1. #2801
    RollinDo
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    Man...guess I worry too much about my +420 bet on SF to win NL.
    Every time I bet vs Giants in playoffs I lose...0-4 now.
    Just going to bet Cards series (hope it's +120 or better) and just bet on each game...well, I would have bet Cards regardless tonight.
    O's hurting me too...will be betting KC next 2-3 games.
    I have Orioles +170 and +190 for series to go 6 games...Both are probably toast, but if O's can get the next game, who knows?

    Hey - at least we hot the Under in Cards game.

  2. #2802
    Tommy Karate
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    Sunday 10.12

    (2u) Cards -130
    (4u) Under Cards/Giants 6.5)
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 10-12-14 at 07:10 PM.

  3. #2803
    44 Mag
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    I hope it is not 100 degrees. For your sake. LOL.

  4. #2804
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    I hope it is not 100 degrees. For your sake. LOL.
    good night for pitchers;

    MOSTLY CLOUDY, 30% CHANCE LIGHT SHOWERS. WIND RIGHT TO LEFT 4-9. GAME TEMP 60, RH 83%

  5. #2805
    Tommy Karate
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    what is lynn doing throwing all fastballs? i realize he doesnt have a big arsenal, but you cant survive in this league with a 94mph 4 seamer...

  6. #2806
    Pauulzcappin
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    ugh, thought we had this game in the bag

  7. #2807
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    ugh, thought we had this game in the bag
    yeah...hopefully i at least get the cards but the bigger play was under....waited too long to book and was never able to get 7

  8. #2808
    RollinDo
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    Under usually solid play with these 2 pitchers this season.
    Probably an Under in next couple games in SF.
    I put in wager for Cards to win series for +170 yesterday.
    So regardless of who wins series will be alright.
    Still rather have Giants...would win 2x as much.

  9. #2809
    RollinDo
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    Going with Royals for Gm3.

  10. #2810
    Pauulzcappin
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    royals and over are my leans. like the over a bit more.

  11. #2811
    RollinDo
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    Royals plus $ now on 5Dimes.

  12. #2812
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by RollinDo View Post
    Going with Royals for Gm3.
    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    royals and over are my leans. like the over a bit more.
    i went orioles.....too long of a layoff for guthrie since his last start.

  13. #2813
    Tommy Karate
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    Monday 10.13

    (3u) Orioles -105

  14. #2814
    Tommy Karate
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    rosenthal blew the win in the 9th?? i went to bed after seeing 4-3 on espn..
    exactly why i said i was backing SF - im glad SL came back for the win, but feeling even better now about SF long term.

  15. #2815
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    i went orioles.....too long of a layoff for guthrie since his last start.
    So TK, wouldn't over be the way to go here???

  16. #2816
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by 44 Mag View Post
    So TK, wouldn't over be the way to go here???
    the umpire joe west hits overs at a ridiculous rate this season; other then that, nothing really entices me to play over. guthrie may last 5inn, but then the bullpens step in and thats not a good thing for the over..
    i lean under but prob nothing on the total..

  17. #2817
    Tommy Karate
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    Tuesday 10.14

    (3u) Giants -120

  18. #2818
    44 Mag
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    the umpire joe west hits overs at a ridiculous rate this season; other then that, nothing really entices me to play over. guthrie may last 5inn, but then the bullpens step in and thats not a good thing for the over..
    i lean under but prob nothing on the total..
    OK, hear you brother, but what about Chen ??? Giving up 5 runs in 3.2/3 innings vs. Tigers, and his 12.27 ERA in the playoffs, albeit, I think it was just that game ???

  19. #2819
    Pauulzcappin
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    over is probably the best play. i hate both of these pitchers but chen can actually pitch despite a shitty showing against the tigers.

  20. #2820
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    Playoffs Week 1: 9-10 (-32.15u) ~ Futures Recorded (Indians -1u; Orioles +3.3u)
    M3: 1-1 (-1.2u)
    M5: 0-2
    Miller_0-1
    Guccione_0-1
    Non-Auto: 9-10 (-29.15u)

    ------------------------------------------------
    MLB YTD : 769-683 (+61.9u)
    M1: 25-25 (+20.4u) - Tracked off 3u per play
    M2: 2-1 (+2.7u) - Tracked off 3u per play
    M3: 28-28 (-44.6u) - Tracked off 12u per play
    M4: 63-55 (-10.95u) - Tracked off 3u per play

    M5: 151-148
    Culbreth_15-13
    Winters_9-5
    Iassogna_18-11
    Kulpa_18-12
    Cuzzi_13-13
    Hudson_13-16
    Guccione_9-20
    Barksdale_15-15
    Baker_14-14
    Miller_15-15
    Bellino_12-14

