Pretty bad day yesterday, hoping to get it back today. Not forcing plays, just looking for value where it can be found. Tail or fade at your own peril, here are some write-ups for tonights games:
Botafogo -0.5 and -1 vs Nautico (1.9 at pinnacle) - Botafogo playing well, with Seedorf playing a marvelous last game, the team should be motivated to get a home win here. Nautico sits in 11th place overall, but only because of their strong showing at home (5th best playing in their stadium) as they are atrocious away from home - 19th in away standings with 8 losses in 11 matches. Botafogo has mixed results playing at home but all of their home wins except for one have been by multiple goals. At the same time, 6 of Nautico's 8 away losses have been by more than a goal.
Santos vs Sao Paulo - Over 2.5 goals (1.85) - Santo's defense has been a mess lately and their games have gone over 2.5 in their last 10 matches (in fact, they have both scored and conceded in 9 of those 10 games, which shows both a good offense and bad defense). Neymar and Arouca away at international duties and Ganso missing the game with an injury is not ideal, but they have scored without them in the last game as well. Luis Fabiano and sao paulo should have a field day against Santo's defense.
Internacional vs Fluminense pk and +0.5 (1.76) - Eating a little bit of chalk here to still make some money on an eventual draw here - Internacional struggling as of late, with only one win in their last 6 matches. Fluminense on the other hand have not lost in their last 10, are the league leaders and the best away team in the league, with a single loss in their away matches. Fred, fluminense's top striker is back from injury and Internacional missing 8 of their players, including top players Leandro Damiao, Guinazu and Forlan all in their national team squads and D'alessandro, sent off in his last match.
Couple more game writeups to follow
Botafogo -0.5 and -1 vs Nautico (1.9 at pinnacle) - Botafogo playing well, with Seedorf playing a marvelous last game, the team should be motivated to get a home win here. Nautico sits in 11th place overall, but only because of their strong showing at home (5th best playing in their stadium) as they are atrocious away from home - 19th in away standings with 8 losses in 11 matches. Botafogo has mixed results playing at home but all of their home wins except for one have been by multiple goals. At the same time, 6 of Nautico's 8 away losses have been by more than a goal.
Santos vs Sao Paulo - Over 2.5 goals (1.85) - Santo's defense has been a mess lately and their games have gone over 2.5 in their last 10 matches (in fact, they have both scored and conceded in 9 of those 10 games, which shows both a good offense and bad defense). Neymar and Arouca away at international duties and Ganso missing the game with an injury is not ideal, but they have scored without them in the last game as well. Luis Fabiano and sao paulo should have a field day against Santo's defense.
Internacional vs Fluminense pk and +0.5 (1.76) - Eating a little bit of chalk here to still make some money on an eventual draw here - Internacional struggling as of late, with only one win in their last 6 matches. Fluminense on the other hand have not lost in their last 10, are the league leaders and the best away team in the league, with a single loss in their away matches. Fred, fluminense's top striker is back from injury and Internacional missing 8 of their players, including top players Leandro Damiao, Guinazu and Forlan all in their national team squads and D'alessandro, sent off in his last match.
Couple more game writeups to follow