Atletico Goianiense pk/-.5 (+120)

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7/21 Birthday Bash Plays
2 wins - 0 losses - 1 draw
Wins: iquique+ .5 (+100) 1.5u
Dallas-.5 (-110) .5u

Draw: Cruz Azul PK(-150) .5u

2-0-1 Won 2u, Lost 0u= +2.0u net on 2.5 risked

Perfect day. I was so slow this morning I thought i played Cruz Azul minus a half and not the PK

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Had them at PK line in a parlay at least but small payout..

Ceara @ 2/9

Draw No BetWon

Ceara v ASA-AL
America Rn @1/4

Match BettingWon

America Rn v Ipatinga
America-** @1/5

Draw No BetVoid

America-** v Guarani (Bra)


Stake

Lol similarly I took the Ceara ML at -200 alone and had it cap off a couple of parlays. No algorithms in front of me today while at the beach..Ill try to access it on this shitty phone...V you have anything on tap that may provide inspiration?

[Vaughany]

Lol similarly I took the Ceara ML at -200 alone and had it cap off a couple of parlays. No algorithms in front of me today while at the beach..Ill try to access it on this shitty phone...V you have anything on tap that may provide inspiration?

Was big on Dnipro -1 (see thread I created about it) and Zalgiris -1 first half, and got Zalgiris -2 pending at moment (currently winning 3-0) so good day so far. Got Fluminense PK line against Ponte Preta. Cant see them losing, will probably be a draw tho

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Falkenburg PK (+105) .25u

Coritiba PK (+120) .25u

Sao Paulo PK (+100) .5u

I'm not someone that comes and throws their whole bankroll on a single play if you can't tell. Sustainable profitibility is the goal

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Was big on Dnipro -1 (see thread I created about it) and Zalgiris -1 first half, and got Zalgiris -2 pending at moment (currently winning 3-0) so good day so far. Got Fluminense PK line against Ponte Preta. Cant see them losing, will probably be a draw tho

Not bad, I found a few plays that suit me a little more, plus I don't like trying to track live plays, it's hard for people to tail even if they wanted to. That's why I'll come by and drop an 'inkling' or lean about live plays, but I won't count them.

[Vaughany]

Falkenburg PK (+105) .25u

Coritiba PK (+120) .25u

Sao Paulo PK (+100) .5u

I'm not someone that comes and throws their whole bankroll on a single play if you can't tell. Sustainable profitibility is the goal

Oh, got Sao Paulo PK as well, did it a few days ago.

What's ur reasoning behind Coritiba? Was thinking about tht but both are in poor form....do u know if any players are out or anything?

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Oh, got Sao Paulo PK as well, did it a few days ago.

What's ur reasoning behind Coritiba? Was thinking about tht but both are in poor form....do u know if any players are out or anything?

System play actually, I put a fairly high EV threshold on it, and I have Coritiba as closer to a 60% fav, no inside info on XI or injuries to note, but so far, that system (with occasional tweaks) has served me exceptionally well over the last two years...my gut picks a higher unit profit, while my system plays are more conservative, hit a hgher pct, looking for both false dogs and encourage reasonable unit measurement

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7/22
1-0-0 thus far
Falkenburgs wins {PK(+105)**.25u

+.265u

2 plays posted above pending..

To date: 3 wins, 0 losses, 1 push

+2.265 u

[Vaughany]

Sao Paulo PK looking good so far

[Vaughany]

2nil nice one. Im probably gonna regret not making Sao Paulo PK my bigger play for the night

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7/22: 2-0-0 +.765 u

1 pending (Coritiba currently down a goal)

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2nil nice one. Im probably gonna regret not making Sao Paulo PK my bigger play for the night

Thank you good sir...and not unlike I regret Lombard and delorme being bigger plays last night haha..

[Vaughany]

Bit worried about this Fluminense play...they aren't creating anything and Ponte had better chances so far

[Vaughany]

Need to get Rafael Sobis on! Wagner and Rafael Moura on bench as well isnt bad depth!

[Vaughany]

GOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOLLLLLLLLL LLLLLLLLLLLL....perfect freekick in to the danger area from Thiago Neves

[Vaughany]

Fuuuuuuuuuuuck...give away stupid free-kicks and finally cost them

[Vaughany]

Penalttyyyyyyyyy

[Vaughany]

Fred will probly miss cos of the shitty turf

[Vaughany]

Gooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooooo ooooooooooooool super freddddddddddddddddd

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Superfred is the man. Regular Fred I'm not as much of a fan of..

