High Risk / High Reward Draw Thread

[ColdBeerHere]

Alright guys....I did a chase on draws about a year ago, and was up 76 units in a few weeks....The problem was I hit a cold streak where I lost 16 bets in a row and 21 out of 22......

So this time around I am going to run the chase, however once it has one loss on a full chase I am done with it.....

It's a five game chase....Each unit is approx 1% of my BR.....The 5 legs of the chase will consist of the following unit sizes:

RISK: 1 - 2 - 3 - 4 - 6
To WIN: 2 - 4 - 6 - 8 - 12


Obviously you can see where the risk is, BUT the reward is very high...You can see if we hit on the second or third legs we win 3 units (this is based only a +200 bet - this will be the minimum bet so winnings will actually be more)....A complete 5 leg chase loss results in 16 units lost or 16% of your bankroll....And that's only if you do not win one game from the start...So in actuality I don't think the Risk is all that high....

I also may at some point increase the # of legs in the chase to 6 or more....But for now we'll stick with five for that high reward !

Some of the leagues I bet on last year with success were Japan, Brazil, MLS, and NASL....I'll probably be playing those same leagues along with some others.....

Not many MLS draws yet so maybe we are due....I bet on two games last night to draw hitting one....

So if you got some nuts, and want to take a shot at some big units Grab your Nuts and Let's GO !!!

[Semper Fidelis]

I think I might hop on the train. Right now I use 5 different cappers for chases, might as well add this one too. As long as it won't go over 5 or 6 games it should be ok and make money. When will you start? Will you only use one chase per league at a time? Or do you sometimes have multiple chases going on within the same leagues?

[ColdBeerHere]

I think I might hop on the train. Right now I use 5 different cappers for chases, might as well add this one too. As long as it won't go over 5 or 6 games it should be ok and make money. When will you start? Will you only use one chase per league at a time? Or do you sometimes have multiple chases going on within the same leagues?

It may start tonight...I'm in the US Eastern Standard Time and at this point I'll be posting probably anywhere from 2pm to 6am on average....

It will only be one chase, and it will cover a variety of leagues around the globe (hence a lot of different start times)...I'll be using 5Dimes for all the wagers and lines

[roma]

ok I will follow u lets see what u got good luck u will need it..

[ColdBeerHere]

OK first play is:

Men's Olympics Japan/Mexico +211

BOL to all that tail

[ColdBeerHere]

Oh well we start off with a loss

0-1 -1u

I'll be looking into Brazil, Peru, and Costa Rica later to see if there is another play....If there is I'll post it by 8pm

[ColdBeerHere]

Leaning towards one of the two following games for 8pm tonight for the second leg of the chase...

BRA-B - ABC @ Avai
or
PERU - Alianza Lima @ Sport Boys

Any input on games I list is always welcomed

[ColdBeerHere]

Alright I was unable to pick between these two games....So I'm going to take the two units that was supposed to be placed on the second leg and divide them between the two games....

If they both hit we go back to leg one...If one hits and one loses we make a little profit and stay on the second leg.....If they both lose we go on to the third leg.....

So here are the bets for the second leg:

BRA-B: ABC @ Avai +281
PERU: Alianza Lima @ Sport Boys +222

[ColdBeerHere]

Ok Avai beat ABC 3-1 and Lima beat SB 1-0.....SB were all over Lima in the second half...They had the ball in Lima's end almost the whole time, But boy do these guys suck at free/corner kicks....The deliveries were awful....

OK so updated record is:

0-3 -3u

onto leg 3.....may have a play for the early morning hours....will be back in a few hours.....

[ColdBeerHere]

Leg 3 of the Chase: 7am EST

(Sangju Sangmu (KOR) vs Gwangju (KOR)) +208*

Risking 3 units

[ColdBeerHere]

If this thread turns into a failure I may have to start one where I chase + favs as it appears I am good at picking them now...Anyways third leg was a loser 1-0 Gwangju....

record is 0-4 -6 units

[ColdBeerHere]

I haven't forgotten about this thread....just waiting for a game that I feel really good on...

[ColdBeerHere]

Alright, Got the 4th leg play..Hope we hit this:

8/16/12 3:00pm Iceland Soccer 601 Draw (Haukar (ISL-1) vs Leiknir Reykjavik (ISL-1)) +228*vs Haukar (ISL-1)

Risking 4u to win 9.12

[ColdBeerHere]

Finally a winner....

Record is now 1-4 +3.12u

[ColdBeerHere]

OK got a play to start the new chase...game starts in about an hour.....

8/17/12 8:00pm Chile Soccer 1201 Draw (Union Espanola (CHI) vs Huachipato (CHI)) +252*vs Union Espanola (CHI)

[ColdBeerHere]

OK got a play to start the new chase...game starts in about an hour.....

8/17/12 8:00pm Chile Soccer 1201 Draw (Union Espanola (CHI) vs Huachipato (CHI)) +252*vs Union Espanola (CHI)

LOSS

Updated record is 1-5 +2.12u

Onto the second leg....Risking 2u on this play:

8/18/12 6:00am Japan Soccer 3719 Draw (Kashima Antlers (JPN-1) vs Urawa (JPN-1)) +239*vs Kashima Antlers (JPN-1)

Game starts in about 2.5 hours

[ColdBeerHere]

Lost in Japan....score was 2-1 Urawa...

