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Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks is defended by Bam Adebayo of the Miami Heat as we look at our Bucks-Grizzlies NBA prop picks.
Giannis Antetokounmpo of the Milwaukee Bucks is defended by Bam Adebayo of the Miami Heat. Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images/AFP.

We're looking at our best Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA player props are based on the best NBA odds as Milwaukee travels to face Memphis on Thursday.

The Milwaukee Bucks (35-20) have gotten off to a tough start to the Doc Rivers era, though they still hold the third seed in the Eastern Conference even after losing six of their last 10 games. They'll try to get right on Thursday as big favorites over the Memphis Grizzlies (19-36) in a game that tips off at 8:30 p.m. on TNT.

The Grizzlies beat the Houston Rockets on Wednesday to snap a nine-game skid, but they remain in 13th place in the Western Conference ahead of the All-Star break. Can they overcome injuries to score a big upset win? Or will the Bucks get a much-needed victory to stay competitive in a tightly contested Eastern Conference? 

Here are our best Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Bucks vs. Grizzlies NBA player props: Thursday

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Bucks vs. Grizzlies props

Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 48.5 points + rebounds + assists (-113 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Giannis Antetokounmpo is in a great position to eclipse this points, rebounds, and assists line, and we’re taking the Over.

Memphis allows the third-most rebounds per game to opponents (54.2), and the second most at home (54.8). Antetokounmpo should be able to crash the glass with authority and take advantage of a soft interior defense. The team’s injury report seems to grow each night, as Memphis is down to a skeleton-crew lineup.

Giannis is averaging 50.2 PRAs on the road and 46.9 at home in 2023-24. He’s hit this mark in four of his last seven games and 26 of 53 overall. The Bucks are double-digit favorites in this contest, which may raise some eyebrows about taking the Over here.

Perhaps the Bucks go up significantly early and the starters get fewer minutes? We won’t worry about that, as Milwaukee is 23-7 at home but just 12-13 on the road. This one will likely be more competitive than the 11.5-point spread indicates, so we’ll take the Over.

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Vince Williams Over 23.5 points + rebounds + assists (-110 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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Memphis is down multiple key players, and that’s led to Vince Williams handling an increased workload over the past month. Williams has started 17 straight games while averaging just over 34 minutes per tilt in those contests. He’s averaging 16 points, 6.1 rebounds, and 4.8 assists over his last 11 outings. That includes eight straight games with at least 24 PRAs and 10 of 11 overall in that span.

Milwaukee is allowing the 11th-most rebounds and the eighth-most points in 2023-24, making this an even better bet for an already favorable matchup. This line is set far too low based on Williams’ recent surge in playing time and production, so we’ll take the Over and never look back. This wager feels like free money.

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Brook Lopez Over 2.5 blocks (+150 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Brook Lopez averaged a career-best 2.5 blocks per game in 2022-23, but he’s taken that department up a notch in 2023-24. Lopez is one of the NBA’s leaders in blocks per game at a new career-best 2.7 per tilt, and he’s swatted at least three shots in a contest 26 times across 52 appearances. That includes two of his last three games and three of his previous five on the road. Lopez has averaged 2.8 blocks per outing over those last five road games.

Memphis allows the second most blocks to opponents (6.3) and the most at home (7.0), which makes this a highly favorable matchup for the already prolific shot-blocker. We’re getting juicy plus-money odds here considering how frequently Lopez has hit the Over. Take advantage of the mispriced line.

Bucks-Grizzlies NBA player props made 2/15/2024 at 10:05 a.m. ET.

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