Big ups to coritiba for.scoring.two when it counted, pulling out an ATS draw and keeping our official record undefeated..

4 wins, 0 losses, 2 draws
+2.765u

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7/23

Parlay Bellinzona -.5 and Bucharest ML for .25u at +112

[Vaughany]

Lookin good, nice call on Bellinzona

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Lookin good, nice call on Bellinzona

thanks good sir, just doing what I can. Hopefully Bucharest holds on and makes it a third consecutive undefeated day.

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Yet another successful day on 7/23:

Parlay Bellinzona -.5&Bucharest ML at +112 for. 25u...won

5 wins, 0 losses, 2 draw
+3.045u

What's a kid gotta do to get some views in this subforum??

when I have a chance to look at the board today and check for system plays ill be sure to post any and all plays as usual..

I do realize how much I stand to lose via opportunity cost by posting plays as late as I do, but waking up early has never been a strong suit of mine, and living on the east coast in the USA makes that all the worse with soccer being our ideal target...end up stuck playing on Brazilian/Mexican/Chilean league games that I'd otherwise ignore...but hey, whatever works, right?

for those tailing, thanks for your faith, and enjoy.

[successdoc]

Thanks for sharing your plays, and I hear you loud and clear about early games that we miss due to time zone.

[spargament]

Thanks for sharing your plays, and I hear you loud and clear about early games that we miss due to time zone.

My pleasure doc.

Plays for 7/24..more to come
FK Zeljeznicar PK (+115) .5u

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Anyone have current odds of Atletico Goianiense v. Sao Paulo for tomorrow? Numbers SCREAM another nice day for Goianiense

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Just found Atl GO PK at (+100)...I'm deciding whether or not to post and make the play early, or wait for some LM to get better value. If anyone has a read on how that line might move, I'm more than open to hearing opinions.

[Vaughany]

Just found Atl GO PK at (+100)...I'm deciding whether or not to post and make the play early, or wait for some LM to get better value. If anyone has a read on how that line might move, I'm more than open to hearing opinions.

It's -110 on bet365 and +120 on paddypower. Surely it will only get better as casual bettors will just be betting on Sao Paulo based on name and Goianense beign at bottom of table?

[Vaughany]

Only play at moment is Ponte Preta PK and USA Women PK in a double parlay

[Vaughany]

My pleasure doc.

Plays for 7/24..more to come
FK Zeljeznicar PK (+115) .5u

Unlucky with tht...blowing a 2nil lead! Ah well...stake back again is no problem

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Helsinki is SO close to being a play at PK (-180), but I just can't give THAT much more than (-155) for that play.

Feel free to parlay it with Atl GO PK for tomorrow, but I think I'm gonna pass on Helsinki myself and for the official record.

Entering the day: 5-0-2 +3.045u

for anyone wondering how I size my units, I try to dedicate about a total of 20-25 u to a soccer BR, with exceptions made for multiple sport parlays..And FAYI (ForAllY'allsInformation) I couldn't give two sh!ts as to what the peanut gallery thinks of my personal unit management. HOWEVER, as always, comments, observations, recommendations and words of advice regarding my plays THEMSELVES are greatly appreciated and I definitely take them into account; as weird as it sounds while I do have a system, I evaluate the board blind before I check the system, because as I mentioned earlier, my gut sees a lot of value in lines that my system will infrequently parse out due to one parameter or another........point being: these don't all come from my system....so, discussion on both
1.whatever it is other posters/lurkers perceive to be the system I use (I ain't tellin')
2.plays as they may pertain to late info on starters, the rumor mill, line movement, or just plain old futbol logic and insight

Is more than welcomed, because I think I'm good, but I could always be better.

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Unlucky with tht...blowing a 2nil lead! Ah well...stake back again is no problem

Huh?
Did I miss something? Goddamn Flashscore

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Unacceptable, Ibraimi is talented, but we can't afford to concede so early like that.

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Wow. Talk about missing OUT when you're busy. 35 minutes later my squad has knotted up the match, and been red carded not once, not twice, but thrice. Drama to ensue.