Saints vs. Browns Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 16: Is Total Too Low In Cleveland?
The Christmas Eve matchup between the Cleveland Browns and New Orleans Saints has one of the lowest NFL regular season totals in years. But is it too low? Read on for our top Saints-Browns pick based on the odds.
The Saints (5-9) are still in the playoff hunt after losing six of their last nine contests. New Orleans moved within a game of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the NFC South lead with last week's 21-18 victory over the Atlanta Falcons. That win was fifth straight game where the Saints allowed 20 points or less.
The Browns (6-8) are also still alive for a playoff berth, but Cleveland's bigger goal should be working quarterback Deshaun Watson into the offense and building towards next season. Watson averaged less than 190 passing yards in three games, including just 161 in a 13-3 win against the Baltimore Ravens.
Here is our best Saints vs. Browns NFL Week 16 pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our NFL Best Bets and all of our top NFL Picks for Week 16.
Saints vs. Browns Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Dec. 24, 1 p.m. ET
- TV: CBS
- Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
- Weather: 8 degrees, 0% chance of precipitation, 28 mph winds
Saints vs. Browns Odds
Saints vs. Browns Odds Analysis
Forecasts for extreme cold and windy conditions in Cleveland had a huge impact on the total, plummeting it down from an opener of 38 to as low as 31.5. It currently sits at 32. The Under is the popular bet, with 83% of the cash and 67% of the tickets.
The adjustment to the total hasn't result in much change to the spread. The line has held firm at Cleveland -3. The Browns are drawing 71% of the handle and 75% of tickets.
Saints vs. Browns Pick
Over 32 (-107) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
It’s no secret that cold and wind favors defense, but that’s more than accounted for in this total. If the game kicks off with a combined 32.5 points or less, it would be the lowest for an NFL regular season matchup in almost 15 years.
That adjustment is too much for two teams that prefer to run the ball and with conservative throws. The Saints rushed nearly twice as much as they passed in their victory over Atlanta, while Cleveland handed it off 33 times for 143 yards against a tough Baltimore run defense.
Neither team does a great job stopping the run. The Ravens gashed the Browns for 198 rushing yards, while New Orleans allows an average of 132.6 rushing yards per game this season, an NFL 23rd.
Saints vs. Browns Best Odds
PointsBet (-107)
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | PointsBet |
| 32 | 32.5 | 32 | 32 | 32 |
| -110/-110 | -105/-115 | -110/-110 | -110/-110 | -107/-107 |
Almost all sportsbooks have the total at 32, with PointsBet the best of those options at -107 on both sides. FanDuel is the great option if you're seeking a O32.5, offering -105 odds on that .
Saints-Browns pick made 12/21/2022 at 4:11 p.m. ET.
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