TradeSports markets closing with website

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  • Bill Dozer
    www.twitter.com/BillDozer
    • 07-12-05
    • 10894

    #1
    TradeSports markets closing with website
    I expected a mess with these markets closing prematurely but so far so good...Here is one question J7 took:

    Tradesports (TradebetX) has closed. They graded the wagers based on their subjective evaluation of their current market value on November 21st. I placed a wager on the Green Bay Packers total regular season wins at "Over" 8.5 ("To Win" approximately $440) . They graded the wager as a win, giving me approximately 10% ($51.00) of the "To Win" amount.

    This is not a fair grading of the wager. They currently have 5 wins. For the six remaining games on their schedule they will be strong favorites in 3 or 4 of those games and small underdogs in the remaining games. I should receive no less than 75% ($330) of the "To Win" amount.
    Respectfully,
    Justin:
    GB has the following games left:
    @NO
    CAR
    HOU
    @JAX
    @CHI
    Det

    Here's the odds I give them of winning each, just off the hip:
    .49
    .55
    .70
    .48
    .4
    .92

    GB is expected to win another 3.2 games.... I'm surprised they paid you anything - if I were settling it, I'd say GB is more likely than not to go UNDER 8.5 wins. Their settlement corresponds to a 56% of GB covering. I'd make it closer to 44%, so I can't say they treated you unfairly.


    Justin
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