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Falcons vs. Saints Odds, Picks, Predictions: Who Will Win NFC South Clash?

Mike Spector

Last Updated: December 18, 2022 4:17 AM EST • 2 min read.

Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints runs for a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images via AFP.
Alvin Kamara of the New Orleans Saints runs for a touchdown against the Las Vegas Raiders at Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana. Photo by Sean Gardner/Getty Images via AFP.

In this NFC South matchup, the Atlanta Falcons and the New Orleans Saints are both coming off byes and have lost consecutive games. Read on for our Falcons-Saints picks.

Atlanta (5-8) enters this matchup just one game back of the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for first place in the division. New Orleans is still also alive at 4-9, but losing four of its previous five games does not inspire much confidence. 

New Orleans looks for its second season sweep of Atlanta in the last three years, as the Saints beat the Falcons 27-26 in Week 1. The winner of this game will hold a slight all-time series edge, as the two teams have split the prior 106 meetings. 

Here is our best Falcons vs. Saints NFL pick (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our NFL best bets and all of our top NFL picks for Week 15.  

Falcons vs. Saints Game Info

Date: Sunday, Dec. 18, 1 p.m. ET
TV: FOX
Location: Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA
Weather: Indoors

Falcons vs. Saints Odds

Falcons vs. Saints Odds Analysis

New Orleans opened as 3.5-point favorites and reached as high as 4.5 at some sportsbooks, with most settling at -4. There has been solid two-way action on this spread all week, as the Saints are currently attracting 50% of the tickets and 58% of the cash.

The O/U has seen a major case of reverse line movement. The total has gone from 41.5 up to 43.5, despite 71% of the handle backing the Under.

Falcons vs. Saints Pick

Falcons +4.5 ⭐⭐⭐⭐

While many will point to Desmond Ridder’s first career start as the reason they will not pick Atlanta, we will make the argument that makes the Falcons undervalued as underdogs. Ridder has three running backs (Tyler Allgeier, Cordarrelle Patterson, and Caleb Huntley) that have all rushed for 364-plus yards that he can utilize to take the pressure off of him in his first road start. The Saints have the 19th-ranked run defense, and the Falcons ran for 201 yards and 5.3 yards per carry in their first meeting.

New Orleans switched from Jameis Winston to Andy Dalton at quarterback, hoping Dalton would protect the ball better. Instead, his seven interceptions are a big reason the Saints rank 31st in turnover margin (-12). 

The Saints have failed to cover any of their last four games following a bye week, while the road team is 5-2 ATS in the previous seven meetings between these teams. 

Falcons vs. Saints Best Odds

FanDuel (-110)

BetMGMCaesarsDraftKingsFanDuelPointsBet
+4 (-110)+4 (-110)+4 (-110)+4.5 (-110)+4 (-107)

For Falcons backers, FanDuel is the go-to sportsbook, as the extra half-point it provides is much better value than the other 4-point spreads. The best part is that FanDuel is not charging extra in juice to get the hook.

Falcons-Saints pick made 12/16/2022 at 6:16 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Mike Spector
I have been in the sports writing industry for over three years, working for sites like BettingPros/FantasyPros, Oddschecker, and Sportsbook Review. In my first year writing for BettingPros, I finished with the #2 overall record in their annual NFL betting competition, which made picks against the spread, and from an over/under and moneyline perspective. I am an avid fan of the NFL, MLB, and all college sports. In my opinion, March Madness is the best sporting event there is, and I am especially euphoric starting with conference tournament time in college basketball. I am a big advocate of "fading the public" and making plays that are contrarian, constantly citing that "there are reasons why they have those big shiny buildings in Las Vegas." Follow me on Twitter for my best bets and commentary to go along with the wagers.