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Ravens vs. Browns Odds, Picks, Predictions Week 15: Quarterback Issues Could Lead to Defensive Struggle

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 17, 2022 7:46 AM EST • 2 min 35 sec read.

Deshaun Watson of the Cleveland Browns hands the ball off to D'Ernest Johnson against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Mike Carlson/Getty Images via AFP.
Deshaun Watson of the Cleveland Browns hands the ball off to D'Ernest Johnson against the Jacksonville Jaguars at TIAA Bank Field in Jacksonville, Florida. Photo by Mike Carlson/Getty Images via AFP.

The season is on the line for the Cleveland Browns, and they’ll need to top the AFC North Division-leading Baltimore Ravens on Saturday afternoon to keep their tenuous postseason hopes alive. Check out our top Ravens-Browns NFL picks.

Baltimore (9-4) is tied with the Cincinnati Bengals for first place in the division. The Ravens are coming off a 16-14 win over the Pittsburgh Steelers and are now 3-0 against AFC North rivals for the first time since 2016. 

Cleveland (5-8) suffered its first loss against Cincinnati under head coach Kevin Stefanski after winning each of the previous five. The Browns dropped to 0-5 when rushing for fewer than 150 yards after totaling 71 yards on the ground against the Bengals last week. 

Here is our best Ravens vs. Browns NFL pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 15.

Ravens vs. Browns Game Info

Date: Saturday, Dec. 17, 4:30 p.m. ET
TV: NFL Network
Location: FirstEnergy Stadium, Cleveland, OH
Weather: 33 degrees, 15% chance of precipitation, 17 mph SW wind

Ravens vs. Browns Odds

Ravens vs. Browns Odds Analysis

Cleveland opened as 3-point home favorites, but most sportsbooks have moved off that key number and have gone to 2.5. The betting action on the spread has been relatively even as of Saturday afternoon, with the Ravens receiving a slight majority of wagers, including 60% of the betting handle via DraftKings Sportsbook.

This total saw one of the biggest moves of any game in the Week 15 slate. The total opened at 40.5 and was bet down as low as 37 before rebounding to 38.5 in most spots as of Saturday afternoon. The Under has taken 56% of both the betting handle and tickets via DraftKings Sportsbook, which reveals there's been buyback on the Over late in the week.

Ravens vs. Browns Pick

Under 38.5 ⭐⭐⭐

Cleveland has scored just one offensive touchdown in two games with Deshaun Watson at quarterback. While last week’s 26-for-42 performance for a 60.1 Total QBR was more encouraging than the first week, where he turned in the worst QBR (28.5) of his career, it is still fair to say he is far from in midseason form. Conversely, Baltimore is starting its third different quarterback in three weeks if Tyler Huntley cannot clear concussion protocol in time for Saturday.

Regardless of who is under center, Baltimore will rely on a running game that has totaled 150-plus yards on the ground 10 times this season (most in the NFL), but one that the Browns could key on more without the threat of a downfield passing attack. Baltimore’s passing game struggled even under Lamar Jackson, as its 27 pass plays of 20-plus yards are the second-fewest in the league.

Since acquiring Roquan Smith in Week 9, the Ravens defense ranks first in yards per rush (2.8), first in third-down percentage (29%), and second in points per game (13.4). Baltimore has held four of its last five opponents to 14 or fewer points, and neither offense is likely to light up the scoreboard on a short week.

Ravens vs. Browns Best Odds

PointsBet (-107)

BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuelPointsBet
U 38.5 (-110)U 39 (-110)U 38.5 (-110)U 38.5 (-108)U 38.5 (-107)

For Under backers, PointsBet is the place to make this wager thanks to its notoriously generous -107 prices on NFL totals (though FanDuel is a close second here). The three-point move since the opening number likely had a lot to do with Huntley’s concussion last week, but with him having cleared the protocol ahead of Sunday, the total might rebound further before kickoff.

Ravens-Browns pick made 12/15/2022 at 6:23 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.