🩸 Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips Prediction, Picks & Odds: Superior Cardio Key to Jourdain's Victory

Charles Jourdain has looked like a new man since dropping down to bantamweight and now gets a chance to shine.
Charles Jourdain celebrates, and he's key as we look at our Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain prediction.
Pictured: Charles Jourdain celebrates, and he's key as we look at our Kyler Phillips vs. Charles Jourdain prediction. Photo by Perry Nelson / Imagn.
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Canada's Charles "Air" Jourdain will try to defend national pride today at UFC Winnipeg when he tangles with American Kyler Phillips in the night's co-main event. I'm backing Jourdain in my UFC Fight Night betting preview, and he sits as the -140 favorite in the UFC Fight Night odds.

My best Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips prediction breaks down why Jourdain should earn a hard-fought victory, and why betting the Over on total rounds is the safest option.

The action will stream on Paramount+, with the early prelims starting at 5:00 p.m. ET, followed by main card action at 9 p.m. ET.


🩸 Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips predictions: UFC Fight Night

See all of our UFC picks for this weekend's fights; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.

Market Pick Odds Confidence Bet size
Pick to win Charles Jourdain -140 via DraftKings ⭐⭐⭐ 1.4u to win 1u
Method of victory Decision +200 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐ 1u to win 2u
Best bet Over 2.5 Total Rounds -168 via FanDuel ⭐⭐⭐⭐ 5.04u units to win 3u

Total wagered: 7.44 units | Max profit: 6 units


💰 Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips best bet: Over 2.5 rounds (-168)

Jourdain is definitely a potent finisher capable of ending fights early, but his opponent Phillips has never been knocked out or submitted in four career losses.

In fact, Phillips' matches have gone to the judges' scorecards in six of his last seven fights, with the only finish coming midway into the third round versus an opponent he was a heavy favourite against.

Phillips knows he doesn't want to get dragged into a chaotic firefight with Jourdain, so expect him to wrestle lots in an attempt to slow the pace down. Both guys are tough, durable, and good enough to take what the other man throws at them. The fight will be entertaining, but it's going over 2.5 total rounds.


🆚 Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips fight preview

Check our best UFC betting sites for the latest odds for this fight.

Jourdain has looked in career-best form since making the move down to the 135-pound division, winning two straight fights by way of submission and establishing himself as one of the division's potential dark-horse contenders. He was always known for his flashy striking and high-paced attack, but opponents can no longer rely on just outmuscling him now at his proper weight class.

Meanwhile, cardio issues have historically plagued Phillips, often losing rounds two and three after starting well. This matchup will be a classic case of Phillips wrestling hard in the first round and winning early, before falling apart under Jourdain's high volume and pace in the second half of the fight.

Prediction: Charles Jourdain to win (-140 via Draft Kings)


💡 How I'm handicapping Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips

As far as predicting a straight-up winner, this is a tough fight to call. Both guys possess plenty of merit and a clear path to victory, which makes getting confident from a betting standpoint a bit difficult.

I'm going with some small action on the Jourdain moneyline and for him to win by decision. But I'm investing much more aggressively on the Over 2.5 rounds with a five-unit bet, as I feel it should hit regardless of which fighter gets his hand raised.


📊 Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips odds

Odds via BetMGM; subject to change.

Charles Jourdain Kyler Phillips
-140 Win outright +120
+450 Win by KO/TKO/DQ +650
+500 Win by submission +750
+170 Win by decision +275
Over: -168 Over/Under 2.5 rounds Under: +132

⚖️ Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips tale of the tape

Charles Jourdain Kyler Phillips
30 Age 30
5-foot-9 Height 5-foot-8
135 lbs Weight 135 lbs
69" Reach 72"
17-8-1 Record 12-4
8 Wins by KO 5
7 Wins by submission 2
0/0 Head-to-head 0/0

📺 How to watch Charles Jourdain vs. Kyler Phillips: UFC Fight Night

  • Date: Saturday, April 18
  • Time: 5:00 p.m. ET
  • Location: Canada Life Centre (Winnipeg)
  • TV: Paramount+

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