Conq's tennis picks - 2023

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  • Conqueror
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-08-13
    • 16778

    #246
    Originally posted by conqueror
    ytd: 70-81 -12.36

    4/7

    wta, bogota
    zidansek ml (-106) l
    0-1 -1.06 l
    ytd: 70-82 -13.36
    Comment
    • Conqueror
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-08-13
      • 16778

      #247
      YTD: 70-82 -13.36

      4/11

      ATP Challenger, Leon, Mexico
      Mejia ML (+132)
      Comment
      • Conqueror
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-08-13
        • 16778

        #248
        Originally posted by conqueror
        ytd: 70-82 -13.36

        4/11

        atp challenger, leon, mexico
        mejia ml (+132) w
        1-0 +1.32
        ytd: 71-82 -12.04
        Comment
        • Conqueror
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-08-13
          • 16778

          #249
          YTD: 71-82 -12.04

          4/12

          ATP, Monte Carlo
          Dimitov ML (-126)
          Comment
          • Conqueror
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 12-08-13
            • 16778

            #250
            YTD: 71-82 -12.04

            4/12

            2 plays:

            ATP, Monte Carlo
            Dimitov ML (-126)
            Sonego +4 games (-118)
            Comment
            • Conqueror
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-08-13
              • 16778

              #251
              Originally posted by conqueror
              ytd: 71-82 -12.04

              4/12

              2 plays:

              atp, monte carlo
              dimitov ml (-126) l
              sonego +4 games (-118 l)
              0-2 -2.44
              ytd: 71-84 -14.48
              Comment
              • Conqueror
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-08-13
                • 16778

                #252
                YTD: 71-84 -14.48

                4/14

                Billie Jean King Cup
                Cristian ML (+180)
                Comment
                • Conqueror
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-08-13
                  • 16778

                  #253
                  Originally posted by conqueror
                  ytd: 71-84 -14.48

                  4/14

                  billie jean king cup
                  cristian ml (+180) w
                  1-0 +1.80
                  ytd: 72-84 -12.68
                  Comment
                  • Conqueror
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-08-13
                    • 16778

                    #254
                    YTD: 72-84 -12.68

                    4/14

                    ATP Challenger, Leon
                    Neuchrist -2 games (-120)
                    Comment
                    • Conqueror
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-08-13
                      • 16778

                      #255
                      Originally posted by conqueror
                      ytd: 72-84 -12.68

                      4/14

                      atp challenger, leon
                      neuchrist -2 games (-120) l
                      0-1 -1.20
                      ytd: 72-85 -13.88
                      Comment
                      • Conqueror
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-08-13
                        • 16778

                        #256
                        YTD: 72-85 -13.88

                        4/17

                        ATP, Banja Luka
                        Wawrinka ML (-143)
                        Comment
                        • Conqueror
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 12-08-13
                          • 16778

                          #257
                          YTD: 72-85 -13.88

                          4/17

                          2 plays

                          ATP, Banja Luka
                          Wawrinka ML (-143)

                          WTA, Stuttgart
                          Korpatsch ML (-104)
                          Comment
                          • Conqueror
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-08-13
                            • 16778

                            #258
                            YTD: 72-85 -13.88

                            4/17

                            3 plays

                            ATP, Banja Luka
                            Wawrinka ML (-143)

                            WTA, Stuttgart
                            Korpatsch ML (-104)

                            ATP, Munich
                            Edmund ML (+207)
                            Comment
                            • Conqueror
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-08-13
                              • 16778

                              #259
                              Originally posted by conqueror
                              ytd: 72-85 -13.88

                              4/17

                              3 plays

                              atp, banja luka
                              wawrinka ml (-143) l

                              wta, stuttgart
                              korpatsch ml (-104) l

                              atp, munich
                              edmund ml (+207) l
                              0-3 -3.47
                              ytd: 72-88 -17.35
                              Comment
                              • chargers4222
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-16-10
                                • 4702

                                #260
                                Tough to bet on Kyle Edmund until he gets back into form, could be a good bet during grass season though.
                                Comment
                                • Conqueror
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-08-13
                                  • 16778

                                  #261
                                  Originally posted by chargers4222
                                  Tough to bet on Kyle Edmund until he gets back into form, could be a good bet during grass season though.
                                  Noted. Thanks!
                                  Comment
                                  • Conqueror
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-08-13
                                    • 16778

                                    #262
                                    YTD: 72-88 -17.35

                                    4/19

                                    WTA, Stuttgart
                                    Sabalenka ML (-152)
                                    Comment
                                    • Conqueror
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 12-08-13
                                      • 16778

                                      #263
                                      Originally posted by conqueror
                                      ytd: 72-88 -17.35

                                      4/19

                                      wta, stuttgart
                                      sabalenka ml (-152) w
                                      1-0 +1.00
                                      ytd: 73-88 -16.35
                                      Comment
                                      • Conqueror
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 12-08-13
                                        • 16778

                                        #264
                                        YTD: 73-88 -16.35

                                        4/20

                                        ATP Barcelona doubles
                                        Glasspool/Heliovaara ML (-103)
                                        Comment
                                        • Conqueror
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-08-13
                                          • 16778

                                          #265
                                          YTD: 73-88 -16.35

                                          4/20

                                          2 plays:

                                          ATP Barcelona doubles
                                          Glasspool/Heliovaara ML (-103)

                                          ATP Munich doubles
                                          O'Connell/Olivetti ML (+243)
                                          Comment
                                          • Conqueror
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-08-13
                                            • 16778