Updated record 1-6 +.12u

Looking at today's games now......

[ColdBeerHere]

can't think straight think i need some more sleep....Was leaning tottenham/newcastle and lorient/montpellier but didn't pull trigger on either....bbl

[ColdBeerHere]

Looking over Sunday's games...will have at least two plays and possibly more....

[ColdBeerHere]

OK these are the games I got lined up for today....I'll list them by times...

6am EST Montedio Yamagata @ Ehime FC (JPN-2) +222

1pm EST Puntarenas @ Carmelita (CRC-1) +220

The third game will be one of the following, or I may split the two:

4pm EST Colo Colo @ La Serena (CHI) +250

5:30pm Vasco de Gama @ Flamengo (BRA-A) +227

[ColdBeerHere]

So the first play of the day, which is also the third leg of the chase is :

8/19/12 6:00am Japan Soccer 1959 Draw (Montedio Yamagata (JPN-2) vs Ehime FC (JPN-2)) +222*vs Montedio Yamagata (JPN-2)

risking 3 units to win 6.66 units

[pacers101]

good luck. I missed a 2draw parlay earlier because chivas decided to score in the 83rd minute. I'm on toguchi draw and ointa trinta draw for early morning action. might add your play too. don't forget to look into argentina, very good for draws.

[ColdBeerHere]

pacers...the draw i played in japan shot up to 240 something and now in the 230s....at least this was at 5dimes.....good price , bol

[pacers101]

I'm looking at carmelita/puntarenas +220 in costa rica this afternoon. what do you think?

[ColdBeerHere]

Yes I am now playing :

8/19/12 1:00pm Costa Rica Soccer 1574 Draw (Puntarenas (CRC-1) vs Carmelita (CRC-1)) +224* vs Puntarenas (CRC-1)

4th Leg of the chase: Risking 4u to win 8.96u

updated record after Japan loss is 1-7 -2.88u

[ColdBeerHere]

What a fukkin tough loss...tie up after 90 minutes 0-0 and Puntarenas scores in stoppage time to win 1-0...Ouch...

Damn ok....so now we are on the last leg....I wanted to win some units and I don't want to go out like this....So I'm going to split the last two games instead of risking it all on one of them....Hopefully we hit both, if not hitting one can bring us back to even where we can stat a new chase....

So 3 units on each of these:

8/19/12 5:30pm Brazil Soccer 766 Draw (Vasco de Gama (BRA-A) vs Flamengo (BRA-A)) +221*vs Vasco de Gama (BRA-A)

3 to win 6.63

8/19/12 4:00pm Chile Soccer 1474 Draw (Colo Colo (CHI) vs La Serena (CHI)) +241*
vs Colo Colo (CHI)

3 to win 7.23


updated record 1-7 -4.12u

[ColdBeerHere]

Lost the Brazil game but won the Chile game - Stayin' Alive...So basically we are back at square one after all this....lol....Last year I went on some streaks where I hit 3 out 4....4 out of 5....those do wonders to boosting your bankroll....Hopefully I can get back into some of those grooves...

So looks like the record is now 2-8 +.11 units

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[ColdBeerHere]

Play for Monday...1pm EST...1st leg of the chase....

Risking 1u

8/20/12 1:00pm Denmark Soccer 601 Draw (Odense BK (DEN) vs Sonderjyske (DEN)) +244*vs Odense BK (DEN)

[ColdBeerHere]

Denmark loses 2-1....updated record is:

2-9 -.89u

Looking at games now for possible plays tomorrow

[ColdBeerHere]

Nothing's jumping out at me...looks like no play for today....

[ColdBeerHere]

Second leg....

CHI @ DC United +244

risking 2 to win 4.88

[ColdBeerHere]

Think I'm also going to put a small side bet on CHI to win as well @ +220...line dropped in the last 10 minutes.....the more I look at this game the more CHI looks like the better team....

Also have COL ml -148 tonight for a unit...bol all

[ColdBeerHere]

Second leg....

CHI @ DC United +244

risking 2 to win 4.88

Lost this play....

Updated record is 2-10 -2.89u

[ColdBeerHere]

3rd leg : starts in a little over 6 hours

8/26/12 9:00am Denmark Soccer 1831 Draw (Bronshoj (DEN-1) vs Hjorring (DEN-1)) +241*vs Bronshoj (DEN-1)

Risking 3u to win 7.23



Next play after this will be Perez Zeledon @ Belen Siglo XXI (CRC-1) today 6pm EST

[ColdBeerHere]

Denmark loses, ouch,...Hoping to keep this thread going till england, france, and germany leagues among others get some games played as i think the draws may be more prevelant in some of those leagues....

Anywhoo Denmark loses....updated record 2-11 -5.89u

4th leg of chase, and play is in about 2 and 2/2 hours is:

8/26/12 6:00pm Costa Rica Soccer 3051 Draw (Perez Zeledon (CRC-1) vs Belen Siglo XXI (CRC-1)) +213*vs Perez Zeledon (CRC-1)

Risking 4u to win 8.52