    Non Auto: 534-467 (+92.95u)
    Playoffs Week 2: 6-5 (+8.15u) ~ Futures Recorded (Cards +3.6u)
    M3: 1-0 (+12u)
    M5: 2-0
    Cuzzi_1-0
    Hudson_1-0

    Non Auto: 4-5 (-5.85u)
    ==================================
    MLB YTD : 775-688 (+70.05u)
    M1: 25-25 (+20.4u) - Tracked off 3u per play
    M2: 2-1 (+2.7u) - Tracked off 3u per play
    M3: 29-28 (-32.6u) - Tracked off 12u per play
    M4: 63-55 (-10.95u) - Tracked off 3u per play

    M5: 153-148
    Culbreth_15-13
    Winters_9-5
    Iassogna_18-11
    Kulpa_18-12
    Cuzzi_14-13
    Hudson_14-16
    Guccione_9-20
    Barksdale_15-15
    Baker_14-14
    Miller_15-15
    Bellino_12-14

    Non Auto: 538-472 (+87.1u)
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 10-13-14 at 03:28 PM.

  21. #2821
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Tommy Karate View Post
    Tuesday 10.14

    (3u) Giants -120
    (1u) Over Giants 7

  22. #2822
    msads
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    good luck

  23. #2823
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by msads View Post
    good luck
    you too

  24. #2824
    Tommy Karate
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    gotta love lackey in the day and the cards w/o molina

  25. #2825
    Tommy Karate
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    i didnt want to post this in another thread for the views in PT, but this is for mitch who cried that i had a bad 15 game stretch.
    this is why you should never believe anyone who says sports cant be beat long term, or that "math models" are the only way to go. its all bullshit; my style is situational automated plays (similar to algo trading); my big bets for the most part, are known before the season starts; my way is not the only way, or the magical formula, but it works for me.

    Its also no coincidence that im better at pro sports, where i know all the players/teams inside out. You do need to know sports and not just gamble based on statistics, math etc...


    MLB 2011: +193u
    MLB 2012: -33u
    MLB 2013: Even
    MLB 2014: +70u

    MLB Total: +230u

    ======================
    NCAAB 2011: -95u
    NCAAB 2012: -3u
    NCAAB 2013: +50u

    NCAAB Total: -48u
    =======================
    NCAAF 2011: +29u
    NCAAF 2012: -58u
    NCAAF 2013: -32u
    NCAAF 2014: -15u

    NCAAF Total: -76u

    =====================
    NFL 2011: +8u
    NFL 2012: +38u
    NFL 2013: +21u (went the other way on super sunday and lost 35u on denver, instead of +10u on seattle - should have been +70u)
    NFL 2014: +10u

    NFL Total: +77u

    ====================
    NBA 2011: +99u
    NBA 2012: +24u

    NBA 2013: -4u

    NBA Total: +119u
    ====================

    Just ask if you need a link to any of these threads.
    Last edited by Tommy Karate; 10-14-14 at 05:44 PM.

  26. #2826
    Tommy Karate
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    why is hudson pitching in the 7th with this bullpen, and how he pitched in the 6th??

    the veteran completely choked in a big game...

  27. #2827
    Pauulzcappin
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    dexter, have you considered just simply not playing college at all?

    you seem to do very well in all pro sports.

  28. #2828
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by Pauulzcappin View Post
    dexter, have you considered just simply not playing college at all?

    you seem to do very well in all pro sports.
    of course, but it will likely never happen....i enjoy gambling on them too much. i do feel confident in college hoops off last year, but college football i never seem to figure out. bowl season always kills me....

  29. #2829
    1Time!
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    Did Bochy really leave Hudson in there to face the Cards lineup a 3rd time????
    5th worst OBP in the whole damn competition when doing so!!!!!

  30. #2830
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1Time! View Post
    Did Bochy really leave Hudson in there to face the Cards lineup a 3rd time????
    5th worst OBP in the whole damn competition when doing so!!!!!
    i dont get it....not with this bullpen

  31. #2831
    Tommy Karate
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    ship it...

  32. #2832
    GT21Megatron
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    Tommys thread was lights out when the college hoops tourneys started...crushed it

    are the Orioles an auto play?

  33. #2833
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by GT21Megatron View Post
    Tommys thread was lights out when the college hoops tourneys started...crushed it

    are the Orioles an auto play?
    no its not...

  34. #2834
    1Time!
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    Relying on the O's to cash a nice double with the Giants.
    Preferably less of a sweat than the Giants would be nice for once..........

  35. #2835
    Tommy Karate
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    Quote Originally Posted by 1Time! View Post
    Relying on the O's to cash a nice double with the Giants.
    Preferably less of a sweat than the Giants would be nice for once..........
    i thought they would hit guthrie more then this....

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