                                            #266
                                            Originally posted by conqueror
                                            ytd: 73-88 -16.35

                                            4/20

                                            2 plays:

                                            atp barcelona doubles
                                            glasspool/heliovaara ml (-103) w

                                            atp munich doubles
                                            o'connell/olivetti ml (+243) l
                                            1-1 0.00
                                            ytd: 74-89 -16.35
                                            Comment
                                            • Conqueror
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-08-13
                                              • 16778

                                              #267
                                              YTD: 74-89 -16.35

                                              4/21

                                              WTA, Stuttgart

                                              Pliskova/Swiatek UNDER 18 games (-102)
                                              Last edited by Conqueror; 04-21-23, 11:25 AM.
                                              Comment
                                              • Conqueror
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-08-13
                                                • 16778

                                                #268
                                                Originally posted by conqueror
                                                ytd: 74-89 -16.35

                                                4/21

                                                wta, stuttgart

                                                pliskova/swiatek under 18 games (-102) l
                                                0-1 -1.02
                                                ytd: 74-90 -17.37
                                                Comment
                                                • Conqueror
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                  • 16778

                                                  #269
                                                  YTD: 74-90 -17.37

                                                  4/24

                                                  ATP Challenger, Buenos Aires
                                                  Middon ML (+115)
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Conqueror
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-08-13
                                                    • 16778

                                                    #270
                                                    YTD: 74-90 -17.37

                                                    4/24

                                                    2plays:

                                                    ATP Challenger, Buenos Aires
                                                    Middon ML (+115)
                                                    Middon ML (1st set) (+106)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Conqueror
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                      • 16778

                                                      #271
                                                      Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                      YTD: 74-90 -17.37

                                                      4/24

                                                      2plays:

                                                      ATP Challenger, Buenos Aires
                                                      Middon ML (+115) L
                                                      Middon ML (1st set) (+106) L
                                                      0-2 -2.00
                                                      YTD: 74-92 -19.37

                                                      The system on which those plays are is normally a good system.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • chargers4222
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-16-10
                                                        • 4702

                                                        #272
                                                        Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                        0-2 -2.00
                                                        YTD: 74-92 -19.37

                                                        The system on which those plays are is normally a good system.
                                                        Conq I didn't know you're a systems guy. Can you give any insight into what it is?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Conqueror
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-08-13
                                                          • 16778

                                                          #273
                                                          Originally posted by chargers4222
                                                          Conq I didn't know you're a systems guy. Can you give any insight into what it is?
                                                          My good friend, I'll respond to this later. I'm not much of a "system" guy but I'll explain later what the "system" I referred to is.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Conqueror
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 12-08-13
                                                            • 16778

                                                            #274
                                                            YTD: 74-92 -19.37

                                                            4/27

                                                            ATP, Madrid
                                                            Shelbayh ML (+178)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Conqueror
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 12-08-13
                                                              • 16778

                                                              #275
                                                              Originally posted by conqueror
                                                              ytd: 74-92 -19.37

                                                              4/27

                                                              atp, madrid
                                                              shelbayh ml (+178) l
                                                              0-1 -1.00
                                                              ytd: 74-93 -20.37
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Conqueror
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 12-08-13
                                                                • 16778

                                                                #276
                                                                Originally posted by chargers4222
                                                                Conq I didn't know you're a systems guy. Can you give any insight into what it is?
                                                                Ok, the system I mentioned then was this:

                                                                Play a home dog of +100 - +150 ranked more than 100 places lower than the opponent.

                                                                This match was in Argentina. Midon, an Argentinian, ranked at No. 720 was an underdog of +115 against Hardt, from the Dominican Republic, ranked at No. 220. The MLs didn't do justice to the ranking disparity between the players. You would have expected Midon to have been a much bigger dog and priced at a ML much higher than +115 - which meant the linesmaker(s) didn't have much faith in Hardt as a favorite.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Conqueror
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 12-08-13
                                                                  • 16778

                                                                  #277
                                                                  YTD: 74-93 -20.37

                                                                  5/2

                                                                  ATP, Madrid
                                                                  Karatsev ML (+279)
                                                                  Karatsev +4 games (-113)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Conqueror
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 12-08-13
                                                                    • 16778

                                                                    #278
                                                                    Wondering what to do with the Sherif/Sabalenka match. Sherif will definitely give Sabalenka a lot of trouble.
                                                                    Can she win outright? +690
                                                                    Can she win a set? +223
                                                                    Can she cover the game spread of 6? Definitely. (-125)

                                                                    Will keep studying the match.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Conqueror
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                                      • 16778

                                                                      #279
                                                                      Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                                      Wondering what to do with the Sherif/Sabalenka match. Sherif will definitely give Sabalenka a lot of trouble.
                                                                      Can she win outright? +690
                                                                      Can she win a set? +223
                                                                      Can she cover the game spread of 6? Definitely. (-125)

                                                                      Will keep studying the match.
                                                                      Eventually passed on this game.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Conqueror
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-08-13
                                                                        • 16778

                                                                        #280
                                                                        Originally posted by conqueror
                                                                        ytd: 74-93 -20.37

                                                                        5/2

                                                                        atp, madrid
                                                                        karatsev ml (+279) w
                                                                        karatsev +4 games (-113) w
                                                                        2-0 +3.79
                                                                        ytd: 76-93 -16.58
                                                                        Comment
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