EP36's 2012 London Ninja-lympics!

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    EP36's 2012 London Ninja-lympics!
    Well you all know I hate consolidating into one thread for soccer, but figured I'd do it in one thread like I did for Euro 2012. Let's make some money and go for the mother truckin' Gold Ninjas! All wagers are either risking one unit or to win one unit unless otherwise noted.




    Olympic Futures
    To Win Group A: Uruguay +120
    To Win Group B: Mexico +150

    Looking at worst to split these two futures and walk away with a little profit. I think Uruguay's attack is going to be dangerous and perhaps the difference maker between Great Britain winning the group & Uruguay winning. The British group also has not had much in the way of preps for the tournament with just one friendly against Brazil. This group could very well come down to the match between the Brits and Uruguay.

    Mexico has a wealth of young talent and are looking to break through for a medal. The Swiss and South Koreans will both be tough, but if the Mexicans play to their potential, especially from an offensive perspective - they will be tough to beat.

    ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

    7.26.12

    Mexico PK [-165]
    Mexico opens against South Korea. Neither side will be looking to drop points to open, so it is possible this could play out to be a stalemate. Still, Mexico have the clear advantage in attacking talent. If they can grab a goal early, I think it will be tough for a pragmatic South Korean side to try to change it up and keep pace offensively. The Koreans want to play a tight defensive match, so I think this one is decided on which squad can dictate the pace early. If Mexico is creating chances, I like their chances to pull out the W. If not, I still think they can work a draw at worst and return the investment.

    UAE-Uruguay Over 2.5 [-115]
    Simply expect the talented attack of Uruguay to pressure the UAE defense and the Emirates aren't without chances if this match goes at a quick pace.
  • silvap
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 06-01-12
    • 685

    #2
    best of luck my friend, and thanks for sharing the picks, much appreciated
    Comment
    • Jimmy0607
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-09-09
      • 7785

      #3
      Im on uruguay -1.5
      Comment
      • cjackson0701
        SBR Hustler
        • 07-05-12
        • 65

        #4
        Why gabon
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #5
          Actually, I've read a little more in the past hour & I'm going to drop Gabon from being a play tomorrow. Too many unknowns with their missing players. If they figure out how to work as a unit, they have the talent - having won the U-23 African competition last year, but will wait to see how they work out instead.
          Comment
          • koshgel
            SBR Rookie
            • 02-28-12
            • 15

            #6
            Mexico has a strong team and should take the group. Like the play
            Comment
            • ingga
              SBR Sharp
              • 07-23-12
              • 274

              #7
              what about Great Britain vs Senegal, Sir?
              Comment
              • ingga
                SBR Sharp
                • 07-23-12
                • 274

                #8
                I want place big bet tonight ..Parlay : Spain , Uruguay, Great Britain,
                Switzerland ?? @ 1000
                on sbobet
                Comment please..
                Comment
                • Giroux
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-16-10
                  • 1438

                  #9
                  Good luck EF...Mexico looks poor early.
                  Comment
                  • RubberKettle
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 12-28-09
                    • 6421

                    #10
                    Wow Spain 0-1 down and a man down
                    Comment
                    • beefcake
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 11-26-09
                      • 14029

                      #11
                      Here come the upsets...Fukk me in the tarhole..
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #12
                        Precisely why I am avoiding laying any of these large handicaps in first matches in this tournament. Know enough about the rosters to see who I like, but until you see them play - you don't know fully what to expect.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Taking the PK on Mexico was a pretty safe play. They didn't play well for the majority of the match until Dos Santos got in there and made some good chances. Still ended in a draw and nothing lost.
                          Comment
                          • ingga
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 07-23-12
                            • 274

                            #14
                            What the **** with spainnnnn.........argggghhhhhhhhhhhhh
                            Comment
                            • ingga
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 07-23-12
                              • 274

                              #15
                              Spain plays like
                              Comment
                              • RubberKettle
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-28-09
                                • 6421

                                #16
                                The first few matches have been poor. Lots of energy and drive, but very little end product and lots of sloppy play. Many players running around aimlessly.

