🏀 Best Victor Wembanyama Player Props: Wemby Bets & Top Picks for Thunder Game 5
📡 SBR Edge: Wemby Goes Over on Points, Under on Rebounds
My best Victor Wembanyama player props for Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5 tonight feature Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-121). He has a 65.1% true shooting percentage in this series because the Thunder have struggled to find anyone who can guard him effectively. My second NBA best bet is Wembanyama Under 13.5 rebounds (-122), as he has quietly been outrebounded by Isaiah Hartenstein in the past two games.
🏀 Best Victor Wembanyama player props: Spurs vs. Thunder Game 5
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds for the playoffs.
| 💰 Pick | 💡 Best odds | ⚖️ Bet size | 🧠 Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points | -121 via DraftKings | 1.82u -> 1.5u | Has a 65.1% true shooting percentage in the conference finals |
| Victor Wembanyama Under 13.5 rebounds | -122 via BetRivers | 1.22u -> 1u | Hartenstein has a higher adjusted rebound chance % over the last two games |
Total wagered: 3.04 units | Max profit: 2.5 units
💰 Best Victor Wembanyama prop bet
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
Victor Wembanyama Over 25.5 points (-121)
Wembanyama has been abusing the Thunder's defense, especially Chet Holmgren, who finished second in Defensive Player of the Year voting and earned All-NBA Third Team honors.
If Holmgren can't slow down Wembanyama, it's unlikely anyone else Oklahoma City throws at him tonight will stand a chance, which is why Wembanyama is averaging a 65.1% true shooting percentage in this series and has cashed this prop in three of four games.
DraftKings has his Over 25.5 points at -121, but I'd play this up to -150 on the best sports betting sites.
💵 More Spurs vs. Thunder expert picks
I feature Victor Wembanyama and Chet Holmgren in my Spurs vs. Thunder player props.
🔥 More Victor Wembanyama prop picks
The Spurs have the longest odds to win the NBA championship.
Victor Wembanyama Under 13.5 rebounds (-122)
I'm projecting that Wembanyama's rebounding averages will keep dropping as the series progresses. While the Thunder can't slow him down on offense, Hartenstein has done a better job than Holmgren of boxing him out (regardless of whether he's fouling him).
Hartenstein has an adjusted rebound chance percentage of 68.3% over the last two games (compared to 58% for Wembanyama), which has contributed to the Spurs star grabbing just 12 total rebounds during that span. Wembanyama Under 13.5 rebounds is -122 at BetRivers, but I'd play this up to -145 on the best sports betting apps.
🏀 More Spurs vs. Thunder predictions
Our LJ Blut backs the Spurs to cover the spread with his NBA play of the day.
🎟️ Most-bet Spurs vs. Thunder player props: Game 5
Betting insights via BetMGM.
| Player | Team | Bet | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | Over 24.5 points + rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Victor Wembanyama | Spurs | Under 26.5 points | -120 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein | Thunder | Over 17.5 points + rebounds + assists | -130 |
| De'Aaron Fox | Spurs | Over 9.5 rebounds + assists | -105 |
| Jalen Williams | Thunder | Under 14.5 points | -125 |
🚀 Best Victor Wembanyama same-game parlay
I had to enlist the help of my colleague LJ Blut to cook up this parlay. We spent more time than we'd like to admit trying different combinations on the best sportsbooks to land on this +1400 SGP. Simply put, if we like Wembanyama to go Over on his points, then that sets up Dylan Harper to get more assists. Also, if we like Wembanyama to go Under on his rebounds, it would likely be because Hartenstein is going Over on his. DraftKings offers this SGP at +1400, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +994.
💵 Best Victor Wembanyama SGP picks
- Victor Wembanyama Over 26.5 points
- Dylan Harper Over 2.5 assists
- Victor Wembanyama Under 13.5 rebounds
- Isaiah Hartenstein Over 7.5 rebounds
Best odds: +1400 via DraftKings (0.11u -> 1.5u)
💵 My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 190-207-4 | -5.88 units ❌ | -1.5% ❌ |
| Player props | 165-140-4 | -7.03 units ❌ | -1.9% ❌ |
| Parlays | 21-62 | +2.05 units ✅ | 8.3% ✅ |
| Spreads | 2-3 | -0.8 units ❌ | -13.1% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
My betting record in the NBA postseason
Tracked since April 14.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 82-81 | +11.16 units ✅ | 8.7% ✅ |
| Player props | 66-41 | +12.5 units ✅ | 11.5% ✅ |
| Parlays | 13-35 | +1.05 units ✅ | 7.9% ✅ |
| Spreads | 1-3 | -2.3 units ❌ | -52.5% ❌ |
| Totals | 2-2 | -0.09 units ❌ | -4.1% ❌ |
💡 How I'm betting Victor Wembanyama player props: Game 5
The goal when targeting a specific player like Wembanyama is to adjust to changes as soon as they happen. Wembanyama averaged just 19.8 PPG against the Timberwolves in the conference semifinals, but the Thunder have especially struggled to guard him in this series, leading to him averaging 30.3 PPG. As Wembanyama becomes more comfortable as a scorer in the playoffs, we want to play his Over on points. However, as Hartenstein begins to compete with him for rebounds, we want to start fading him in that category.
📺 How to watch Spurs vs. Thunder: West finals - Game 5
- Date: Tuesday, May 26
- Tipoff: 8:30 p.m. ET
- Location: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- TV: NBC
- Streaming: Peacock
- Spread: Thunder -4.5
- Moneyline: Spurs +149 | Thunder -155
- Total: 217.5
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