England: Newcastle +170 (vs Aston Villa)
On paper, Aston Villa are the better team but we know how these things go these days. Villa have a UEFA Cup game this Thursday, so they may choose to rest some players and cite that as an excuse if they lose. Newcastle play with greater motivation, wanting to steer clear of relegation. Let's go with the home team which have the greater desire.
Portugal: Nacional Madeira +200 (vs Maritimo Funchal)
Yes, Nacional are the road team and that seems the only reason why the line is that high. Maritimo have done nothing all year to be a favorite in this contest, even if they're at home. They've only managed to win one of their L3 home games while Nacional have won 2 of their L3 road games, and one of those wins was against opposition that can be considered superior to Maritimo. Let's not fall for the deception of the bookmakers. Let's go with the team that will win.
On paper, Aston Villa are the better team but we know how these things go these days. Villa have a UEFA Cup game this Thursday, so they may choose to rest some players and cite that as an excuse if they lose. Newcastle play with greater motivation, wanting to steer clear of relegation. Let's go with the home team which have the greater desire.
Portugal: Nacional Madeira +200 (vs Maritimo Funchal)
Yes, Nacional are the road team and that seems the only reason why the line is that high. Maritimo have done nothing all year to be a favorite in this contest, even if they're at home. They've only managed to win one of their L3 home games while Nacional have won 2 of their L3 road games, and one of those wins was against opposition that can be considered superior to Maritimo. Let's not fall for the deception of the bookmakers. Let's go with the team that will win.