                                Can't wait to see Brazil dominate most of these teams with their 'true' national squad.
                                Comment
                                • Doughboy22
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-01-12
                                  • 4189

                                  #17
                                  this over is looking ugly.. not many chances
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #18
                                    Over is the first banker of the toirnament. Uruguay has looked dangerous for the 1st 15 of the 2nd half and finally got one.
                                    Comment
                                    • silvap
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 06-01-12
                                      • 685

                                      #19
                                      lock that over, uruguay 2-1 early in the second half. Actually took gabon pk/+.5 too so hope they hold that tie or actually get the win.
                                      Comment
                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 12-06-06
                                        • 71662

                                        #20
                                        Gabon showed well. They are going to be a tricky squad I think. That draw helps a lot for the group hopes of Mexico winning still because everyone is level. I think Mexico's shot of winning the group could hinge on their match with Gabon on Saturday. If they can win that, they could be in good shape. South Korea & Switzerland could likely play tight to a draw,
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #21
                                          Olympic Record: 1-0-1 [+1.00]

                                          7.29.12

                                          Senegal-Uruguay Over 2.5 [+110]
                                          Senegal's speed really gave Great Britain some problems and they might have been a little unlucky to only get a draw as they had some big opportunities to score a 2nd goal. Uruguay did not play that well in their opener against the UAE, but their attacking quality showed in the 2nd half as they put home a 2nd goal early and showed to be threatening. They also allowed a lot of shots from the UAE, 13 but only two were on goal. Senegal put 18 shots up, six on goal vs. GB - I expect them continue to try and shoot every chance they get.

                                          Draw Project
                                          Japan-Morocco +273
                                          South Korea-Switzerland +219

                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #22
                                            Senegal makes really terrible challenges. Too bad for them because they are/were troubling Uruguay quite a bit. Now down a man because of a silly tackle on a break away. Hopefully good for the over though.
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #23
                                              Awesome corner again for Senegal and they go up 2-0. Crazy how many times the team that goes down a man actually scores next. Over looks tasty now.
                                              Comment
                                              • kmarinouofm
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 8437

                                                #24
                                                going to be pissed if uruguay doesn't get a goal here..
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #25
                                                  This is going to be a painful end to the day. Uruguay played like dog shit and never really offered to help add to the total. Japan scores in the 84th minute to break the draw that looked like it was getting really close.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • kmarinouofm
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 01-26-09
                                                    • 8437

                                                    #26
                                                    Uruguay to score or over .5 goals was -411
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #27
                                                      Yikes. That is some heavy chalk that is going to fail. I just needed one goal for an over and couldn't get that shit done either.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • kmarinouofm
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 8437

                                                        #28
                                                        thinking of parlaying the last two games over 1.5
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          Just moving on to the next match day. Only thing I sort of liked was Spain to lay a smack down on Honduras although it's at close to -150 now for -1.5. Still, Honduras gave up two goals to Morocco and Spain has to win today. Think 2-0 or 3-0 potentially, but who knows.

                                                          The Uruguay result wasn't a total shocker given they played like ass against UAE as well, but they at least had the finishing touch when needed. To not get anything up a man for nearly an hour is pathetic.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • silvap
                                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                                            • 06-01-12
                                                            • 685

                                                            #30
                                                            Wow, just plain bad luck to not get that over nor one of the draws... Excelent plays as usual that were crapped on by variance.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow. Spain down a goal to Honduras.


                                                              Definitely glad I did not play anything else.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • swordsandtequila
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-23-12
                                                                • 9757

                                                                #32
                                                                Adios Spain, biggest bunch of whiners in the games.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #33
                                                                  8.1.12

                                                                  Brazil-New Zealand Over 3 (-134)
                                                                  Brazil is starting a strong lineup again even if theu have no work to do today. Still, they have banged home three goals in each of their first two group matches and will be licking their chops against the Kiwis who allowed 28 shots to Egypt. Brazil has also been scored on in both matches so far which is one reason I am going for the total over the -2 handicap.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #34
                                                                    8.1.12: Mexico-Switzerland Over 2.5 [-102]
                                                                    Mexico can advance with a draw, but can win the group with a win. Dos Santos is finally starting, so it seems to be that Mexico is going to go for it. The Swiss need a win by a crooked number + some help from Gabon in beating South Korea. Highly unlikely, but it should lead the Swiss to go for goals. We'll see if the finishing touch is there.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Definitely great pace and action, but shit for finishing. Swiss have looked dangerous.
                                                                      Comment
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