Does any one here use this predictions site, I understand it's Irish based. Is it basically like a Matchbook but for political props etc?
Intrade thoughts
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ilJuveSBR Rookie
- 06-06-08
- 32
#1Intrade thoughtsTags: None -
bigboydanSBR Aristocracy
- 08-10-05
- 55420
#2Weren't they part of the Tradesports family of books that closed up shop fairly recently? I can't remember off the top of my head if they parted ways before or after though.Comment -
ilJuveSBR Rookie
- 06-06-08
- 32
#3I think your correct. I'm wondering if any one finds their stock-like model for essentially taking bets on futures somewhat of a rip off compared to conventional odds.
For example:
Rod Blagojevich to depart as Gov. of Illinois on/before 31 Dec 2008
Last Price: 10.2
What does this mean?
10.2 means the market predicts there is a 10.2%
chance that this event happens.
If you think it is more likely than this you should If you think it is less likely you should
All markets trade between 0 ($0.0) and 100 ($10).
10.2 = $1.02Comment
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