NHL Predictions Today: Odds, Picks & Best Bets for Saturday (Nov. 14)
A loaded 14-game NHL slate offers plenty of options for my NHL predictions today. Saturday's board features three forwards to fade in the player points betting market.
My favorite player prop is on Flames forward Matt Coronato, who faces a tough defensive team in the Kings, led by goaltender Anton Forsberg. Other players to fade on Saturday's slate include Capitals forward Tom Wilson and Bruins forward Fraser Minten.
NHL predictions today: Nov. 14
See all of our experts’ NHL picks based on the latest NHL odds.
| Player | Bet | Odds | Bet size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fraser Minten, Bruins | Under 0.5 Points | (-165 via BetMGM) | 1.65 units to profit 1 unit |
| Tom Wilson, Capitals | Under 0.5 Points | (-120 via BetMGM) | 2.40 units to profit 2 units |
| Matt Coronato, Flames | Under 0.5 Points | (-105 via DraftKings) | 3.15 units to profit 3 units |
Picks submitted: Nov. 14 at 9 a.m. ET. Odds subject to change.
Total wagered: 7.20 units | Profit if all picks win: 6 units
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NHL best bet today
Matt Coronato Under 0.5 Points (-105 via DraftKings)
The Flames are on the road tonight against the Kings, where Coronato will face a tough assignment against Forsberg. He's allowed just two goals in four of his previous five starts.
Despite Coronato skating on the first attack line and primary powerplay unit, he's below average in his Corsi Score (CF%) at 48.9 percent. Coronato is lower in his Fenwick Score (FF%) at 47 percent.
These scores indicate whether a team is controlling possession of the puck, accounting for goals, SOG, and blocked shots, to determine the performance of the team when a player is on the ice. It explains why Coronato has only one point in his previous six appearances.
Bet on Matt Coronato Under 0.5 Points at -105 odds on DraftKings.
Play to: -125
⏰️ Set your alarm: Flames vs. Kings
- Puck drop: 10 p.m. ET
- Venue: crypto.com Arena (Los Angeles, Calif.)
- How to watch: ESPN+
More NHL picks & predictions
Tom Wilson Under 0.5 Points (-120 via BetMGM)
It's been a tough stretch for Wilson lately, producing only one point in his last 13 appearances. Tonight, he faces Connor Hellebuyck, one of the league's best goaltenders, who has allowed two goals in his last two combined starts for the Devils.
Wilson's Fenwick score (FF%) is barely above average at 50.7 percent. His Corsi score (CF%) is lower at 48.0 percent, which is more indicative of a player's short-term performance value.
The veteran forward plays on Washington's top powerplay unit and third attack line. However, his inability to contribute on scoring possessions, while facing a top-tier netminder, means he's likely to play another game without a point.
Go to BetMGM and bet Tom Wilson Under 0.5 Points at -120 odds.
Play to: -140
⏰️ Set your alarm: Devils vs. Capitals
- Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena (Washington, D.C.)
- How to watch: ESPN+
Fraser Minten Under 0.5 Points (-165 via BetMGM)
The Bruins face Jesper Wallstedt and the Wild tonight. Minnesota's goaltender is posting a stout 1.94 GAA with a 13-2-3 record as a starter, which is why we're fading Minten.
Minten has a 16:29 ATOI, skating on the Bruins' second attack line and back-up powerplay unit. The 22-year-old has netted six goals, including 12 points, although Wallstedt has allowed only four total goals across his past three starts for the Wild.
Minten's another forward with subpar Corsi and Fenwick scores. He ranks at 47.3 CF% and 46.4 FF%, indicating the Bruins are usually not in control of the puck when Minten is on the ice.
Stay on BetMGM to bet Fraser Minten Under 0.5 Points at -165 odds.
Play to: -170
⏰️ Set your alarm: Wild vs. Bruins
- Puck drop: 7 p.m. ET
- Venue: TD Garden (Boston, Mass.)
- How to watch: ESPN+
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