🏀 NBA Player Props Today: Best Play-In Tournament Bets & Picks for Friday, April 17
📡 SBR Edge: Booker Heats Up in Phoenix
My NBA player props today feature LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made (+110), as he has shot the most 3-pointers in the league over the last two weeks. My next NBA best bet is Kon Knueppel Under 16.5 points (-111). He has gone under this line in five straight games. I wrap up with Devin Booker Over 26.5 points (-112), as he has attempted the fourth-most field goals in the NBA over the last two weeks.
π Best NBA player props today: April 17
See all of our experts' NBA picks based on the latest NBA odds.
| π° Pick | π‘ Best odds | βοΈ Bet size | π§ Why I'm making this bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made | +110 via FanDuel | 0.91u -> 1u | Ranks 1st in NBA in 3PA per game in last 2 weeks |
| Kon Knueppel Under 16.5 points | -111 via DraftKings | 0.56u -> 0.5u | Has gone Under in 5 straight games |
| Devin Booker Over 26.5 points | -112 via FanDuel | 0.56u -> 0.5u | Ranks 4th in FGA per game in last 2 weeks |
Total wagered: 2.03 units | Max profit: 2 units
π° Best NBA player prop bet today
Our NBA playoff series odds break down the first-round matchups.
LaMelo Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made (+110)
The most predictable thing we know about Ball's game is that he's going to shoot a lot of 3-pointers.
He ranks 1st in the NBA in 3-point attempts per game (15.4) over the last two weeks and has attempted 16 in each of his last three outings. He's shooting 36.8% from beyond the arc on the season, so he should make five-plus today.
FanDuel lists Ball Over 4.5 three-pointers made at +110, but this bet is good up to -105 on the best sports betting sites. I also feature this bet in my Hornets vs. Magic player props.
π₯ More NBA player prop picks
The Hornets have the ninth-shortest odds to win the NBA Finals.
Kon Knueppel Under 16.5 points (-111)
Despite having all the motivation in the world to score points - between being in a two-man race with Cooper Flagg for Rookie of the Year and playing in an elimination game - Knueppel has struggled recently.
He has scored 14 or fewer points in five consecutive games and was even benched in key moments down the stretch in the 9-10 game. In such an important contest today, I expect the Hornets to lean on Ball and Miles Bridges. Knueppel Under 16.5 points is -111 at DraftKings, but I would play this up to -125 on the best NBA betting sites.
Devin Booker Over 26.5 points (-112)
I was shocked that Booker was so timid on Tuesday - I expect him to go back to his usual self today. He ranks 4th in the NBA in field goal attempts per game (20.5) over the last two weeks, and I doubt we see a conservative Booker in a second straight play-in game.
FanDuel lists his Over 26.5 points at -112, but I'd play this up to -125 on the best sports betting apps. I back Booker's teammate to score 19+ with my Warriors vs. Suns prediction, while Shane Thurston features two Suns in his Warriors vs. Suns player props.
π Best NBA parlay picks today
Knueppel scoring fewer than 17 points shouldnβt pay out as high as +320 when combined with the Hornetsβ spread. This combination has hit in two of the Hornetsβ last five games.
Bet365 lists this two-legger at +320, while FanDuel offers the same parlay at +287. I also feature this SGP in my Hornets vs. Magic prediction.
💵 Best NBA parlay bet today
- Hornets -3.5
- Kon Knueppel Under 16.5 points
Best odds: +320 via bet365 (0.31u -> 1u)
π΅ My betting record for NBA picks
All NBA picks, including SGPs, have been tracked since Feb. 10.
| Bet type | Record | Net profit | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 113-135-4 | -19.06 units β | -6.9% β |
| Player props | 102-103-4 | -20.49 units β | -7.9% β |
| Parlays | 8-30 | +0.08 units β | 0.7% β |
| Spreads | 2-1 | +1.4 units β | 35.9% β |
| Totals | 1-1 | -0.05 units β | -4.5% β |
π‘ How I'm betting NBA player props today
Follow all of our NBA analysis and expert predictions this season.
I risked 0.91 units on Ball to make 5+ three-pointers. I would've risked more, as I believe the line is mispriced, but FanDuel is among the best sportsbooks at pricing player props, so I didn't want to be too aggressive.
I risked 0.56 units on my other two players, as while I like the bets directionally, they're not priced too far off from where I'd set them.
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