Intrade thoughts

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  • ilJuve
    SBR Rookie
    • 06-06-08
    • 32

    #1
    Intrade thoughts
    Does any one here use this predictions site, I understand it's Irish based. Is it basically like a Matchbook but for political props etc?
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    Weren't they part of the Tradesports family of books that closed up shop fairly recently? I can't remember off the top of my head if they parted ways before or after though.
    Comment
    • ilJuve
      SBR Rookie
      • 06-06-08
      • 32

      #3
      I think your correct. I'm wondering if any one finds their stock-like model for essentially taking bets on futures somewhat of a rip off compared to conventional odds.

      For example:
      Rod Blagojevich to depart as Gov. of Illinois on/before 31 Dec 2008


      Last Price: 10.2

      What does this mean?

      10.2 means the market predicts there is a 10.2%
      chance that this event happens.

      If you think it is more likely than this you should If you think it is less likely you should

      All markets trade between 0 ($0.0) and 100 ($10).

      10.2 = $1.02
      Comment
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