, 01:35 AM

do you have final #s this season on3?

**sportscreep1** · 03-23-16, 01:47 PM

Is there a new thread for 2016 yet??

**on3** · 04-04-16, 12:26 PM

2015 numbers

final unit count regular system +41.01 units
filtered system +6.26 units
5-2 system -3.71 units